Jul 5, 2026
Phillies vs. Royals prediction: Philadelphia favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/5/2026]
Read Article Mets vs. Braves prediction: Why Atlanta is favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get New York Mets vs Atlanta Braves predictions for MLB Sunday.
The Atlanta Braves will square off with the New York Mets, in what is expected to be a tight MLB game, at Truist Park on Sunday, starting at 12:30 PM ET.
The Braves will send Martín Pérez (6-5, 3.27 ERA) to the mound, up against Nolan McLean (5-5, 3.78 ERA) for the Mets.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' proven MLB model gives the Braves a slight edge with a 51.0% win probability over the Mets.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Mets vs. Braves matchup, including best bets and picks.
Mets vs. Braves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB game between the Mets and Braves, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Braves a 51.0% chance of defeating the Mets.
According to our model, the Mets (+1.5) have a 63.5% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of nine runs has a 54.6% chance of going over,.
Mets vs. Braves odds [7/5/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mets | Braves |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-190) | -1.5 (+155) |
| Moneyline | +102 | -120 |
| Total | o9 (-110) | u9 (-109) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Mets vs. Braves picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Mets +1.5 | -190 |
| Moneyline | Mets | +102 |
| Total | Over 9 | -110 |
According to our best MLB bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 9 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Mets vs. Braves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB action between the Braves and Mets at Truist Park is scheduled to start at 12:30 PM ET.
- Who: New York Mets vs. Atlanta Braves
- Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
- Time: 12:30 PM ET/9:30AM PT
- Venue: Truist Park
Conclusion
We predict the Braves, with a 51.0% win probability, will likely beat the Mets in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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