Jul 3, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Friday, July 3, 2026
Read Article WNBA player props today: Friday's best props include A'ja Wilson [7/3/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get WNBA player props today with projections for Friday's games.
Dimers' WNBA props are live for July 3, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of A'ja Wilson, Natasha Howard and Pauline Astier.
Our WNBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Sky vs. Aces and Lynx vs. Liberty, to surface the best WNBA player prop bets across the market.
List of WNBA prop bets for Friday, 7/3
Sourced from 25+ total WNBA props on site today, below are the top 10 WNBA player props for July 3, ranked by probability.
A'ja Wilson over 24.5 points scored (-110)
- Edge: 10.3%
- Probability: 62.7%
- Projection: 31.1
- Game: Sky vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on Las Vegas' A'ja Wilson over 24.5 points scored. A probability of 62.7% gives this play an edge of 10.3% at -110 odds.
Natasha Howard over 7.5 rebounds (-128)
- Edge: 1.6%
- Probability: 57.7%
- Projection: 8.9
- Game: Lynx vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)
Natasha Howard’s rebounds prop shows a 1.6% edge at -128 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 8.9 rebounds on the over 7.5 line.
Pauline Astier over 7.5 points scored (-114)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 57.6%
- Projection: 11.2
- Game: Lynx vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Pauline Astier over 7.5 points scored, with simulations showing a 57.6% probability and a 4.3% edge at -114.
A'ja Wilson over 9.5 rebounds (-108)
- Edge: 4.3%
- Probability: 56.2%
- Projection: 10.6
- Game: Sky vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects A'ja Wilson to record 10.6 rebounds today, creating an edge of 4.3% on the over 9.5 line at -108 odds.
Olivia Miles under 18.5 points scored (-108)
- Edge: 3.7%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Projection: 15.8
- Game: Lynx vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Olivia Miles under 18.5 points scored for Minnesota, showing an edge of 3.7% at -108 odds.
Courtney Williams over 4.5 assists (+112)
- Edge: 8.5%
- Probability: 55.6%
- Projection: 5.5
- Game: Lynx vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)
Courtney Williams’s assists prop shows an edge of 8.5% at +112 odds, according to our model, which projects her for 5.5 today.
Natasha Cloud over 3.5 assists (+136)
- Edge: 12.8%
- Probability: 55.2%
- Projection: 4.4
- Game: Sky vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)
Our model projects Natasha Cloud for 4.4 assists for Chicago, creating an edge of 12.8% on over 3.5 at +136 odds.
Olivia Miles over 4.5 rebounds (-120)
- Edge: 0.2%
- Probability: 54.8%
- Projection: 5.4
- Game: Lynx vs. Liberty (7:30PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Olivia Miles for 5.4 rebounds, creating value on the over 4.5 line at -120 odds and a 0.2% edge.
Chelsea Gray under 13.5 points scored (-110)
- Edge: 1.9%
- Probability: 54.3%
- Projection: 11.5
- Game: Sky vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)
A 1.9% edge on the under 4.5 points scored line makes Chelsea Gray a value play in Sky vs. Aces, with our model projecting her for 11.5 points scored at -110 odds.
NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds (+110)
- Edge: 6.5%
- Probability: 54.1%
- Projection: 5.8
- Game: Sky vs. Aces (10:00PM ET)
Simulations project NaLyssa Smith for 5.8 rebounds here, creating a 6.5% edge on the under 6.5 line at +110 odds.
WNBA player prop summary: Friday, July 3, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 5:42AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sky vs. Aces | A'ja Wilson over 24.5 points scored | -110 @ FanDuel | 10.3% | 62.7% |
| Lynx vs. Liberty | Natasha Howard over 7.5 rebounds | -128 @ DraftKings | 1.6% | 57.7% |
| Lynx vs. Liberty | Pauline Astier over 7.5 points scored | -114 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 56.2% |
| Sky vs. Aces | A'ja Wilson over 9.5 rebounds | -108 @ FanDuel | 4.3% | 56.2% |
| Lynx vs. Liberty | Olivia Miles under 18.5 points scored | -108 @ FanDuel | 3.7% | 55.6% |
| Lynx vs. Liberty | Courtney Williams over 4.5 assists | +112 @ DraftKings | 8.5% | 55.6% |
| Sky vs. Aces | Natasha Cloud over 3.5 assists | +136 @ FanDuel | 12.8% | 55.2% |
| Lynx vs. Liberty | Olivia Miles over 4.5 rebounds | -120 @ FanDuel | 0.2% | 54.8% |
| Sky vs. Aces | Chelsea Gray under 13.5 points scored | -110 @ FanDuel | 1.9% | 54.3% |
| Sky vs. Aces | NaLyssa Smith under 6.5 rebounds | +110 @ espnbet | 6.5% | 54.1% |
Conclusion
For July 3, 2026, our WNBA prop bets feature players such as A'ja Wilson, Natasha Howard and Pauline Astier. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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