Phillies @ Mets: Predictions, picks and bets

The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies go ‘round again tonight and for the Phillies, they’ll be looking to make it six wins in a row.

Philadelphia has been on a hot run of form as of late but goes into this one as underdogs against a New York Mets team who have been up and down all year.

Will it be the Phillies who continue their dominance, or can the Mets steal one? Here are our top plays:

Quick Picks are Dimers’ best sports betting picks. Based on analytics, each pick is made after at least 10,000 simulations per game. The higher the edge, the better. Learn More

Dimers' Suggested Plays
🔥BEST: Mets ML (-171*)
🏃Run line: Phillies +1.5 (-140*)
👆Over/Under: o9 runs (-121*)
🚨 Best online sportsbooks here

BEST
Moneyline: Mets (-171*) has a 61% probability

Despite the Phillies good form, our DimersBOT believes the Mets have the ascendancy today. Starting New York pitcher Seth Lugo has an impressive ERA of 2.12, so the Mets will need to strike early in the game and pile on the runs while Lugo is running hot if they are to win this one.

Run line
Phillies +1.5 (-140*) has a 56% chance of covering the run line

Our model says that New York wins, but only just. The Phillies are better odds to cover the run line and do have the form lines to suggest this is a safe bet. Get up to 40% winnings boost with BetMGM when you opt-in and place a 4+ leg parlay on any combination of sports or events.

Over/Under
o9 runs (-121*) has a 53% chance of going over

Seth Lugo has done well to limit the opposition’s offense when he has pitched, but once the bullpens are sent out, we expect this one to open up and for the runs to flow.

Dimers' take-out

A really interesting one with our model defying Philadelphia’s form. There is a lot of value to be had by parlaying a Mets win with the Phillies to cover the run line.

⚾️ Check out our best MLB plays for the day

*odds are correct at time of publishing