Blue Jays vs. Mariners prediction: Seattle favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/5/2026]
Get Toronto Blue Jays vs Seattle Mariners predictions for MLB Sunday.

MLB action continues on Sunday at 5:00 PM ET as the Toronto Blue Jays lock horns with the Seattle Mariners at T-Mobile Park.
Emerson Hancock (5-4, 3.47 ERA) will be on the bump for the Mariners, pitting him against Trey Yesavage (4-3, 3.34 ERA) for the Blue Jays.
Based on updated simulations, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Mariners a slight edge with a 54.5% win probability over the Blue Jays.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Sunday's Blue Jays vs. Mariners matchup, including best bets and picks.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners prediction: Who will win and cover?
Our famous predictive model gives the Mariners a 54.5% chance of beating the Blue Jays.
According to our model, the Blue Jays (+1.5) have a 61.8% chance of covering the run line, while the 7.5-run over/under has a 52.4% chance of going over,.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners odds [7/5/2026]
We have sourced the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Blue Jays | Mariners |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+168) |
| Moneyline | +112 | -125 |
| Total | o7.5 (+100) | u7.5 (-120) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mariners -1.5 | +168 |
| Moneyline | Mariners | -125 |
| Total | Over 7.5 | +100 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 7.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Blue Jays vs. Mariners game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Mariners and Blue Jays at T-Mobile Park is scheduled to begin at 5:00 PM ET.
- Who: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Mariners
- Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
- Time: 5:00 PM ET/2:00PM PT
- Venue: T-Mobile Park
Conclusion
We predict the Mariners, with a 54.5% win probability, will likely beat the Blue Jays in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.



