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NCAA March Madness Betting Picks - Thursday March 24, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Staff
Sweet Sixteen action gets underway with four hype games, and our experts have gone through them with a fine tooth comb to provide three free picks for the action.
It's Thursday March 24, 2022, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's CBB games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for basketball bettors across the United States as we prepare to crown a new College Basketball Champion on April 4.
With March Madness betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Thursday's NCAAM games.
Given it's March, there's no doubt you're looking to bet on some College Hoops over the coming weeks? Well, our new Dimers Pro service is here to help!
Tap below to read all about it.
March Madness Picks Thursday March 24, 2022
Arkansas vs. Gonzaga, 7:10PM ET
Pick by The Degenerates
Gonzaga and Arkansas are set to clash in San Francisco here, which will feature two teams that had high expectations coming into the season. Arkansas is fresh off back-to-back victories against Vermont and New Mexico State in rounds 1 and 2 of the NCAA tournament, but they will face their toughest competition tonight. On the other side, Gonzaga had to overcome a 10-point halftime deficit but came away with the win against Memphis.
Arkansas is led by JD Notae, who comes into this game averaging 18.4 PPG to go along with 3.6 APG. Notae is going to play a huge factor in this matchup as the Razorbacks need to get scoring from the guard position. Another critical player in this game is Jaylin Williams, who is averaging 10.5 points and 9.8 rebounds per game. Williams will be tasked with dealing with Chet Holmgren and Drew Timme, and he should create nightmares for both. Au’Diese Toney will also be crucial in this one, as he is one of the best wing rebounders in the country corralling 5.2 per game while also contributing over 10 points per game.
To compete in this game, Arkansas is going to have to almost mimic the game plan that Memphis had against the Zags. Memphis was able to cause a ton of turnovers and they crashed the glass every possession. The Razorbacks are top performers in both turnover-rate and defensive rebounding, so expect them to crash the glass hard and get out in transition.
Arkansas has been battle-tested all year long playing in the SEC gauntlet. The Razorbacks getting almost 10 points in any game is a play we’ll almost always take, and we expect Arkansas to compete for a win until the very end tonight.
BET: Arkansas +9.5 (-110)
DimersBOT probability: 55%
🏀 Arkansas vs. Gonzaga Simulator
🔥 Betting Preview: Arkansas vs. Gonzaga
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Michigan vs. Villanova, 7:40PM ET
Pick by Prospector Sam
Almost every season you see a team get overseeded in the Tournament and then get rewarded for it. This years winner of the “Committee Lottery” (or, more appropriately, the “Committee cares about things besides basketball like money and storylines circus”) was Michigan, who didn’t deserve anything more than a First Four bid, only to get an 11 Seed and a date with a Mountain West team that was outmatched on paper from an athleticism standpoint. They won that game, coupled with an impressive win over Tennessee (I’m not completely spiteful), but the buck stops here.
Michigan thrives on being oversized and long (Writers Note:...... that was unintentionally phallic and I apologize) up front with Dickinson being the focal point of that approach. And while Nova’s tallest starter is just 6 foot 8, which will create a size mismatch, their high energy defense and 14th ranked scoring efficiency are going to cause nightmares for Michigan. If the Wolverines can hit 3s and spread Villanova’ defense then they have a very real chance of winning, but they don’t shoot a high percentage from behind the arc and that will allow the Wildcats to help more down low. Add in that Michigan has won three games in a row just ONCE all season and it’s hard to expect consistency from them either. I think the Wildcats, with experienced players and coaching, will handle this comfortably.
BET: Villanova -5 (-110)
DimersBOT probability: 49%
🏀 Michigan vs. Villanova Simulator
🔥 Betting Preview: Michigan vs. Villanova
Texas Tech vs. Duke, 9:40PM ET
Pick by Greg Waddell (Sleepers)
Duke comes into this game as the underdog, which surprises me. Michigan State had the Blue Devils on the ropes, but Duke's stars made big plays in big moments to steal the game (and the cover) back in the Round of 32. Despite all of Duke's ups and downs this season, we can't forget how talented this unit is, or how they have fared in big games (2-0 against top 10 KenPom teams, with wins over Kentucky and Gonzaga).
Texas Tech deserves to be taken seriously here, what Mark Adams has done this year is nothing short of incredible. But the Red Raiders' will need more than culture to get a win here, and I just don't trust the shot creators on Texas Tech to be able to match Duke's professional scorers in crunch time.
PICK: Duke +1 (-110)
DimersBOT probability: 48%
🏀 Texas vs. Purdue Simulator
🔥 Betting Preview: Texas vs. Purdue
Want to take Dimers Pro for a test drive? Well, new customers can open an account with BetMGM, deposit $10 and place a bet, and then get FREE access to Dimers Pro during the CBB Tournament.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every college basketball game on Thursday via our CBB Bet Hub, where we deliver you CBB predictions and suggested bets, or check out the CBB Betting News section.
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