Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction: Golden State favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/28/2026]
Get New York Liberty vs Golden State Valkyries predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Golden State Valkyries will face the New York Liberty in WNBA action at Chase Center on Sunday, beginning at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Liberty vs. Valkyries game.
The Valkyries, led by Veronica Burton, Tiffany Hayes and Kayla Thornton, are set to take on the Liberty, whose lineup includes Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Liberty vs. Valkyries prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Valkyries a 57.7% chance of beating the Liberty.
According to our model, the Valkyries (-1.5) have a 52.1% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 163.5 points has a 54.0% chance of going over,.
Liberty vs. Valkyries odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Liberty | Valkyries |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +1.5 (-105) | -1.5 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +106 | -125 |
| Total | o163.5 (-110) | u163.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Liberty vs. Valkyries picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Valkyries -1.5 | -112 |
| Moneyline | Valkyries | -125 |
| Total | Over 163.5 | -110 |
According to our best WNBA bets, the top play to make on this game is Valkyries to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Liberty vs. Valkyries player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on the Liberty vs. Valkyries game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Chase Center.
Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the Liberty with 16 points, 7 rebounds and 3 assists, while Veronica Burton is projected to have 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists for the Valkyries.
When evaluating the first basket market, Gabby Williams is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 17.2% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Liberty prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Breanna Stewart | 16 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 37 |
| Sabrina Ionescu | 15 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 33 |
| Jonquel Jones | 12 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Pauline Astier | 11 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 25 |
| Leonie Fiebich | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 16 |
Valkyries prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Valkyries:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 32 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Kayla Thornton | 11 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 24 |
| Gabby Williams | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Janelle Salaun | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17 |
Liberty vs. Valkyries game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's matchup between the Valkyries and Liberty at Chase Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: New York Liberty vs. Golden State Valkyries
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Chase Center
Conclusion
We predict the Valkyries, with a 57.7% win probability, will likely beat the Liberty in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
