May 19, 2026
WNBA player props today: Tuesday's best props include Jovana Nogic [5/19/2026]
Read Article Tempo vs. Mercury prediction: Why Phoenix is favored to win Tuesday's WNBA matchup [5/19/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get Toronto Tempo vs Phoenix Mercury predictions for WNBA Tuesday.
WNBA action continues on Tuesday at 10:00 PM ET as the Toronto Tempo face off with the favored Phoenix Mercury at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model predicts the Mercury as the most likely winner of the Tempo vs. Mercury game.
The Mercury, who have the likes of Kahleah Copper, Alyssa Thomas and Jovana Nogic, are set to take on the Tempo, who feature Brittney Sykes, Marina Mabrey and Kiki Rice.
This article offers a closer look at Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Tempo vs. Mercury prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's WNBA matchup between the Tempo and Mercury, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model currently gives the Mercury a 76% chance of beating the Tempo.
According to our model, the Tempo (+7.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 169.5-point over/under has a 52% chance of going over.
Tempo vs. Mercury odds
We have researched the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Tempo | Mercury |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +7.5 (-105) | -7.5 (-115) |
| Moneyline | +275 | -320 |
| Total | o169.5 (-110) | u169.5 (-105) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Tempo vs. Mercury picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Tempo +7.5 | -105 |
| Moneyline | Mercury | -320 |
| Total | Over 169.5 | -110 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mercury to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Tempo vs. Mercury player props
Betting on Tempo vs. Mercury WNBA player props? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Mortgage Matchup Center.
Brittney Sykes is expected to lead the Tempo with 16 points, 4 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to have 18 points, 4 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's WNBA first basket picks.
Tempo prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Tempo are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brittney Sykes | 16 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 33 |
| Marina Mabrey | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 28 |
| Kiki Rice | 12 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 26 |
| Laura Juskaite | 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 24 |
| Nyara Sabally | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 24 |
Mercury prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mercury:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kahleah Copper | 18 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 30 |
| Alyssa Thomas | 17 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 48 |
| Jovana Nogic | 16 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 26 |
| DeWanna Bonner | 14 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 29 |
| Natasha Mack | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 27 |
Tempo vs. Mercury game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's action between the Mercury and Tempo at Mortgage Matchup Center is scheduled to start at 10:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Tempo vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Tuesday, May 19, 2026
- Time: 10:00 PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: Mortgage Matchup Center
Conclusion
We predict the Mercury, with a 76% win probability, will likely beat the Tempo in Tuesday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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