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WNBA First Basket Predictions for Friday Include Tiffany Hayes, Paige Bueckers [5/16/2025]

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Written by Damien Souness

Our expert analysis on Friday's WNBA first basket market.

WNBA First Basket Predictions Today.
The most likely WNBA first basket scorers for Friday have been revealed.

This Friday, May 16th, we have another exciting day of WNBA basketball upon us, headlined by the Lynx' matchup against the Wings at 7:30PM ET.

After going over Friday's WNBA simulation results this morning (see Dimers Pro for full access), our team of data experts have revealed their best first basket bet of the day.


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Additionally, this article reveals the WNBA players our predictive analytics model has determined to have the greatest chance of scoring the first basket in their respective matchups on Friday.

Let's dive into today's WNBA first basket news and updates.

WNBA Players to Watch Today

Based on the most recent injury reports, Friday's WNBA games are expected to showcase big names such as Napheesa Collier, Tiffany Hayes and Brittney Griner, each with a high chance of scoring the first basket when they take to the court.

Who Will Score the First Basket Tonight? [WNBA Cheat Sheet for May 16, 2025]

Thanks to simulating Friday's WNBA games 10,000 times each, Dimers has determined the list of players most likely to score the first basket in their respective games.

Player (Team)First Basket Probability
Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries)15.0%
Brittney Griner (Dream)14.8%
Napheesa Collier (Lynx)13.9%
Courtney Williams (Lynx)12.6%
Dearica Hamby (Sparks)12.4%
Paige Bueckers (Wings)12.0%
Kelsey Plum (Sparks)11.8%
Temi Fagbenle (Valkyries)11.1%
Arike Ogunbowale (Wings)11.1%
Emily Engster (Mytics)
11.0%

According to our data-driven analysis, the most likely WNBA player to score the first basket in any of today's matchups is Tiffany Hayes, with a probability of 15.0%.

Following Hayes closely, the players with the next highest likelihood of scoring the first basket today are Brittney Griner at 14.8% and Napheesa Collier at 13.9%.


Kelsey Plum in the preseason.
Kelsey Plum is one of the most likely WNBA players to score the first basket on Friday, May 16, 2025.


Dimers Pro Pick of the Day: WNBA First Basket [Friday, 5/16/2025]

After simulating the outcome of today's WNBA matchups 10,000 times each, our predictive model has generated the best WNBA first basket betting pick for Friday.

For full access to our comprehensive analysis and top picks, subscribe to Dimers Pro.

Paige Bueckers To Score First Basket

Our model has identified the best WNBA first basket bet for today's WNBA slate in the game between the Lynx and Wings. The bet is on Paige Bueckers (DAL) at odds of +1000 with FanDuel Sportsbook, with an edge of 2.9% according to our analysis.

Not only does Bueckers present an edge according to our model, but she is also among our top 10 most likely first basket scorers for today, as noted in the list above.



Closer Look at Today's First Basket Props

WNBA first basket props have become one of the more popular betting options for basketball bettors. By using Friday's data-driven WNBA predictions, you can gain an advantage over everyone else.

For today's full list of WNBA prop picks, join Dimers Pro. We give you the tools and information to succeed with hundreds of data-driven bets across thousands of games. Sign up now to join the community!


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WNBA News, Schedule Alerts and Updated Odds

WNBA Schedule for Today [5/16/2025]

Today's WNBA First Basket Picks: May 16, 2025

This WNBA first basket article has been partially generated using automated processes and AI technology. Our goal is to provide timely and accurate updates on WNBA first basket picks for May 16, 2025. Automation assists in data collection, analysis, and formatting, while human editing and quality control ensure the content meets our editorial guidelines.

All of Dimers' WNBA first basket picks for Friday, May 16, are based on rigorous data-driven game simulations, giving you reliable and accurate WNBA predictions to help you make informed decisions.

If you use today's WNBA first basket predictions for your personal gambling, it's vital that you gamble responsibly and manage your bankroll effectively. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, crisis counseling and referral services can be accessed by calling 1-800-GAMBLER.

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Understanding Betting Edge

The "edge" at Dimers is when we think the probability of an event occurring is more likely than the best odds available. Essentially, it means that Dimers believes a bet has a better chance of winning than the sportsbooks do. That's why the higher the edge, the better.

Although it does not guarantee a win, taking picks with a higher betting edge can increase your chances of being profitable in the long run. This is an essential aspect of a successful sports betting strategy.

More on WNBA

This article is part of our WNBA player props and WNBA best bets series.

For more WNBA betting content, we have WNBA trends for every game, as well as daily WNBA betting news and the latest WNBA title odds and predictions.

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Written by
Damien Souness
Chief Innovation Officer

Damien Souness leverages over 15 years of experience to create engaging content focused on sports, online gaming and wagering. As Chief Innovation Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, the parent company of Dimers, he offers strategic insights and innovative solutions to enhance the player experience.

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