Jul 5, 2026
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Read Article Twins vs. Yankees prediction: Yankees favored to win Sunday's MLB matchup [7/5/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Get Minnesota Twins vs New York Yankees predictions for MLB Sunday.
MLB action continues on Sunday at 1:35 PM ET as the Minnesota Twins square off with the New York Yankees at Yankee Stadium.
The Yankees will start Ryan Weathers (3-6, 4.08 ERA), while the Twins have opted for Joe Ryan (5-5, 3.61 ERA).
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced MLB model gives the Yankees a slight edge with a 54.7% win probability over the Twins.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's Twins vs. Yankees matchup, including best bets and picks.
Twins vs. Yankees prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's MLB matchup between the Twins and Yankees, forming part of our MLB predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model currently gives the Yankees a 54.7% chance of defeating the Twins.
According to our model, the Twins (+1.5) have a 62.1% chance of covering the run line, while the over/under total of 8.5 runs has a 54.7% chance of going over,.
Twins vs. Yankees odds [7/5/2026]
We have researched the best MLB odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Twins | Yankees |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | +1.5 (-188) | -1.5 (+158) |
| Moneyline | +116 | -135 |
| Total | o8.5 (-108) | u8.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Twins vs. Yankees picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Run Line | Yankees -1.5 | +158 |
| Moneyline | Twins | +116 |
| Total | Over 8.5 | -108 |
According to our MLB best bets, the top play to make on this game is Over 8.5 total runs.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Twins vs. Yankees game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's MLB matchup between the Yankees and Twins at Yankee Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:35 PM ET.
- Who: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees
- Date: Sunday, July 5, 2026
- Time: 1:35 PM ET/10:35AM PT
- Venue: Yankee Stadium
Conclusion
We predict the Yankees, with a 54.7% win probability, will likely beat the Twins in Sunday's MLB matchup.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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