Jul 6, 2026
WNBA player props today: Monday's best props include Shakira Austin [7/6/2026]
Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, July 6, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Damien Souness, Chief Experience Officer
Get first basket predictions today guided by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 7/6.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Monday, July 6, 2026—are live with the Valkyries' Gabby Williams projected as the most likely player to score first.
These projections draw on detailed first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Williams, Kiki Iriafen and Dominique Malonga lead Monday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also identify tonight's best first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (July 6, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Gabby Williams (Valkyries) | 18.6% |
| Kiki Iriafen (Mystics) | 14.8% |
| Dominique Malonga (Storm) | 14.3% |
| Nneka Ogwumike (Sparks) | 13.5% |
| Olivia Miles (Lynx) | 12.2% |
| Natasha Howard (Lynx) | 12.1% |
| Brittney Griner (Sun) | 11.7% |
| Rae Burrell (Sparks) | 11.6% |
| Tiffany Hayes (Valkyries) | 11.5% |
| Olivia Nelson-Ododa (Sun) | 11.4% |
| Natisha Hiedeman (Storm) | 11.2% |
| Dearica Hamby (Sparks) | 11.2% |
| Sonia Citron (Mystics) | 11.0% |
| Aaliyah Edwards (Sun) | 10.9% |
| Courtney Williams (Lynx) | 10.4% |
| Flau'jae Johnson (Storm) | 10.0% |
| Kayla McBride (Lynx) | 9.4% |
| Veronica Burton (Valkyries) | 9.3% |
| Leila Lacan (Sun) | 9.2% |
| Shakira Austin (Mystics) | 9.2% |
| Awa Fam (Storm) | 8.9% |
| Cassandre Prosper (Mystics) | 8.4% |
| Ariel Atkins (Sparks) | 7.6% |
| Kennedy Burke (Sun) | 6.8% |
| Georgia Amoore (Mystics) | 6.7% |
| Kayla Thornton (Valkyries) | 6.5% |
| Erica Wheeler (Sparks) | 6.0% |
| Nia Coffey (Lynx) | 5.8% |
| Ezi Magbegor (Storm) | 5.6% |
| Kiah Stokes (Valkyries) | 4.1% |
WNBA first basket picks today (July 6, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabby Williams | Valkyries | 4.3% | +600 | 18.6% |
| Natisha Hiedeman | Storm | 2.9% | +1100 | 11.2% |
| Rae Burrell | Sparks | 2.6% | +1000 | 11.6% |
| Courtney Williams | Lynx | 2.1% | +1100 | 10.4% |
| Sonia Citron | Mystics | 1.9% | +1000 | 11.0% |
| Georgia Amoore | Mystics | 0.8% | +1600 | 6.7% |
| Dearica Hamby | Sparks | 0.7% | +850 | 11.2% |
| Kayla McBride | Lynx | 0.3% | +1000 | 9.4% |
| Flau'jae Johnson | Storm | 0.1% | +920 | 10.0% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 7/6.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Monday, July 6, 2026, Gabby Williams, Kiki Iriafen and Dominique Malonga lead our first basket projections, with Williams shaping as the strongest value play at +600. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Damien Souness is Chief Experience Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, helping lead sports media brands such as Dimers. He specializes in creating trustworthy and data-driven content for sports fans, with experience working for globally recognized sports and media organizations.
Advertiser disclosure
