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WNBA First Basket Predictions for Sunday Include Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams [5/18/2025]
Our expert analysis on Sunday's WNBA first basket market.

This Sunday, May 18th, another exciting day of WNBA basketball is on the cards, headlined by the Mystics' matchup against the Sun at 1:00PM ET.
After reviewing Sunday's WNBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Sunday.
Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.
WNBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Sunday's WNBA slate is expected to feature players such as Napheesa Collier, Courtney Williams and Tina Charles, each with a high probability of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for May 18, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Sunday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
Napheesa Collier (Lynx) | 14.7% |
Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 14.2% |
Tina Charles (Sun) | 13.4% |
Brittney Sykes (Mystics) | 12.8% |
Marina Mabrey (Sun) | 12.7% |
Kelsey Plum (Sparks) | 12.3% |
Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.4% |
Rickea Jackson (Sparks) | 10.8% |
Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 10.8% |
Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 10.4% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's matchups is Napheesa Collier, with a probability of 14.7%.
Following Collier closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Courtney Williams at 14.2% and Tina Charles at 13.4%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Sunday, 5/18/2025]
After simulating the result of today's WNBA matchups thousands of times each, our independent predictive analytics model has found the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Sunday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Sonia Citron To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1100
- Edge: 2.4%
- Probability: 10.8%
- Matchup: Mystics vs. Sun (1:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Mystics and Sun. The bet is on Sonia Citron (WSH) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.4% according to our analysis.
Not only does Citron present an edge according to the model, but she is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Sunday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official WNBA feed
- Check updated WNBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's WNBA games
WNBA Schedule for Today [5/18/2025]
- Mystics vs. Sun (1:00PM ET, Sunday)
- Lynx vs. Sparks (6:00PM ET, Sunday)
Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: May 18, 2025
This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for May 18, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks for Sunday, May 18, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
If you plan to use today's WNBA first basket picks for sports betting, it's vital that you practice responsible gambling and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Understanding Betting Edge
The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.
Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.
More About WNBA
This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.
For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.