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NCAA March Madness Betting Picks - Friday March 25, 2022
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dimers Staff
Friday brings another huge day of Sweet Sixteen action, with four action-packed games coming our way, and we're got free picks.
It's Friday March 25, 2022, and, as always, we've simulated all of the day's CBB games 10,000 times each to determine where the value lies for basketball bettors across the United States as we prepare to crown a new College Basketball Champion on April 4.
With March Madness betting picks, probabilities, odds and predicted scores featured each and every day, check out our top plays for Friday's NCAAM games.
Given it's March, there's no doubt you're looking to bet on some College Hoops over the coming weeks? Well, our new Dimers Pro service is here to help!
Tap below to read all about it.
March Madness Picks Friday March 25, 2022
Providence vs. Kansas, 7:30PM ET
Pick by Greg Waddell (Sleepers)
"The luckiest team in America" is a term that has been thrown around about Providence all season long, and the first two rounds of the NCAA Tournament didn't do much to change that notion, as the Friars avoided Iowa in favor of an overmatched Richmond team.
Here's what I call the Friars - "the most profitable team in my betting app". Providence is 19-13 against the spread this season (Kansas is 18-18 ATS, in comparison). The Friars have covered 7.5 points in 29 of 32 games on the year. Kansas is a very good team, but they aren't world beaters. In 19 games against KenPom top 50 opponents, the Jayhawks only won by more than 7.5 points seven times.
I believe Providence is too tough and too well-coached not to make this a game, and I'll be sprinkling on Providence ML as well.
PICK: Providence +7.5 (-110)
DimersBOT probability: 51%
🏀 Providence vs. Kansas Simulator
🔥 Betting Preview: Providence vs. Kansas
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UNC vs. UCLA, 9:30PM ET
Pick by Prospector Sam
Well, I’ve faded the Tar Heels twice so far in the Tournament and it obviously hasn’t paid off, so it’s time to learn my lesson and turn heel here (seriously, how do I not get paid for this? That’s top of the line work). UNC has dominated both games they’ve played so far, largely because their 3 point shooting has kicked into gear, and they have enough overall talent to match up with most teams in the country. You might say “well what about the Baylor collapse?” Well, dear friend, that game was going perfectly well until they had a starter thrown out of the game, which completely fucks up your ability to execute a gameplan, and I don’t expect that to happen again. With Bacot causing havoc down low and the play that UNC has gotten out of R.J. Davis so far, they could win this game and maybe one or two more.
As for UCLA, I’m just not sold. They struggled badly against mighty Akron in the first round and won their matchup with St. Mary’s based mostly on the gap in overall skill alone. They won’t have that advantage against UNC who gets as much recruiting talent as they do (if not more), and it will take a complete performance to beat the Heels. If UCLA can force more contested 3s and get Bacot into foul trouble then they very well could win (or if Juzang just has one of his super hero games), but UNC is the more complete team right now and UCLA isn’t quite as good as their record or seed. Take the Tar Heels to win.
PICK: UNC moneyline (+116)
DimersBOT edge: 1% edge on the sportsbooks
🏀 UNC vs. UCLA Simulator
🔥 Betting Preview: UNC vs. UCLA
Iowa State vs. Miami (FL), 10:00PM ET
Pick by The Degenerates
The Miami Hurricanes and Iowa State Cyclones meet in the Sweet 16 in a matchup that almost nobody predicted. The Hurricanes came into the tournament as a 10 seed, while the Cyclones were given the 11 seed. Both teams have had some impressive victories to get here, as Miami defeated USC and Auburn while Iowa State took down LSU and Wisconsin. If you’ve been following The Degenerates all year long, you know Miami has made us a ton of money and we expect them to do so again today.
Miami relies on their guards to produce the majority of the points the team scores, and this effort is led by Kam McGusty (17.5 PPG, 4.9 RPG, 2.5 APG) and Isaiah Wong (15.5 PPG, 4.3 RPG, 2.0 APG). Wong and McGusty are both experienced guards, which should give them an advantage over true freshman Tyrese Hunter for the Cyclones. As a team, Miami ranks 80th in the country in scoring offense and 22nd in the country in field goal percentage. The Cyclones rely on their defense, but keeping Wong, McGusty, and the supporting cast in check is something few teams have been able to do this year.
Iowa State has struggled to score all year long, and this has continued in the NCAA tournament. The Cyclones shot just 34.5% from the field in their round two win, not to mention the 21.4% they shot from three. This offense is consistently terrible, which comes in at 292nd in the nation in scoring.
Iowa State might be able to keep this one close into the second half, but the playmaking ability of both Isaiah Wong and Kam McGusty is going to give Iowa State problems all night. Expect these two stars to make big plays down the stretch to send Miami to the Elite 8.
PICK: Miami Florida moneyline (-135)
DimersBOT probability: 60%
🏀 Iowa State vs. Miami Florida Simulator
🔥 Betting Preview: Iowa State vs. Miami Florida
Want to take Dimers Pro for a test drive? Well, new customers can open an account with BetMGM, deposit $10 and place a bet, and then get FREE access to Dimers Pro during the CBB Tournament.
Your game not here? Find out who we're betting on for every college basketball game on Friday via our CBB Bet Hub, where we deliver you CBB predictions and suggested bets, or check out the CBB Betting News section.
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