Egypt vs. Iran prediction, odds, props, World Cup 2026 picks [Group Stage]
Get Egypt vs Iran predictions for World Cup 2026 Friday.
Egypt and Iran are scheduled to meet in Group G of the World Cup 2026 at Lumen Field on Friday, starting at 11:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations, Dimers' advanced World Cup 2026 model predicts Egypt as the most likely winner of the Egypt vs. Iran game.
This article offers a closer look at Friday's match, including best bets and picks.
Egypt vs. Iran prediction: Who will win?
Our independent predictive model currently indicates a 40.1% chance of Egypt winning, a 29.8% chance for Iran, and a 30.1% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 1.5-goal over/under has a 60.9% chance of going over, with a 59.1% likelihood of at least one team keeping a clean sheet. In the win to nil market, Egypt holds a 26.7% probability to win without conceding, with Iran at 19.6%.
For bettors looking to cover multiple potential outcomes, the most likely double chance result is Egypt to win or draw at 70.2%.
Iran vs. Egypt odds
We have researched the best World Cup 2026 odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Egypt | Iran | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| +150 | +290 | +160 |
Total Goals
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
|---|---|
| -170 | +140 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Egypt vs. Iran picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
- Moneyline: Iran @ +290 via FanDuel
- Total Goals: Over 1.5 @ -170 via DraftKings
- Win to Nil: Iran @ +400 via BetMGM
- Double Chance: Egypt or Iran @ -230 via FanDuel
- Both Teams To Score: No @ -130 via DraftKings
According to our best World Cup 2026 bets, the top play to make on this game is Iran to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Although they are not the most likely winner of the match, the edge provided on Iran's odds provide the best value right now.
Egypt vs. Iran: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Egypt win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Egypt 1-0 Iran | 14.4% |
| Egypt 1-1 Iran | 13.4% |
| Egypt 0-0 Iran | 12.8% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 40.9% chance of both sides finding the net and a 59.1% chance that at least one doesn’t.
Egypt vs. Iran player props: Anytime goal scorer predictions
Our World Cup 2026 player projections for Friday highlight the top candidates to score a goal in Egypt-Iran:
Egypt
- Mohamed Salah: 22.8% probability
- Omar Marmoush: 18.7% probability
- Mostafa Ziko: 15.3% probability
- Emam Ashour: 11.0% probability
- Ramy Rabia: 4.8% probability
Iran
- Mehdi Taremi: 18.8% probability
- Mohammad Mohebi: 13.2% probability
- Ramin Rezaeian: 7.0% probability
- Saman Ghoddos: 6.9% probability
- Aria Yousefi: 6.2% probability
Egypt vs. Iran game-day updates and essential details
Friday's soccer World Cup game between Egypt and Iran at Lumen Field is scheduled to commence at 11:00 PM ET.
- Who: Egypt vs. Iran
- Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
- Time: 11:00 PM ET/8:00PM PT
- Venue: Lumen Field
All dates and times in this article are United States Eastern Time unless otherwise stated.
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Conclusion
According to our computer model, Egypt has a 40.1% win probability on Friday, Iran has a 29.8% win probability, and there is a 30.1% chance that the game will end in a draw.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
