Tunisia vs. Netherlands prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Thursday's World Cup 2026 game between Tunisia and the Netherlands, forming part of our World Cup 2026 predictions coverage.

Our famous predictive model currently indicates a 5.0% chance of Tunisia winning, an 84.4% chance for the Netherlands, and a 10.6% chance of a draw.

Additionally, the 3.5-goal over/under has a 50.9% chance of staying under, with a 55.5% probability of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, the Netherlands holds a 50.5% probability to win without conceding, with Tunisia at 2.3%.

For bettors looking to cover multiple outcomes, the most likely double chance result is the Netherlands to win or draw at 95.0%.

Netherlands vs. Tunisia odds

We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Moneyline

Tunisia	the Netherlands	Draw
+1800	-600	+1000

Total Goals

Over 3.5	Under 3.5
+105	-115

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

• Moneyline: the Netherlands @ +1000 via FanDuel
• Total Goals: Over 3.5 @ +105 via BetMGM
• Win to Nil: Tunisia @ +1850 via BetMGM
• Double Chance: Tunisia or Draw @ +550 via FanDuel
• Both Teams To Score: Yes @ +152 via FanDuel

According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is the Netherlands to win.

These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands: Correct score and BTTS predictions

Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 2-0 Netherlands win being the most probable:

Final Score	Probability
Tunisia 0-2 the Netherlands	11.9%
Tunisia 0-3 the Netherlands	11.9%
Tunisia 0-4 the Netherlands	8.9%

When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 44.5% chance of both sides finding the net and a 55.5% chance that at least one doesn’t.

Tunisia vs. Netherlands player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions

Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Thursday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Tunisia-the Netherlands:

Tunisia

• Hazem Mastouri: 10.1% probability
• Ismael Gharbi: 6.7% probability
• Anis Slimane: 6.3% probability
• Hannibal : 4.5% probability
• Ali Abdi: 4.2% probability

the Netherlands

• Cody Gakpo: 42.9% probability
• Brian Brobbey: 41.6% probability
• Donyell Malen: 39.2% probability
• Tijjani Reijnders: 22.7% probability
• Denzel Dumfries: 14.8% probability

Tunisia vs. Netherlands game-day updates and essential details

Thursday's soccer World Cup game between Tunisia and the Netherlands at Arrowhead Stadium is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: Tunisia vs. Netherlands
• Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Arrowhead Stadium

All dates and times mentioned in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise noted.

DraftKings promo for Tunisia vs. the Netherlands

If you're looking to get money down on Tunisia or the Netherlands, we recommend DraftKings Sportsbook, where new users can bet $5 and receive $200 in bonus bets instantly.

Conclusion

According to our computer model, Tunisia has a 5.0% win probability on Thursday, the Netherlands has an 84.4% win probability, and there is a 10.6% chance that the game will end in a draw.

Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.