Netherlands vs. Tunisia Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Netherlands vs. Tunisia in the World Cup on June 25, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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WORLD CUP
Netherlands
3
1
Arrowhead Stadium
Tunisia
Arrowhead Stadium
TunisiaTUN
Score Summary
NetherlandsNED
H. Mastouri (54')
Soccer ball icon
E. Skhiri (o.g.) (3')
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B. Brobbey (7')
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J. P. van Hecke (62')
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Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Tunisia
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Netherlands
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tunisia: S. Tounekti replaces H. Mastouri
  2. 84'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Netherlands: N. Lang replaces C. Gakpo
  3. 78'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Netherlands: M. Depay replaces B. Brobbey
  4. 75'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tunisia: F. Chaouat replaces I. Gharbi
  5. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Netherlands: T. Koopmeiners replaces F. de Jong
  6. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Netherlands: J. Kluivert replaces T. Reijnders
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Netherlands: C. Summerville replaces D. Malen
  8. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tunisia: E. Achouri replaces A. Slimane
  9. 68'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tunisia: M. Ben Ouanes replaces M. Ben Hamida
  10. 67'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Tunisia: M. Belhadj replaces R. Khedira
  11. 62'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Netherlands by J. P. van Hecke, assisted by T. Reijnders
    3-1
  12. 54'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Tunisia by H. Mastouri, assisted by H. Mejbri
    2-1
  13. 7'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Netherlands by B. Brobbey, assisted by V. van Dijk
    2-0
  14. 3'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Netherlands by E. Skhiri (o.g.)
    1-0

Netherlands vs. Tunisia: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Netherlands vs. Tunisia prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Netherlands vs. Tunisia
  • Date: Thursday, June 25, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Arrowhead Stadium
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Netherlands -600, Tunisia +2600, draw +1000
  • Total (Over/Under): 3.5 goals (+106/-115)
  • Double chance: Netherlands or draw -4000, Tunisia or draw +550, Netherlands or Tunisia -1500
  • BTTS: Yes +152, No -150
  • Win to nil: Netherlands -135, Tunisia +2000

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Netherlands: 84.4%
  • Tunisia: 5.0%
  • Draw: 10.6%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Netherlands 3-0 Tunisia (11.9%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Netherlands vs. Tunisia? Prediction & correct score

Netherlands is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 84.4%.

The most likely correct score is Netherlands 3-0 Tunisia.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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