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Read Article WNBA first basket picks and predictions for Tuesday, May 19, 2026
Updated: | First published:
Written by Nick Slade, Chief Content Officer
Get first basket predictions today backed by expert analysis of WNBA slate on 5/19.
Our WNBA first basket picks and predictions for today—Tuesday, May 19, 2026—are live with the Raptors' Marina Mabrey projected as the most likely player to score first.
Dimers’ first basket projections draw on key first basket stats, including player efficiency, shot frequency, and expected starting lineups, forming part of our daily WNBA player projections.
Mabrey, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas lead Tuesday’s most likely first basket scorers, while we also showcase tonight's top first basket value picks by comparing real-time odds to model-generated probabilities.
WNBA first basket predictions tonight (May 19, 2026)
| Player (Team) | FB Probability |
|---|---|
| Marina Mabrey (Tempo) | 12.5% |
| Kahleah Copper (Mercury) | 12.5% |
| Alyssa Thomas (Mercury) | 11.6% |
| Brittney Sykes (Tempo) | 11.2% |
| Jovana Nogic (Mercury) | 10.4% |
| Maria Conde (Tempo) | 9.0% |
| Nyara Sabally (Tempo) | 9.0% |
| DeWanna Bonner (Mercury) | 8.2% |
| Kiki Rice (Tempo) | 8.2% |
| Natasha Mack (Mercury) | 7.3% |
WNBA first basket picks today (May 19, 2026)
| Player | Team | Edge | Odds | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jovana Nogic | Mercury | 2.1% | +1100 | 10.4% |
| Kiki Rice | Tempo | 0.5% | +1200 | 8.2% |
| Marina Mabrey | Tempo | 0.0% | +700 | 12.5% |
Edges represent the difference between model probability and implied odds.
For more insights on prop markets and value plays across the league, explore our full list of NBA prop bets for 5/19.
Conclusion: Betting on today's NBA first basket
For Tuesday, May 19, 2026, Marina Mabrey, Kahleah Copper and Alyssa Thomas lead our first basket projections, while Jovana Nogic shapes as the strongest value play at +1100. All picks and predictions are derived from Dimers’ WNBA first basket model.
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Nick Slade, with nearly two decades of experience, is the Chief Content Officer at Cipher Sports Technology Group, overseeing content for Dimers. He specializes in soccer, NBA, and NHL betting, leveraging predictive analytics and machine learning to provide accurate betting insights.
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