Wings vs. Sun prediction: Paige Bueckers projected to score 20 points in Thursday's WNBA matchup [7/2/2026]
Get Dallas Wings vs Connecticut Sun predictions for WNBA Thursday.
WNBA action continues on Thursday at 8:00 PM ET as the Dallas Wings square off with the Connecticut Sun at PeoplesBank Arena.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Wings as the most likely winner of the Wings vs. Sun game.
The Sun, who have stars like Brittney Griner, Aaliyah Edwards and Aneesah Morrow, are set to take on the Wings, whose lineup includes Paige Bueckers, Arike Ogunbowale and Jessica Shepard.
Bueckers, the Wings' No. 1 pick in the 2025 WNBA draft, is expected to shine with a projected 20 points and 1 threes.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Thursday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Wings vs. Sun prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Wings a 70.7% chance of defeating the Sun.
According to our model, the Sun (+7.5) have a 57.5% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 171.5 points has a 66.1% chance of staying under,.
Wings vs. Sun odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Wings | Sun |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -7.5 (-110) | +7.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -295 | +240 |
| Total | o171.5 (-112) | u171.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Wings vs. Sun picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Sun +7.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Sun | +240 |
| Total | Under 171.5 | -105 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Under 171.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Wings vs. Sun player props
WNBA prop bets are a popular way to wager on Thursday's Wings vs. Sun game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at PeoplesBank Arena.
Paige Bueckers is expected to lead the Wings with 20 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Brittney Griner is projected to have 15 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Sun.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Paige Bueckers as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Wings prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Wings are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paige Bueckers | 20 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 39 |
| A. Ogunbowale | 16 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 30 |
| Jessica Shepard | 14 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 39 |
| Azzi Fudd | 13 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 24 |
| Maddy Siegrist | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 13 |
Sun prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Sun:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Griner | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 30 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 22 |
| Aneesah Morrow | 9 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 23 |
| Kennedy Burke | 9 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19 |
| Leila Lacan | 8 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 19 |
Wings vs. Sun game-day updates and essential details
Thursday's action between the Sun and Wings at PeoplesBank Arena is scheduled to commence at 8:00 PM ET.
- Who: Dallas Wings vs. Connecticut Sun
- Date: Thursday, July 2, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET/5:00PM PT
- Venue: PeoplesBank Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Wings, with a 70.7% win probability, will likely beat the Sun in Thursday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
