Belgium vs. New Zealand Prediction, Picks & Odds

Dimers' prediction and analysis for Belgium vs. New Zealand in the World Cup on June 26, 2026 includes win probabilities and picks for the biggest betting markets. Get Dimers Pro for full access.
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WORLD CUP
Belgium
5
1
BC Place
New Zealand
BC Place
New ZealandNZL
Score Summary
BelgiumBEL
E. Just (84')
Soccer ball icon
L. Trossard (28')
Soccer ball icon
L. Trossard (50')
Soccer ball icon
K. De Bruyne (66')
Soccer ball icon
R. Lukaku (86')
Soccer ball icon
A. Saelemaekers (90')
Soccer ball icon
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • New Zealand
    0.0%
  • Draw
    0.0%
  • Belgium
    100.0%
Win Probability
Match Timeline
  1. 90'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Belgium by A. Saelemaekers, assisted by R. Lukaku
    5-1
  2. 86'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Belgium by R. Lukaku, assisted by N. Raskin
    4-1
  3. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Belgium: R. Lukaku replaces C. De Ketelaere
  4. 85'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Belgium: N. Raskin replaces Y. Tielemans
  5. 84'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for New Zealand by E. Just
    3-1
  6. 79'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Zealand: F. De Vries replaces L. Cacace
  7. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Belgium: A. Saelemaekers replaces L. Trossard
  8. 72'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Belgium: A. Onana replaces K. De Bruyne
  9. 66'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Belgium by K. De Bruyne
    3-0
  10. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Zealand: M. Boxall replaces T. Payne
  11. 64'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Zealand: C. McCowatt replaces J. Bell
  12. 56'
    Yellow Card
    E. Just (New Zealand) cautioned
  13. 56'
    Substitution
    Substitution for Belgium: M. Fernandez-Pardo replaces J. Doku
  14. 50'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Belgium by L. Trossard, assisted by H. Vanaken
    2-0
  15. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Zealand: J. Randall replaces S. Singh
  16. 46'
    Substitution
    Substitution for New Zealand: B. Old replaces R. Thomas
  17. 46'
    Yellow Card
    M. Stamenic (New Zealand) cautioned
  18. 28'
    Soccer ball icon
    Goal scored for Belgium by L. Trossard
    1-0

Belgium vs. New Zealand: World Cup prediction & analysis

Dimers' Belgium vs. New Zealand prediction is powered by a data-driven model built specifically for World Cup matches. The model projects how many goals each team is expected to score, then converts those projections into probabilities and picks across major betting markets.

Our coverage includes predictions, bets and odds for moneyline, over/under, double chance, both teams to score (BTTS), win to nil, and correct score.

The model factors in team attacking and defensive performance, recent form, opponent strength, tournament history, match location and expected player involvement to deliver consistent insights across every World Cup match.

Match overview

  • Teams: Belgium vs. New Zealand
  • Date: Friday, June 26, 2026
  • Time: 11:00 PM ET
  • Venue: BC Place
  • Tournament: 2026 FIFA World Cup

Current betting odds

  • Moneyline: Belgium -550, New Zealand +1400, draw +750
  • Total (Over/Under): 3.5 goals (-140/+122)
  • Double chance: Belgium or draw -2500, New Zealand or draw +430, Belgium or New Zealand -1250
  • BTTS: Yes -115, No +110
  • Win to nil: Belgium +115, New Zealand +1850

Dimers' win & correct score probabilities

  • Belgium: 81.7%
  • New Zealand: 6.3%
  • Draw: 12.1%

These probabilities are generated using Dimers' World Cup data model, which predicts the most likely outcomes for all major betting markets.

Most likely correct score: Belgium 2-0 New Zealand (11.8%)

Correct score projections are based on expected scoring patterns. A team can have a higher chance of winning overall, even if the single most likely scoreline is a draw or narrow result.

Want Dimers' best bets for this matchup?

The most probable outcome isn't always the wisest wager.

The Dimers betting model calculates probabilities for all match outcomes to identify where it sees the strongest value across the betting markets, ranking every opportunity by model edge.

Join Dimers Pro to unlock complete betting analysis for this matchup across every major market, including:

  • Today's best bets
  • Moneyline probabilities
  • Total goals probabilities
  • Double chance probabilities
  • BTTS probabilities
  • Win to nil probabilities
  • Correct score probabilities
  • Anytime goalscorer probabilities
  • First goalscorer probabilities
  • 2+ and 3+ goals probabilities
  • Shots and shots on target projections

Unlock today's best bets for this match with Dimers Pro—cancel anytime.

Why trust Dimers' World Cup predictions?

The Dimers betting model has already uncovered standout betting opportunities throughout the World Cup, including:

These are just a few examples of how the Dimers model has identified betting value throughout the tournament.

Read how the Dimers Pro model nailed five bold Round 1 bets, including full pre-match reasoning and breakdowns.

Explore all of our 2026 World Cup Predictions to see today's model projections and betting insights across every match.

Who will win Belgium vs. New Zealand? Prediction & correct score

Belgium is the most likely winner of this match with a win probability of 81.7%.

The most likely correct score is Belgium 2-0 New Zealand.

But the most likely outcomes aren't always the best betting opportunities.

Get Dimers Pro to unlock today's best bets and complete betting analysis for this matchup.

Responsible gambling

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