WNBA player props today: Independence Day best props include Flau'jae Johnson [7/4/2026]
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Saturday's games.

Dimers' WNBA props are live for Independence Day, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Flau'jae Johnson, Bridget Carleton and Natisha Hiedeman.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including today's Fire vs. Storm clash, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Saturday, 7/4
Below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 4, ranked by probability.
Flau'jae Johnson under 5.5 rebounds (-130)
- Edge: 1.8%
- Probability: 58.3%
- Projection: 4.0
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Our model has found value on Seattle's Flau'jae Johnson under 5.5 rebounds. A probability of 58.3% gives this play an edge of 1.8% at -130 odds.
Bridget Carleton under 13.5 points scored (-120)
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 56.9%
- Projection: 10.2
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Bridget Carleton’s points scored prop shows a 2.4% edge at -120 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 10.2 points scored on the under 13.5 line.
Natisha Hiedeman under 15.5 points scored (-105)
- Edge: 2.9%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Projection: 13.6
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
The data highlights value on Natisha Hiedeman under 15.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 54.1% probability and a 2.9% edge at -105.
Flau'jae Johnson under 12.5 points scored (+102)
- Edge: 2.2%
- Probability: 51.7%
- Projection: 11.7
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Our model projects Flau'jae Johnson to put up 11.7 points scored today, creating an edge of 2.2% on the under 12.5 line at +102 odds.
Sarah Ashlee Barker over 4.5 rebounds (+114)
- Edge: 3.0%
- Probability: 49.8%
- Projection: 4.4
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Sarah Ashlee Barker over 4.5 rebounds for Portland, showing an edge of 3.0% at +114 odds.
Awa Fam over 5.5 rebounds (+130)
- Edge: 1.8%
- Probability: 45.3%
- Projection: 4.6
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Awa Fam’s rebounds prop shows an edge of 1.8% at +130 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 4.6 today.
Carla Leite to score first basket (+800)
- Edge: 0.9%
- Probability: 12.0%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Carla Leite to score first basket for Portland, with a 12.0% probability and a 0.9% edge at +800 odds.
Sarah Ashlee Barker to score first basket (+1400)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 11.8%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Sarah Ashlee Barker to score first basket, supported by a 11.8% probability at +1400 odds and an edge of 5.1%.
Natisha Hiedeman to score first basket (+850)
- Edge: 0.7%
- Probability: 11.2%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
A 0.7% edge on the to score first basket line makes Natisha Hiedeman a value play in Fire vs. Storm, supported by a 11.2% probability at +850 odds.
Emily Engstler to score first basket (+1000)
- Edge: 0.4%
- Probability: 9.5%
- Game: Fire vs. Storm (9:00PM ET)
Simulations show value on Emily Engstler to score first basket here, with a 9.5% probability and 0.4% edge at +1000 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Saturday, July 4, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 7:19PM ET:
| Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|
| Flau'jae Johnson under 5.5 rebounds | -130 @ DraftKings | 1.8% | 58.3% |
| Bridget Carleton under 13.5 points scored | -120 @ ESPN BET | 2.4% | 56.9% |
| Natisha Hiedeman under 15.5 points scored | -105 @ DraftKings | 2.2% | 51.7% |
| Flau'jae Johnson under 12.5 points scored | +102 @ FanDuel | 2.2% | 51.7% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker over 4.5 rebounds | +114 @ FanDuel | 3.0% | 49.8% |
| Awa Fam over 5.5 rebounds | +130 @ FanDuel | 1.8% | 45.3% |
| Carla Leite to score first basket | +800 @ BetMGM | 0.9% | 12.0% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker to score first basket | +1400 @ BetMGM | 5.1% | 11.8% |
| Natisha Hiedeman to score first basket | +850 @ FanDuel | 0.7% | 11.2% |
| Emily Engstler to score first basket | +1000 @ BetMGM | 0.4% | 9.5% |
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Conclusion
For July 4, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as Flau'jae Johnson, Bridget Carleton and Natisha Hiedeman. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.



