Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: New York to win, Victor Wembanyama projected for big game in Game 3 of 2026 Finals
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get San Antonio Spurs vs New York Knicks predictions for NBA Playoffs Monday.
San Antonio Spurs vs. New York Knicks NBA prediction for Game 3 of the Finals series.
The New York Knicks will face the San Antonio Spurs in Game 231 of the 2026 NBA Finals at Madison Square Garden on Monday, starting at 8:30 PM ET.
Based on the latest simulations and today’s injury news, Dimers' advanced NBA model projects the Knicks as the most likely winner of the Spurs vs. Knicks Game 3 matchup.
This prediction follows the latest NBA Injury Report, which suggests the Knicks lineup will feature players like Jalen Brunson, Karl-Anthony Towns and OG Anunoby, while the Spurs will be led by Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle and De'Aaron Fox.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Monday's matchup, including an expanded look at the predicted score, best bets and player prop picks.
Spurs vs. Knicks prediction: Who will win Game 3?
Using innovative machine learning and data, we have simulated the result of Monday's NBA FInals game between the Spurs and Knicks, forming part of our NBA predictions coverage.
Our independent predictive model currently gives the Knicks a 58.1% chance of defeating the Spurs in Game 3 of the Finals. Our predicted final score in Game 231 of the 2026 NBA Finals has the Knicks winning 109-107.
According to our model, the Knicks (-2.5) have a 50.7% chance of covering the spread, while the 216.5-point over/under has a 51.2% chance of going over.
Spurs vs. Knicks Game 3 odds
We have sourced the best NBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Bet Type
Spurs
Knicks
Spread
+2.5 (-115)
-2.5 (-104)
Moneyline
+110
-130
Total
o216.5 (-105)
u216.5 (-110)
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Spurs vs. Knicks picks and best bet for Game 3
After matching our predictions against the best current odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
According to our NBA best bets, the top play to make on this game is Knicks to win.
These picks are based on our probabilities matched against the implied probabilities from the sportsbook odds.
Spurs vs. Knicks Game 3 player props
NBA player props are an exciting way to wager on the San Antonio vs. New York matchup without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Madison Square Garden.
Victor Wembanyama is expected to lead the Spurs with 29 points, 11 rebounds and 4 assists, while Jalen Brunson is projected to have 24 points, 3 rebounds and 7 assists for the Knicks.
For early game action, the data identifies Victor Wembanyama as the most probable player to secure the first basket.
Victor Wembanyama is projected to score 29 points tonight.
The winner of the 2026 NBA Finals between the Spurs and Knicks wins the NBA championship. Game 231 of the best-of-seven series is at New York's Madison Square Garden.
NBA postseason promo code for Novig
Make the most of Dimers' Spurs vs. Knicks predictions by exploring the below offer from Novig.
Conclusion
We predict the Knicks, with a 58.1% win probability, will likely beat the Spurs in Game 3 of the 2026 Finals.
Additional tools and information for betting safely can be found in our Responsible Gambling hub.
Continue reading with Dimers Pro
Join now to unlock this article and get full access to our predictions and betting tools. Cancel anytime.
Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
