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New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: Liberty Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Tuesday's WNBA Game [6/18/2024]

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Written by Mac Douglass
New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury: Liberty Predicted to Win After New Data Released for Tuesday's WNBA Game [6/18/2024]

The Phoenix Mercury will take on the favored New York Liberty in WNBA action at Footprint Center on Tuesday, starting at 10:00PM ET.

The Mercury, who have the likes of Kahleah Copper, Diana Taurasi and Brittney Griner, will face off against a Liberty team that includes Breanna Stewart, Sabrina Ionescu and Jonquel Jones.

Based on updated simulation results, Dimers' predictive WNBA model (see Dimers Pro for full access) projects the New York Liberty as the most likely winner of the game.

"Our team utilized the latest data to run 10,000 simulations of the upcoming Liberty-Mercury game on Tuesday," said Nick Slade from Dimers.

"By integrating all recent updates and numerous additional factors, our prediction gives the Liberty a 72% chance of victory, while the Mercury stand at 28%."

Mercury vs. Liberty Game-Day Updates and Essential Details

Tuesday's action between the Mercury and Liberty at Footprint Center is scheduled to begin at 10:00PM ET.

  • Who: New York Liberty vs. Phoenix Mercury
  • Date: Tuesday, June 18, 2024
  • Time: 10:00PM ET/7:00PM PT
  • Venue: Footprint Center

Dimers.com's in-depth preview of Tuesday's Liberty vs. Mercury matchup includes our prediction, picks and the latest betting odds.

Before making any Mercury vs. Liberty picks, be sure to check out the latest WNBA predictions and betting advice from Dimers Pro.

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Liberty vs. Mercury Prediction: Who Will Win?

We have used advanced machine learning and data to simulate the result of Tuesday's WNBA game between the Liberty and Mercury 10,000 times, in line with our coverage of WNBA picks.

Our independent predictive analytics model gives the Liberty a 72% chance of beating the Mercury.

According to our model, the 171.5-point over/under has a 54% chance of going under.

Pre-Game Probabilities
Last Updated: 1:31AM, Jun 19
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Liberty
Liberty -5.0
53%
47%
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro
See Matchup
Mercury
Liberty NY
Liberty -5.0
53%
47%
See Matchup
Mercury PHX
Get the best bets with Dimers Pro

Liberty vs. Mercury Odds

We have sourced the best betting odds in America for this game, which are listed here:

  • Moneyline: Mercury +185, Liberty -220
  • Total: Over/Under 171.5 (-110/-110)

All odds are correct at the time of publication and are subject to change.

Liberty vs. Mercury Picks

Our model's biggest edge in this Liberty vs. Mercury matchup is on the moneyline.

Our expert predictions, matched against the best odds, reveal the best WNBA bets in each major market every day of the season.

Unlimited access to our picks is available via Dimers Pro.

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Liberty vs. Mercury Player Props

WNBA player props are a common way to wager on Tuesday's Liberty vs. Mercury game without necessarily betting on the outcome.

We have crunched the numbers to project how each team's leading players will perform at Footprint Center.

Breanna Stewart is expected to lead the way for the Liberty with 22 points, 10 rebounds and 4 assists, while Kahleah Copper is projected to finish with 22 points, 5 rebounds and 2 assists for the Mercury.

Liberty Prediction

Our model's projected player stats for the Liberty are:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Breanna Stewart 22 10 4 2
Sabrina Ionescu 19 5 6 4
Jonquel Jones 17 12 3 1
Betnijah Laney 16 4 3 2
Leonie Fiebich 8 3 2 2

Mercury Prediction

Projected points, rebounds, assists and three-pointers for the Mercury:

Player PTS REB AST 3PM
Kahleah Copper 22 5 2 2
Diana Taurasi 20 5 4 3
Brittney Griner 15 7 3 0
Natasha Cloud 13 5 7 1
Sophie Cunningham 8 2 2 1

For more help with your WNBA prop betting, check out the best WNBA betting trends for today's games.

Conclusion

We predict the Liberty, with a 72% win probability, will likely beat the Mercury on Tuesday.

AI and automation have enhanced this article to quickly deliver accurate Liberty vs. Mercury insights, with human oversight ensuring high editorial quality. Our predictions are rooted in current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Note: Clicking links to our partners may earn us a referral fee.

More on WNBA

Stay informed with the latest WNBA news and our data-led WNBA picks and parlays all season long.

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Written by
Mac Douglass
Senior Editor

Mac Douglass specializes in NFL previews for the NFC South and NFC East, MLB best bets, Formula 1 race previews, and professional tennis insights. Combining predictive simulations and data-driven sports analysis, Mac provides in-depth content to elevate the betting experience for sports fans.

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