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Read Article Mercury vs. Sparks Prediction: Los Angeles Predicted to Win Sunday's WNBA Matchup [6/1/2025]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Jason Bevilacqua, Head of Content and Communities
Our expert prediction for Sunday's Phoenix Mercury vs Los Angeles Sparks matchup.
The Los Angeles Sparks will square off with the Phoenix Mercury in WNBA action at Crypto.com Arena on Sunday, commencing at 6:00PM ET.
Based on the latest simulation results, Dimers' advanced WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) predicts the Sparks as the most likely winner of today's game.
"Using the most recent data, our experts ran 10,000 simulations of Sunday's Phoenix-Los Angeles game," said Dimers' Chief Content Officer, Nick Slade.
"After accounting for recent updates and other variables, our prediction shows the Sparks with a win probability of 67%, while the Mercury have 33%."
The Sparks, with stars like Kelsey Plum, Dearica Hamby and Azura Stevens, will face off against the Mercury, whose lineup includes Satou Sabally, Kalani Brown and Sami Whitcomb.
For further insights into Sunday's matchup, including best bets and player prop picks, visit our interactive Mercury vs. Sparks predictions page.
Get 20% off Dimers Pro With Code 20BASKETBALL Get Dimers Pro Sparks vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win, Cover the Spread?
Using powerful machine learning and data, we have simulated the outcome of Sunday's WNBA game between the Mercury and Sparks 10,000 times as part of our WNBA predictions coverage.
Our famous predictive model gives the Sparks a 67% chance of defeating the Mercury.
According to our model, the Sparks (-4) have a 52% chance of covering the spread, while the over/under total of 164.5 points has a 53% chance of going over.
Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 10:01PM, Jun 1
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
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Mercury vs. Sparks Odds
We have sourced the best WNBA odds in America for this game, which are listed here:
| Bet Type | Mercury | Sparks |
|---|---|---|
| Spread | +4 (-108) | -4 (-112) |
| Moneyline | +160 | -185 |
| Total | o164.5 (-110) | u164.5 (-108) |
All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.
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Mercury vs. Sparks Picks and Best Bets
Our model's biggest edge in today's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup is on the moneyline.
Our expert predictions, matched against the current odds, reveal the best WNBA picks and WNBA best bets for every game throughout the season.
Unlimited access to our complete suite of picks, including this one, is available via Dimers Pro.
Unlock Every Mercury-Sparks Pick Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Sparks Player Props
WNBA prop bets are a common way to wager on Sunday's Mercury vs. Sparks game without necessarily betting on the outcome. We use the best information available to project how each team's leading players will perform at Crypto.com Arena.
Satou Sabally is expected to lead the Mercury in scoring, while Kelsey Plum is projected to be the top scorer for the Sparks.
Dimers Pro users can access a full range of player props and projected box scores, including points, assists, rebounds and more, for every WNBA game this season.
Projected Box Scores for Every WNBA Game Get Dimers Pro Mercury vs. Sparks Game-Day Updates and Essential Details
Sunday's game between the Sparks and Mercury at Crypto.com Arena is scheduled to begin at 6:00PM ET.
- Who: Phoenix Mercury vs. Los Angeles Sparks
- Date: Sunday, June 1, 2025
- Time: 6:00PM ET/3:00PM PT
- Venue: Crypto.com Arena
Dimers.com's full preview of Sunday's Mercury vs. Sparks matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.
Before making any Phoenix vs. Los Angeles picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.
Conclusion
We predict the Sparks, with a 67% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Sunday.
AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Mercury vs. Sparks insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are drawn from up-to-date data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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Jason Bevilacqua, an expert in MLB, NHL, NBA, MLS, and NFL, delivers game previews, best bets, and props. Since 2020, as Head of Social and Community at Dimers, he has contributed insightful articles utilizing data-driven models and simulations.
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