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Read Article Sky vs. Aces prediction: Las Vegas favored to win Friday's WNBA game [7/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Chicago Sky vs Las Vegas Aces predictions for WNBA Friday.
The Las Vegas Aces will square off with the Chicago Sky in WNBA action at T-Mobile Arena on Friday, commencing at 10:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Aces as the most likely winner of the Sky vs. Aces game.
The Aces, with the likes of Jackie Young, Chennedy Carter and NaLyssa Smith, will face off against the Sky, featuring Skylar Diggins-Smith, Kamilla Cardoso and Natasha Cloud.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Friday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Sky vs. Aces prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Friday's WNBA game between the Sky and Aces, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Aces a 58.9% chance of beating the Sky.
According to our model, the Sky (+4.5) have a 57.6% chance of covering the spread, while the 179.5-point over/under has a 66.6% chance of staying under,.
Sky vs. Aces odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Sky | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -172 |
| Total | o179.5 (-110) | u179.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Sky vs. Aces picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sky +4.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sky | +155 |
| Total | Under 179.5 | -108 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 179.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Sky vs. Aces player props
WNBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the Chicago vs. Las Vegas game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at T-Mobile Arena.
Skylar Diggins-Smith is expected to lead the Sky with 15 points, 3 rebounds and 6 assists, while Jackie Young is projected to have 18 points, 5 rebounds and 6 assists for the Aces.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Jackie Young striking first with a 15.9% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Sky prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Sky are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Diggins-Smith | 15 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 33 |
| Kamilla Cardoso | 15 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 34 |
| Natasha Cloud | 12 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 27 |
| Azura Stevens | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 22 |
| Gabriela Jaquez | 8 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 |
Aces prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackie Young | 18 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 38 |
| Chennedy Carter | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 21 |
| NaLyssa Smith | 12 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
| Chelsea Gray | 11 | 4 | 7 | 2 | 33 |
| Cheyenne Parker | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 25 |
Sky vs. Aces game-day updates and essential details
Friday's game between the Aces and Sky at T-Mobile Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Chicago Sky vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Friday, July 3, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 58.9% win probability, will likely beat the Sky in Friday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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