Fire vs. Mystics prediction: Why Washington is favored to win Sunday's WNBA matchup [6/28/2026]
Get Portland Fire vs Washington Mystics predictions for WNBA Sunday.
The Washington Mystics and Portland Fire are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at CareFirst Arena on Sunday, with tipoff at 3:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model projects the Mystics as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Mystics game.
The Mystics, powered by Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, are set to take on the Fire, who feature Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Megan Gustafson.
This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our leading predictive model gives the Mystics a 69.4% chance of beating the Fire.
According to our model, the Fire (+6.5) have a 55.2% chance of covering the spread, while the 166.5-point over/under has a 53.3% chance of staying under,.
Fire vs. Mystics odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Mystics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +6.5 (-110) | -6.5 (-105) |
| Moneyline | +225 | -265 |
| Total | o166.5 (-110) | u166.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Mystics picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Fire +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Fire | +225 |
| Total | Under 166.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Fire +6.5 at the spread.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Mystics player props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Sunday's Fire vs. Mystics matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 12 points, 2 rebounds and 4 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 17 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.
When evaluating the first basket market, Kiki Iriafen is our top projected player to score first, backed by a 14.6% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 12 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 23 |
| B. Carleton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 23 |
| Megan Gustafson | 10 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 17 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Sarah Barker | 8 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 18 |
Mystics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 17 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 40 |
| Sonia Citron | 17 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 32 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 31 |
| M. Onyenwere | 8 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 15 |
| Lauren Betts | 8 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 17 |
Fire vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's action between the Mystics and Fire at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to start at 3:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Washington Mystics
- Date: Sunday, June 28, 2026
- Time: 3:00 PM ET/12:00PM PT
- Venue: CareFirst Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Mystics, with a 69.4% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Sunday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
