WNBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas [5/25/2025]

Updated: May 25, 2025, 6:46 AM ET | First published: May 25, 2025, 12:03 AM ET

Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities

Our expert analysis on Sunday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today. — The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Sunday have been revealed.

This Sunday, May 25th, we have another exciting day of WNBA basketball upon us, headlined by the Sun's matchup against the Dream at 3:00PM ET.

After evaluating Sunday's WNBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.

Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has selected as having the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Sunday's WNBA slate is expected to showcase big names such as Satou Sabally, Alyssa Thomas and Brittney Griner, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for May 25, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)	First Basket Probability
Satou Sabally (Mercury)	19.9%
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury)	19.6%
Brittney Griner (Dream)	15.4%
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm)	14.4%
A'ja Wilson (Aces)	14.2%
Tina Charles (Sun)	13.5%
Kiki Iriafen (Mystics)	12.6%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)	12.5%
Marina Mabrey (Sun)	12.3%
Ariel Atkins (Sky)	12.3%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across today's games is Satou Sabally, with a probability of 19.9%.

Following Sabally closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Alyssa Thomas at 19.6% and Brittney Griner at 15.4%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Sunday, 5/25/2025]

Having simulated the result of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our trusted predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Saniya Rivers To Score First Basket

Odds: +2200
Edge: 3.6%
Probability: 8%
Matchup: Sun vs. Dream (3:00PM ET)

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Sunday's WNBA slate in the game between the Sun and Dream. The bet is on Saniya Rivers (CONN) at odds of +2200 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 3.6% according to our analysis.

Although Rivers doesn't feature in our model's top 10 most likely first basket scorers for Sunday's WNBA slate, she does present the best betting opportunity for those looking for an edge on the market.

Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!

WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

WNBA Schedule for Today [5/25/2025]

Sun vs. Dream (3:00PM ET, Sunday)
Sky vs. Sparks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
Aces vs. Storm (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
Mystics vs. Mercury (6:00PM ET, Sunday)

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: May 25, 2025

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for May 25, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Sunday, May 25, are made after thousands of data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's WNBA first basket picks for your personal gambling, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.

Written by

Jason Bevilacqua

Head of Content and Communities

Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.

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