WNBA First Basket Predictions for Friday Include Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas [5/30/2025]

Updated: May 30, 2025, 10:03 AM ET | First published: May 30, 2025, 12:01 AM ET

Written by Damien Souness, Chief Innovation Officer

Our expert analysis on Friday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today. — The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Friday have been revealed.

This Friday, May 30th, it's time for an exciting day of WNBA action, headlined by the Liberty's matchup against the Mystics at 7:30PM ET.

After reviewing Friday's WNBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have produced their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Friday.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Friday's WNBA slate is expected to showcase star players such as Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas and Kelsey Mitchell, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for May 30, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Satou Sabally (Mercury)	21.8%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	19.2%
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever)	16.1%
Aliyah Boston (Fever)	15.6%
Brittney Griner (Dream)	15.4%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)	15.3%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	15.2%
Tina Charles (Sun)	15.0%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	14.1%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	12.9%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Satou Sabally, with a probability of 21.8%.

Following Sabally closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Alyssa Thomas at 19.2% and Kelsey Mitchell at 16.1%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Friday, 5/30/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Friday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Courtney Williams To Score First Basket

Odds: +1100
Edge: 4.2%
Probability: 12.5%
Game: Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Friday's WNBA slate in the game between the Lynx and Mercury. The bet is on Courtney Williams (MIN) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.2% according to our analysis.

Although Williams doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Friday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those looking to gain an edge on the market.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

WNBA Schedule for Today [5/30/2025]

Liberty vs. Mystics (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Sun vs. Fever (7:30PM ET, Friday)
Lynx vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Friday)
Dream vs. Storm (10:00PM ET, Friday)
Sparks vs. Aces (10:00PM ET, Friday)

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: May 30, 2025

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for May 30, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial standards.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks for Friday, May 30, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's WNBA first basket predictions for sports betting, it's important that you gamble responsibly and manage your finances effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.

Written by

Damien Souness

Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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