Spurs vs. Timberwolves prediction: Minnesota to win, Anthony Edwards projected for big game in Sunday's NBA matchup [1/11/2026]

The Minnesota Timberwolves will square off with the San Antonio Spurs in NBA action at Target Center on Sunday, starting at 7:00 PM ET.

Based on updated simulation results and today’s injury news, Dimers' proven NBA model predicts the Timberwolves as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Timberwolves game.

This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Timberwolves lineup will feature players like Anthony Edwards, Julius Randle and Jaden McDaniels, while the Spurs will be led by De'Aaron Fox, Victor Wembanyama and Stephon Castle.

This article offers further insights into Sunday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.

Spurs vs. Wolves prediction: Who will win and cover?

Using powerful machine learning and data analysis, we have simulated the result of Sunday's NBA game between the Spurs and Timberwolves 10,000 times as part of our NBA predictions coverage.

Our leading predictive model currently gives the Timberwolves a 56% chance of beating the Spurs. Our predicted final score has the Timberwolves winning 116-114.

According to our model, the Spurs (+2.5) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 232.5 points has a 53% chance of staying under.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves odds

We have researched the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

Bet Type	Spurs	Timberwolves
Spread	+2.5 (-110)	-2.5 (-108)
Moneyline	+120	-134
Total	o232.5 (-112)	u232.5 (-105)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves picks and best bet

After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:

Bet Type	Pick	Bet Now
Spread	Spurs +2.5	-110
Moneyline	Timberwolves	-134
Total	Under 232.5	-105

According to our best NBA bets for Sunday, the top play to make on this game is Under 232.5 total points.

Spurs vs. Timberwolves player props

Looking for San Antonio vs. Minnesota NBA prop bets? We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Target Center.

De'Aaron Fox is expected to lead the Spurs with 21 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists, while Anthony Edwards is projected to have 28 points, 6 rebounds and 4 assists for the Timberwolves.

Check out our NBA player projections for a full range of projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and today's NBA first basket picks.

Spurs prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Spurs are:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
De'Aaron Fox	21	4	6	2	40
V. Wembanyama	20	9	3	2	44
Stephon Castle	17	5	6	1	38
Keldon Johnson	15	7	2	1	30
J. Champagnie	14	7	2	3	30

Timberwolves prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers made for the Timberwolves:

Player	PTS	REB	AST	3PM	DFS
Anthony Edwards	28	6	4	3	49
Julius Randle	22	6	6	2	44
Jaden McDaniels	15	4	3	2	31
D. DiVincenzo	14	5	4	3	32
Naz Reid	13	6	3	3	30

Spurs vs. Wolves game-day updates and essential details

Sunday's matchup between the Timberwolves and Spurs at Target Center is scheduled to start at 7:00 PM ET.

• Who: San Antonio Spurs vs. Minnesota Timberwolves
• Date: Sunday, January 11, 2026
• Time: 7:00 PM ET/4:00PM PT
• Venue: Target Center

Conclusion

We predict the Timberwolves, with a 56% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs on Sunday, with Anthony Edwards projected for a game-high 49 fantasy points.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Spurs vs. Timberwolves insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are based on up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

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