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WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday include Napheesa Collier, Kayla Thornton [7/12/2025]

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Written by Nick Slade

Our expert analysis on Saturday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Saturday have been revealed.

Our WNBA first basket predictions for Saturday, July 12, 2025, have landed—with Napheesa Collier of the Lynx the most likely player to score the first basket according to the latest Dimers Pro simulation data.

Saturday's first basket predictions come from our WNBA player projections, which highlight not only first basket probabilities, but also projected points, rebounds, assists and more for every player on today's basketball slate.

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Who will score the first basket tonight? [July 12, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Saturday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team) First Basket Probability
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) 15.9%
Kamilla Cardoso (Sky) 14.2%
Courtney Williams (Lynx) 13.0%
Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) 🔒
Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) 🔒
Jackie Young (Aces) 🔒
Angel Reese (Sky) 🔒
Ariel Atkins (Sky) 🔒
Temi Fagbenle (Valkyries) 🔒
Alanna Smith (Lynx) 🔒

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 15.9%.

Following Collier closely are Kamilla Cardoso at 14.2% and Courtney Williams at 13.0%.

Kayla Thornton and Tiffany Hayes are among those in the top 10, with the full list of first basket projections for Saturday available once you sign up to Dimers Pro.

Napheesa Collier shooting over Jewell Loyd.
Napheesa Collier is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Saturday, July 12, 2025.

Best WNBA first basket picks [7/12/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has discovered the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Saturday.

Courtney Williams first basket scorer

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Saturday's WNBA slate in the game between the Lynx and Sky. The bet is on Courtney Williams (MIN) at odds of +800 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 1.9% according to our analysis.

Our model not only showcases Williams for her 1.9% betting edge but also ranks her among the top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the above list.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA schedule for today [7/12/2025]

Conclusion

For July 12, 2025, our WNBA first basket predictions highlight standout players including Napheesa Collier, Kamilla Cardoso and Courtney Williams—all of whom are among the top projected chances to open the scoring in today’s games. But when it comes to +EV betting, it’s Courtney Williams who emerges as the top pick, producing a calculated 1.9% edge at +800 odds.

These projections are built from 10,000 game simulations, giving you a reliable starting point for smarter prop betting. Always wager with care—help is available at 1-800-GAMBLER if you or someone close to you needs support.

For more insight, check out our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets. Stay in the loop with our up-to-the-minute WNBA betting trends, WNBA news, and current WNBA title odds.

This article was partially generated using automated data and AI tools, with all content reviewed and finalized by our editorial team to ensure accuracy and quality.

Note: This article may include affiliate links. Learn how we review products and services.

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Written by
Nick Slade
Chief Content Officer

Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.

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