Jul 6, 2026
WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Monday, July 6, 2026
Read Article Valkyries vs. Mystics prediction: Why Golden State is favored to win Monday's WNBA matchup [7/6/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Golden State Valkyries vs Washington Mystics predictions for WNBA Monday.
The Washington Mystics and Golden State Valkyries will lock horns in the WNBA at CareFirst Arena on Monday, starting at 7:30 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' proven WNBA model predicts the Valkyries as the most likely winner of the Valkyries vs. Mystics game.
The Mystics, with the likes of Shakira Austin, Sonia Citron and Kiki Iriafen, will face off against the Valkyries, who feature Veronica Burton, Kayla Thornton and Gabby Williams.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks.
Valkyries vs. Mystics prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Monday's WNBA game between the Valkyries and Mystics, forming part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Valkyries a 63.9% chance of defeating the Mystics.
According to our model, the Mystics (+6.5) have a 57.8% chance of covering the spread, while the 155.5-point over/under has a 68.4% chance of going over,.
Valkyries vs. Mystics odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Valkyries | Mystics |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | -6.5 (-110) | +6.5 (-110) |
| Moneyline | -225 | +205 |
| Total | o155.5 (-112) | u155.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Valkyries vs. Mystics picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Mystics +6.5 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Mystics | +205 |
| Total | Over 155.5 | -112 |
According to our WNBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 155.5 total points.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Valkyries vs. Mystics player props
WNBA prop bets are an exciting way to wager on Monday's Valkyries vs. Mystics game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at CareFirst Arena.
Veronica Burton is expected to lead the Valkyries with 12 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Shakira Austin is projected to have 18 points, 8 rebounds and 3 assists for the Mystics.
Shifting focus to the first basket market, our projections highlight Gabby Williams as the most likely player to open the scoring.
Check out our WNBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and a deeper look at today's WNBA first basket picks.
Valkyries prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Valkyries are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Veronica Burton | 12 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 32 |
| Kayla Thornton | 12 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 26 |
| Gabby Williams | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 24 |
| Tiffany Hayes | 11 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 23 |
| Janelle Salaun | 10 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 18 |
Mystics prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Mystics:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shakira Austin | 18 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 39 |
| Sonia Citron | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 30 |
| Kiki Iriafen | 12 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 28 |
| Lauren Betts | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 17 |
| C. Prosper | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 16 |
Valkyries vs. Mystics game-day updates and essential details
Monday's game between the Mystics and Valkyries at CareFirst Arena is scheduled to begin at 7:30 PM ET.
- Who: Golden State Valkyries vs. Washington Mystics
- Date: Monday, July 6, 2026
- Time: 7:30 PM ET/4:30PM PT
- Venue: CareFirst Arena
Conclusion
We predict the Valkyries, with a 63.9% win probability, will likely beat the Mystics in Monday's WNBA matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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