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Saints vs. Patriots Week 5 Prediction and Odds - October 8, 2023
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Data
The New England Patriots and New Orleans Saints are scheduled to meet in Week 5 of the NFL season at Gillette Stadium on Sunday, with kickoff at 1:00PM ET.
Dimers' best betting picks for Saints vs. Patriots, as well as our score prediction, betting odds and projected player stats, are detailed below.
This New Orleans vs. New England betting analysis is proudly sponsored by Bet365, which has an awesome Bet $5, Get $150 in Bonus Bets promo for new customers.
Who Will Win: Saints vs. Patriots
Based on advanced machine learning and data, Dimers.com has simulated Sunday's Saints-Patriots NFL game 10,000 times.
Dimers' proven predictive analytics model, DimersBOT, currently gives the Patriots a 60% chance of defeating the Saints in Week 5 of the NFL season.
More: Betting Guide for Saints vs. Patriots
Saints vs. Patriots Odds
- Spread: Patriots -2.5 (-110), Saints +2.5 (-110)
- Moneyline: Patriots -124, Saints +114
- Total: Over/Under 39.5 (-102/-120)
The Patriots are listed as -2.5 favorites versus the Saints, with -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook the best odds currently available.
For the underdog Saints (+2.5) to cover the spread, DraftKings Sportsbook also has the best odds currently on offer at -110.
FanDuel Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Patriots at -124, which means you can risk $124 to win $100, for a total payout of $224, if they get the W.
Meanwhile, DraftKings Sportsbook currently has the best moneyline odds for the Saints at +114, where you can bet $100 to profit $114, earning a total payout of $214, if they win.
The Over/Under sits at 39.5 with FanDuel Sportsbook, which currently has the best odds for the Over at -102, as well as the best odds for the Under at -120.
As always, check out all the sportsbooks available in your state for the best NFL odds and lines.
According to DimersBOT, the Saints (+2.5) have a 53% chance of covering the spread, while the 39.5-point Over/Under has a 52% chance of going Under.
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More: Best Prop Bets to Make TodayBest Bets: Saints vs. Patriots
- Spread: Saints +2.5 @ -110 via DraftKings Sportsbook (53% probability)
- Moneyline: Patriots @ -124 via FanDuel Sportsbook (60% probability)
- Total: Over 39.5 @ -102 via FanDuel Sportsbook
Our best bets are based on detailed simulations and gambling intelligence to serve you the best possible plays every day of the year.
Despite the Under being more likely to hit on this occasion, Over 39.5 is our best bet on account of the better odds (-102) that are available from FanDuel Sportsbook.
Saints vs. Patriots Prediction
Dimers.com's predicted final score for New Orleans vs. New England at Gillette Stadium in Week 5 has the Patriots winning 20-18.
Click or tap on See Matchup for more information.
Dimers has full betting coverage of this week's Saints-Patriots game in Week 5, including pregame predictions, computer picks, and live win probabilities.
Saints vs. Patriots Player Props
Who will score an anytime touchdown in Saints vs. Patriots? The latest data is in.
Featured below are the most likely first touchdown and most likely anytime touchdown scorers for both the Saints and Patriots, as well as player stat projections.
And you know what, we provide this information to you for FREE to help you select the best prop bets for Sunday's game.
According to DimersBOT, New Orleans' Alvin Kamara is most likely to score the first touchdown in Saints vs. Patriots.
DimersBOT gives Kamara a 9.9% chance of scoring the first TD at Gillette Stadium, while the Saints RB is a 38.4% chance of scoring an anytime touchdown.
Scroll down for the complete list of first and anytime TD scorer probabilities, which provide a great avenue for you to use this DraftKings Sportsbook offer, which unlocks $200 in bonus bets from a $5 bet on any of the below players.
First Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
New Orleans Saints
- Alvin Kamara: 9.9% probability
- Chris Olave: 9.5% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 8.1% probability
- Michael Thomas: 7.7% probability
- Foster Moreau: 4.7% probability
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 9.4% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 8.6% probability
- Hunter Henry: 7.4% probability
- DeVante Parker: 6.1% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 4.6% probability
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Probabilities
New Orleans Saints
- Alvin Kamara: 38.4% probability
- Chris Olave: 36.0% probability
- Rashid Shaheed: 32.6% probability
- Michael Thomas: 29.9% probability
- Foster Moreau: 18.6% probability
New England Patriots
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 36.9% probability
- Ezekiel Elliott: 34.2% probability
- Hunter Henry: 29.0% probability
- DeVante Parker: 24.3% probability
- Kendrick Bourne: 18.4% probability
Saints-Patriots Projected Player Stats
Of the starting quarterbacks, the Saints' Derek Carr is projected for 212 passing yards. The Patriots' Mac Jones is expected to throw for 209 yards.
Saints Starting QB
- Derek Carr: 212 projected yards
Patriots Starting QB
- Mac Jones: 209 projected yards
Saints Rushing
- Alvin Kamara: 49 projected yards
- Taysom Hill: 14 projected yards
- Kendre Miller: 8 projected yards
Patriots Rushing
- Rhamondre Stevenson: 59 projected yards
- Ezekiel Elliott: 28 projected yards
- Mac Jones: 9 projected yards
Saints Receiving
- Chris Olave: 67 projected yards
- Michael Thomas: 47 projected yards
- Rashid Shaheed: 37 projected yards
- Alvin Kamara: 31 projected yards
- Foster Moreau: 24 projected yards
Patriots Receiving
- Hunter Henry: 44 projected yards
- DeVante Parker: 41 projected yards
- Kendrick Bourne: 36 projected yards
- Demario Douglas: 25 projected yards
- JuJu Smith-Schuster: 25 projected yards
Remember, DimersBOT updates frequently, so refresh this article for any changes to our betting insights ahead of Saints vs. Patriots on Sunday October 8, 2023.
NFL Predictions
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ML, Spread & O/U Predictions
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Saints vs. Patriots 2023
The NFL Week 5 action between the Patriots and Saints at Gillette Stadium is scheduled to commence at 1:00PM ET.
- Who: New Orleans Saints vs. New England Patriots
- Date: Sunday October 8, 2023
- Time: 1:00PM ET / 10:00AM PT
- Venue: Gillette Stadium
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Make Smarter Sports Betting Decisions with Dimers
Our predictions are based on 10,000 simulations per game, using reliable and up-to-date data sources and analytical methods.
While these Saints vs. Patriots predictions can help you make informed decisions, it's crucial that you only bet what you can afford to lose and manage your bankroll effectively.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Want More NFL Analysis Like This?
To get more NFL betting predictions like you've just read for Saints vs. Patriots, all you've gotta do is visit our NFL Betting News page. It's that easy – they're all there!
We use the power of predictive analytics to find edges in the markets so we can produce the most comprehensive NFL betting previews available. We're able to do this by comparing our in-house probabilities against the sportsbooks' odds (aka Vegas odds) the minute they go live.
So, get ahead of the game and beat the bookies today – check out our NFL picks and predictions.
In addition to our leading NFL predictions, Dimers also offers the best NFL prop bets today, projecting passing yards, touchdowns, and more against the top odds available every day of the NFL season.
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Dimers Data Dimers Data delivers cold-blooded analysis straight from thousands of simulations run by predictive models built by our in-house team of data scientists and analysts. No hunches. No guesswork. Just pure, data-led insight serious bettors rely on to stay ahead.
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