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NCAA March Madness 2022 - Futures Bets and Picks

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Written by Dimers Staff
NCAA March Madness 2022 - Futures Bets and Picks

Before we dive into the First Round of the 2022 NCAAM Tournament we need to look at the best value futures bets we've identified, when matching the sportsbook odds against our model's probabilities.

Our predictive analytics model simulates every College Basketball game over 10,000 times to find us betting opportunities not visible to the human eye. As part of this, we also simulate the entire tournament to see if we can unearth the CBB Championship Winner.

You can get full betting previews for every game of March Madness in our CBB News section.

Now, while the almighty DimersBOT has found some great long term value in the below teams, if you're looking for the 'BOT to provide plays all tourney, Dimers Pro is what you need!

Tap below to read all about it:

 

March Madness 2022 Futures Picks

Gonzaga Bulldogs

BET: To Win the National Title (+350)

While the Bulldogs are heavy favorites to be cutting down the nets this season, remarkably, there are widespread suggestions that there's no value in betting them at their current odds. Let's just say our legendary DimersBOT could not disagree with that sentiment anymore, even if it tried!

Our futures model has the Zags as a 34.4% chance of winning it all this year, which actually gives us a HUGE edge on the +350 odds that we're seeing at most books.

If you want to root for the best team in the country this month, but don't really want to bet on -1000 Moneylines (who does?) for the first three rounds of the tournament, then you could do a lot worse than throw some money down on this play.

  • DimersBOT probability to win: 34.4%
  • Sportsbooks' implied probability (+350 odds): 22.2%

There is a significant discrepency between our probabilities and those of the sportsbooks, so Gonzaga is a BET 🔥

Like this analysis? Then access Dimers Pro for FREE when you create a BetMGM account and bet just $10.

 

Baylor Bears

BET: To Make the Final Four (+240)

Last year's champions are dividing opinion coming into March Madness this season, but the 'BOT is really liking their chances to at least make the Final Four once again.

Although this edge on the implied probability isn't as large as the other bets in this article, the +240 on offer to make it to the Final Four is still very nice.

To get there, the Bears will need to take down UCLA in the Elite Eight, who we have actually written about down below.

  • DimersBOT probability: 30.2%
  • Sportsbooks' Implied probability (+240 odds): 29.4%

RELATED: 5 Players To Watch During March Madness 2022


Houston Cougars

BET: To Make the Elite Eight (+350)

The biggest edge our model has identified for March Madness 2022 is with the Houston Cougars, who the 'BOT actually rates as the seventh best chance of winning the whole thing.

Whilst there is value in them to win the national championship (5.8% probability compared to 2.4% implied by the odds), our suggested play here is for them to make the Elite Eight.

If you want to check out their likely potential paths to the Elite Eight, our March Madness bracket simulator is the tool for you.

  • DimersBOT probability: 35.9%
  • Sportsbooks' Implied probability (+350 odds): 22.2%

There is a significant discrepency between our probabilities and those of the sportsbooks, so Houston to make the Elite Eight is a BET 🔥

Like this analysis? Then access Dimers Pro for FREE when you create a BetMGM account and bet just $10.

 

RELATED: 5 Teams To Watch During March Madness 2022


UCLA Bruins

BET: To Make the Sweet Sixteen (-144)

"What? -144?!" you might be asking. Yep, these odds don't look great for a futures bet, but when the edge is this big, it's hard to say no.

DimersBOT has the Bruins as a 71.5% chance of making the Sweet Sixteen, but if you're feeling them to go even further, their Elite Eight (35.1%) and Final Four (19.2%) probabilities are also nice compared to the odds on offer.

  • DimersBOT probability: 71.5%
  • Sportsbooks' Implied probability (-144 odds): 59.1%

There is a significant discrepency between our probabilities and those of the sportsbooks, so UCLA Bruins to make the Sweet Sixteen is a BET 🔥

 

GET FREE ACCESS TO DIMERS PRO: Join BetMGM, deposit $10 and then place a bet to get started

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