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Spurs vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [1/11/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get San Antonio Spurs vs Minnesota Timberwolves predictions for NBA Sunday.
The Minnesota Timberwolves and San Antonio Spurs will meet in NBA action at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model projects the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Timberwolves game.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature stars like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs will rely on De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.
This article offers a closer look at Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's NBA matchup between the Spurs and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model gives the Timberwolves a 56% chance of beating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 116-114.
According to our model, the Spurs (+2) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the 233.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of staying under.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves odds
We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Spurs | Timberwolves |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +2 (-110) | -2 (-110) |
| Moneyline | +118 | -135 |
| Total | o233.5 (-108) | u233.5 (-106) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet
After matching our probabilities against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Spurs +2 | -110 |
| Moneyline | Timberwolves | -135 |
| Total | Under 233.5 | -106 |
According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 233.5 total points.
Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props
Looking for Spurs vs. Timberwolves NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.
De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.
Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.
Spurs prediction
Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| De'Aaron Fox | 21 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 40 |
| V. Wembanyama | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 44 |
| Stephon Castle | 17 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 37 |
| Keldon Johnson | 15 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 30 |
| J. Champagnie | 14 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 30 |
Timberwolves prediction
Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:
| Player | PTS | REB | AST | 3PM | DFS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Edwards | 28 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 49 |
| Julius Randle | 22 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 44 |
| Jaden McDaniels | 16 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 31 |
| Naz Reid | 14 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 31 |
| D. DiVincenzo | 14 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 32 |
Spurs vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details
Sunday's game between the Timberwolves and Spurs at Target Center is scheduled to begin at 7:00 PM ET.
- Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
- Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
- Venue: Target Center
Conclusion
We predict the Timberwolves, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Sunday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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