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Read Article Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: Aces Predicted to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [7/4/2024]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
![Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces: Aces Predicted to Win According to Model for WNBA Game [7/4/2024]](https://imgix.cosmicjs.com/7c377350-38f0-11ef-b107-37c28ed73e80-WNBA_2024_52_LV_WSH.png?w=750)
The Las Vegas Aces will square off with the Washington Mystics in WNBA action at Michelob ULTRA Arena on Thursday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.
The Aces, led by A'ja Wilson, Kelsey Plum and Jackie Young, are set to take on the Mystics, who feature Ariel Atkins, Aaliyah Edwards and Julie Vanloo.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Aces as the most likely winner of the game.
"Using the latest data, our experts simulated Thursday's Mystics-Aces game 10,000 times," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"Taking into account recent updates and various additional inputs, we forecast the Aces with a win probability of 90% and the Mystics with 10%."
Mystics vs. Aces Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Thursday's game between the Aces and Mystics at Michelob ULTRA Arena is scheduled to commence at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Washington Mystics vs. Las Vegas Aces
- Date: Thursday, July 4, 2024
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Michelob ULTRA Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Thursday's Mystics vs. Aces matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Aces vs. Mystics picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Access 148 bets, including a 13% edge Start My Free Trial Mystics vs. Aces Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's WNBA matchup between the Mystics and Aces 10,000 times as part of our WNBA picks coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Aces a 90% chance of beating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Mystics (+16.5) have a 57% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 172.5 points has a 57% chance of staying under.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:56AM, Jul 5
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Mystics vs. Aces Odds
We have researched the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mystics | Aces |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +16.5 (-110) | -16.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +1000 | -1600 |
| Total | o172.5 (-110) | u172.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mystics vs. Aces Picks
Our model's biggest edge in the Mystics vs. Aces matchup is on the over/under.
Our expert predictions, aligned with the current odds, reveal the best WNBA bets for every game throughout the season.
Full access to our picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Access 18 WNBA bets, including an 11% edge Start My Free Trial Mystics vs. Aces Player Props
Looking for Washington vs. Las Vegas WNBA player props? We have crunched the numbers to project individual points, assists, rebounds and three-pointers made for each team.
Ariel Atkins is expected to lead the Mystics with 15 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while A'ja Wilson is projected to have 26 points, 11 rebounds and 2 assists for the Aces.
Mystics Prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Mystics are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ariel Atkins | 15 | 4 | 4 | 2 |
| Aaliyah Edwards | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 |
| Julie Vanloo | 9 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| Myisha Hines-Allen | 8 | 5 | 3 | 1 |
| Shatori Walker-Kimbrough | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 |
Aces Prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Aces:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| A'ja Wilson | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
| Kelsey Plum | 18 | 3 | 5 | 3 |
| Jackie Young | 17 | 5 | 5 | 3 |
| Chelsea Gray | 10 | 3 | 5 | 1 |
| Alysha Clark | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA betting trends for today's games.
Conclusion
We predict the Aces, with a 90% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics on Thursday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mystics vs. Aces insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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