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Read Article Fire vs. Storm prediction: Seattle favored to win Saturday's WNBA game [7/4/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Portland Fire vs Seattle Storm predictions for WNBA Saturday.
The Seattle Storm and Portland Fire are scheduled to meet in the WNBA at Climate Pledge Arena on Saturday, with tipoff at 9:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Storm as the most likely winner of the Fire vs. Storm game.
The Storm, who have the likes of Dominique Malonga, Natisha Hiedeman and Awa Fam, will face off against the Fire, featuring Carla Leite, Bridget Carleton and Megan Gustafson.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Fire vs. Storm prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and statistical analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA game between the Fire and Storm, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Storm a 73.4% chance of defeating the Fire.
According to our model, the Storm (-4.5) have a 58.0% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 59.9% chance of staying under,.
Fire vs. Storm odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Fire | Storm |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4.5 (-110) | -4.5 (-108) |
| Moneyline | +155 | -180 |
| Total | o172.5 (-106) | u172.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Fire vs. Storm picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Storm -4.5 | -108 |
| Moneyline | Storm | -180 |
| Total | Under 172.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Storm to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Fire vs. Storm player props
Looking for Portland vs. Seattle WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Climate Pledge Arena.
Carla Leite is expected to lead the Fire with 15 points, 3 rebounds and 5 assists, while Dominique Malonga is projected to have 18 points, 9 rebounds and 2 assists for the Storm.
Looking at the opening tip, the numbers point to Dominique Malonga striking first with a 14.2% probability.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Fire prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Fire are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carla Leite | 15 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 31 |
| B. Carleton | 10 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Megan Gustafson | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 16 |
| L. Geiselsoder | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 22 |
| Emily Engstler | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 25 |
Storm prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Storm:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Malonga | 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 40 |
| N. Hiedeman | 14 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 27 |
| Awa Fam | 13 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 27 |
| F. Johnson | 12 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Jordan Horston | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 16 |
Fire vs. Storm game-day updates and essential details
Saturday's matchup between the Storm and Fire at Climate Pledge Arena is scheduled to begin at 9:00 PM ET.
- Who: Portland Fire vs. Seattle Storm
- Date: Saturday, July 4, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET/6:00PM PT
- Venue: Climate Pledge Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 73.4% win probability, will likely beat the Fire in Saturday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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