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WNBA First Basket Predictions for Saturday Include A'ja Wilson, Nneka Ogwumike [5/17/2025]
Our expert analysis on Saturday's WNBA first basket market.

This Saturday, May 17th, it's time for an exciting day of WNBA basketball, headlined by the Aces' matchup against the Liberty at 1:00PM ET.
After examining Saturday's WNBA simulations early this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data analysts have announced their best first basket bet of the day.
Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the highest probability of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Saturday.
Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.
WNBA Players to Watch Today
Based on the most recent injury reports, Saturday's WNBA slate is expected to feature star players such as A'ja Wilson, Nneka Ogwumike and Kalani Brown, each with a high chance of opening the scoring when they take to the court.
Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for May 17, 2025]
Thanks to simulating Saturday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.
Player (Team) | First Basket Probability |
---|---|
A'ja Wilson (Aces) | 17.5% |
Nneka Ogwumike (Storm) | 13.7% |
Kalani Brown (Mercury) | 13.5% |
Ariel Atkins (Sky) | 13.4% |
Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 13.1% |
Gabby Williams (Storm) | 12.7% |
Satou Sabally (Mercury) | 12.5% |
Natasha Howard (Fever) | 11.6% |
Kelsey Mitchell (Fever) | 11.6% |
Breanna Stewart (Liberty) | 11.5% |
According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket across all of today's games is A'ja Wilson, with a probability of 17.5%.
Following Wilson closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Nneka Ogwumike at 13.7% and Kalani Brown at 13.5%.

Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Saturday, 5/17/2025]
Having simulated the result of today's WNBA slate thousands of times, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Saturday.
For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.
Kalani Brown To Score First Basket
- Odds: +1100
- Edge: 5.2%
- Probability: 13.5%
- Matchup: Storm vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET)
Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for Saturday's WNBA slate in the game between the Storm and Mercury. The bet is on Kalani Brown (PHX) at odds of +1100 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 5.2% according to our analysis.
Not only does Brown present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top three most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.
Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props
WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Saturday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.
For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!
WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds
- Read the latest news alerts from the official WNBA feed
- Check updated WNBA odds
- Find broadcasting and streaming options for today's WNBA games
WNBA Schedule for Today [5/17/2025]
- Aces vs. Liberty (1:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Sky vs. Fever (3:00PM ET, Saturday)
- Storm vs. Mercury (10:00PM ET, Saturday)
Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: May 17, 2025
This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for May 17, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.
All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks for Saturday, May 17, are the result of thousands of data-driven game simulations, providing reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.
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Understanding Betting Edge
At Dimers, an "edge" in betting signifies our belief that an event's probability is higher than the best available WNBA odds suggest. A higher betting edge indicates a greater likelihood of success. However, it's essential to remember that no bet is guaranteed, and responsible gambling practices are crucial for long-term success.
More on WNBA
This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.
For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.