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Storm vs. Mercury Prediction: Seattle Predicted to Win Saturday's WNBA Matchup [5/17/2025]
Our expert prediction for Saturday's Seattle Storm vs Phoenix Mercury matchup.

The Phoenix Mercury will face the favored Seattle Storm in WNBA action at PHX Arena on Saturday, commencing at 10:00PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the Storm as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Our team has used the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of Saturday's Seattle-Phoenix game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"By incorporating recent updates and various other inputs, we estimate that the Storm are more likely to win, while the Mercury have a lower chance of victory."
The Mercury, who have the likes of Satou Sabally, Kalani Brown and Alyssa Thomas, will face off against the Storm, who feature Nneka Ogwumike, Skylar Diggins-Smith and Ezi Magbegor.
For further insights into Saturday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Storm vs. Mercury predictions page.
Mercury vs. Storm Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using trusted machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the outcome of Saturday's WNBA game between the Storm and Mercury 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Storm a 73% chance of defeating the Mercury.
According to our model, the Mercury (+6.5) have a 51% chance of covering the spread, while the 157.5-point over/under has a 62% chance of going over.
Storm vs. Mercury Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type | Storm | Mercury |
---|---|---|
Spread | -6.5 (-105) | +6.5 (-108) |
Moneyline | -270 | +220 |
Total | o157.5 (-110) | u157.5 (-110) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Storm vs. Mercury Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Storm vs. Mercury matchup is on the spread.
Our expert predictions, matched against the latest odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our full suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Storm vs. Mercury Player Props
WNBA prop bets are a great way to wager on Saturday's Storm vs. Mercury game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at PHX Arena.
Nneka Ogwumike is expected to lead the Storm in scoring, while Satou Sabally is projected to be the top scorer for the Mercury.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Storm vs. Mercury Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Saturday's action between the Mercury and Storm at PHX Arena is scheduled to start at 10:00PM ET.
- Who: Seattle Storm vs. Phoenix Mercury
- Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025
- Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
- Venue: PHX Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Saturday's Storm vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Seattle vs. Phoenix picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
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Conclusion
We predict the Storm, with a 73% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Saturday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Storm vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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