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WNBA First Basket Predictions for Thursday Include Brittney Griner, Ariel Atkins [5/22/2025]
Our expert analysis on Thursday's WNBA first basket market.

This Thursday, May 22nd, another exciting day of WNBA basketball is on the cards, headlined by the Fever's matchup against the Dream at 7:30PM ET.
After analyzing Thursday's WNBA simulation results early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has identified as having the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Thursday.
Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.
WNBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Thursday's WNBA slate is expected to showcase big names such as Brittney Griner, Ariel Atkins and Breanna Stewart, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for May 22, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Thursday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Brittney Griner (Dream) | 15.8% |
Ariel Atkins (Sky) | 13.3% |
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 12.7% |
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 11.5% |
Aliyah Boston (Fever) | 11.2% |
Natasha Howard (Fever) | 10.8% |
Jonquel Jones (Liberty) | 10.7% |
Brionna Jones (Dream) | 10.5% |
Natasha Cloud (Liberty) | 10.0% |
Caitlin Clark (Fever) | 9.5% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Brittney Griner, with a probability of 15.8%.
Following Griner closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of cashing your first basket bets are Ariel Atkins at 13.3% and Breanna Stewart at 12.7%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Thursday, 5/22/2025]
Having simulated the outcome of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our predictive model has discovered the best WNBA first basket bet for you to make on Thursday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Natasha Cloud To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1600
- Edge: 4.1%
- Probability: 10%
- Matchup: Liberty vs. Sky (8:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Thursday's WNBA slate in the game between the Liberty and Sky. The bet is on Natasha Cloud (NY) at odds of +1600 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 4.1% according to our analysis.
Our model not only showcases Cloud for her 4.1% betting edge but also ranks her among the top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as seen in the earlier list.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Thursday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official WNBA feed
- Check updated WNBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's WNBA games
WNBA Schedule for Today [5/22/2025]
- Fever vs. Dream (7:30PM ET, Thursday)
- Liberty vs. Sky (8:00PM ET, Thursday)
Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: May 22, 2025
This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for May 22, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of our WNBA first basket picks for Thursday, May 22, are based on thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's WNBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's crucial that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available WNBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More on WNBA
This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.
For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.