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Read Article MLB player props today: Sunday's best props include Nolan McLean [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Mac Douglass, Senior Editor
Get MLB player props today with projections for Sunday's games.
Dimers' MLB props are live for July 5, 2026, with today's top prop bets led by the likes of Nolan McLean, Ranger Suarez and Casey Mize.
Our MLB player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Brewers vs. D-Backs and Marlins vs. Athletics, to surface the best MLB player prop bets across the market.
List of MLB prop picks for Sunday, 7/5
Sourced from 105+ total MLB props on site today, below are the top 10 MLB player props for July 5, ranked by probability.
Nolan McLean under 6.5 strikeouts (-184)
- Edge: 8.2%
- Probability: 73.0%
- Game: Mets vs. Braves (12:30PM ET)
Our model has flagged value on NY Mets' Nolan McLean under 6.5 strikeouts. A probability of 73.0% gives this play an edge of 8.2% at -184 odds.
Ranger Suarez under 6.5 strikeouts (-160)
- Edge: 9.9%
- Probability: 71.5%
- Game: Red Sox vs. Angels (9:30PM ET)
Ranger Suarez’s strikeouts prop shows a 71.5% probability and an 9.9% edge at -160 odds, according to our model.
Casey Mize under 17.5 outs recorded (-123)
- Edge: 8.1%
- Probability: 63.2%
- Game: Tigers vs. Rangers (3:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Casey Mize under 17.5 outs recorded, with simulations showing a 63.2% probability and an 8.1% edge at -123.
Rafael Devers over 1.5 bases (-151)
- Edge: 2.3%
- Probability: 62.5%
- Game: Giants vs. Rockies (4:00PM ET)
Our model finds value on Rafael Devers over 1.5 bases, with a 62.5% probability and an edge of 2.3% at -151 odds.
Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts (-138)
- Edge: 4.2%
- Probability: 62.2%
- Game: Brewers vs. D-Backs (4:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts for Milwaukee, showing an edge of 4.2% at -138 odds.
Joe Ryan under 6.5 strikeouts (-114)
- Edge: 8.8%
- Probability: 62.1%
- Game: Twins vs. Yankees (1:35PM ET)
Joe Ryan’s strikeouts prop shows an edge of 8.8% at -114 odds, supported by a 62.1% probability according to our model.
Tanner Gordon under 3.5 strikeouts (-130)
- Edge: 4.8%
- Probability: 61.3%
- Game: Giants vs. Rockies (4:00PM ET)
Our model highlights value on Tanner Gordon under 3.5 strikeouts for Colorado, with a 61.3% probability and a 4.8% edge at -130 odds.
Tyler Callihan to get a hit (-129)
- Edge: 3.8%
- Probability: 60.1%
- Game: Pirates vs. Nationals (1:00PM ET)
The data shows value on Tyler Callihan to get a hit, supported by a 60.1% probability at -129 odds and an edge of 3.8%.
Owen Caissie to get a hit (-122)
- Edge: 5.1%
- Probability: 60.0%
- Game: Marlins vs. Athletics (4:30PM ET)
A 5.1% edge on the to get a hit line makes Owen Caissie a value play in Marlins vs. Athletics, supported by a 60.0% probability at -122 odds.
Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases (-105)
- Edge: 8.7%
- Probability: 59.9%
- Game: Padres vs. Dodgers (7:20PM ET)
Simulations show value on Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases here, with a 59.9% probability and 8.7% edge at -105 odds.
MLB player prop summary: Sunday, July 5, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 2:53AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mets vs. Braves | Nolan McLean under 6.5 strikeouts | -184 @ FanDuel | 8.2% | 73.0% |
| Red Sox vs. Angels | Ranger Suarez under 6.5 strikeouts | -160 @ DraftKings | 9.9% | 71.5% |
| Tigers vs. Rangers | Casey Mize under 17.5 outs recorded | -123 @ DraftKings | 2.3% | 62.5% |
| Giants vs. Rockies | Rafael Devers over 1.5 bases | -151 @ DraftKings | 2.3% | 62.5% |
| Brewers vs. D-Backs | Brandon Sproat under 4.5 strikeouts | -138 @ DraftKings | 4.2% | 62.2% |
| Twins vs. Yankees | Joe Ryan under 6.5 strikeouts | -114 @ DraftKings | 8.8% | 62.1% |
| Giants vs. Rockies | Tanner Gordon under 3.5 strikeouts | -130 @ FanDuel | 4.8% | 61.3% |
| Pirates vs. Nationals | Tyler Callihan to get a hit | -129 @ DraftKings | 3.8% | 60.1% |
| Marlins vs. Athletics | Owen Caissie to get a hit | -122 @ DraftKings | 5.1% | 60.0% |
| Padres vs. Dodgers | Shohei Ohtani over 1.5 bases | -105 @ Fanatics | 8.7% | 59.9% |
Conclusion
For July 5, 2026, our MLB prop bets feature players such as Nolan McLean, Ranger Suarez and Casey Mize. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.
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