WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, June 28, 2026
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 6/28.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Sunday, June 28, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Chennedy Carter and Chennedy Carter lead Sunday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (June 28, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 17.2% |
| Chennedy Carter (Aces) | 15.3% |
| Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) | 15.2% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.6% |
| Paige Bueckers (Wings) | 13.8% |
| A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 13.5% |
| Megan Gustafson (Fire) | 13.4% |
| Satou Sabally (Liberty) | 12.8% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 12.8% |
| Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 12.4% |
| Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.3% |
| Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) | 11.7% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 11.7% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 11.5% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 11.1% |
| Jessica Shepard (Wings) | 11.1% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 10.4% |
| Azura Stevens (Sky) | 10.2% |
| Skylar Diggins-Smith (Sky) | 10.2% |
| Jackie Young (Aces) | 9.8% |
| Azzi Fudd (Wings) | 9.6% |
| Carla Leite (Fire) | 9.5% |
| Emily Engstler (Fire) | 9.5% |
| Sarah Ashlee Barker (Fire) | 9.3% |
| Sabrina Ionescu (Liberty) | 9.0% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 8.8% |
| Arike Ogunbowale (Wings) | 8.6% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 8.5% |
| Bridget Carleton (Fire) | 8.3% |
| Pauline Astier (Liberty) | 8.3% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 8.1% |
| Leonie Fiebich (Liberty) | 8.1% |
| Gabriela Jaquez (Sky) | 8.0% |
| Awak Kuier (Wings) | 7.0% |
| Chelsea Gray (Aces) | 6.6% |
| Natasha Cloud (Sky) | 6.3% |
| Kaila Charles (Valkyries) | 6.3% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.0% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 5.7% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 5.5% |
| Jewell Loyd (Aces) | 4.9% |
WNBA first basket picks today (June 28, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Megan Gustafson | Fire | 6.8% | +1400 | 13.4% |
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 2.9% | +600 | 17.2% |
| Gabriela Jaquez | Sky | 2.8% | +1800 | 8.0% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 2.4% | +1000 | 11.5% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 1.6% | +950 | 11.1% |
| Leonie Fiebich | Liberty | 1.4% | +1400 | 8.1% |
| Azzi Fudd | Wings | 0.5% | +1000 | 9.6% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 6/28.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Sunday, June 28, 2026, Gabby Williams, Chennedy Carter and Chennedy Carter lead our first basket projections, while Megan Gustafson shapes as the strongest value play at +1400. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
