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Puebla vs. Mazatlan prediction, odds, Liga MX picks [1/13/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Ryan Leaver, Senior Sports and Betting Editor
Get Puebla vs Mazatlan predictions for Liga MX Tuesday.
Puebla will take on Mazatlan in the Liga MX playoffs on Tuesday, beginning at 6:00 PM ET.
Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' advanced Liga MX model predicts Puebla as the most likely winner of the Puebla vs. Mazatlan game.
This article offers an expanded analysis of Tuesday's matchup, including best bets and picks.
Puebla vs. Mazatlan prediction: Who will win?
Using trusted machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Tuesday's Liga MX matchup between Puebla and Mazatlan 10,000 times as part of our Liga MX predictions coverage.
Our leading predictive model indicates a 51.2% chance of Puebla winning, a 23.1% chance for Mazatlan, and a 25.7% chance of a draw.
Additionally, the 2.5-goal over/under has a 55% chance of staying under, according to our model.
Puebla vs. Mazatlan odds
We have sourced the best Liga MX odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
Moneyline
| Puebla | Mazatlan | Draw |
|---|---|---|
| -145 | +430 | +280 |
Total Goals
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
|---|---|
| -112 | -108 |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
Puebla vs. Mazatlan picks and best bet
After matching our predictions against the best available odds, we can reveal our picks for each of the major markets. Plus, find our best bet for the game below:
| Bet Type | Pick | Bet Now |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | Mazatlan | +430 |
| Total Goals | Under 2.5 | -108 |
According to our Liga MX best bets, the top play to make on this game is Mazatlan to win.
Puebla vs. Mazatlan: Correct score and BTTS predictions
Here are the top three most likely final scores according to our model, with a 1-0 Puebla win being the most probable:
| Final Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| PUE 1-0 MZA | 12.9% |
| PUE 1-1 MZA | 12.1% |
| PUE 2-0 MZA | 9.9% |
When it comes to the both teams to score (BTTS) market, we project a 47.8% chance that both Puebla and Mazatlan score, and a 52.2% probability of at least one team being held goalless.
These predictions are based on each team's average score after 10,000 simulations.
Puebla vs. Mazatlan game-day updates and essential details
Tuesday's game between Puebla and Mazatlan is scheduled to start at 6:00 PM ET.
- Who: Puebla vs. Mazatlan
- Date: Tuesday, January 13, 2026
- Time: 6:00 PM ET/3:00PM PT
Conclusion
According to our computer model, Puebla has a 51.2% win probability on Tuesday, Mazatlan has a 23.1% win probability, and there is a 25.7% chance that the game will end in a draw.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Puebla vs. Mazatlan insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from the latest data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Ryan Leaver uses advanced statistical models and simulations to predict outcomes and provide predictions for the NBA, NFL, college football, college basketball, and soccer. He offers detailed game previews, best bets, props, and futures articles.
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