NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Norman Powell [1/22/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for January 22, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Norman Powell, Matas Buzelis and Peyton Watson.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Warriors vs. Mavericks and Lakers vs. Clippers, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop picks for Thursday, 1/22

Sourced from 55+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 22, ranked by edge.

Norman Powell over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 12.1%
• Probability: 50.3%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Heat vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Miami's Norman Powell over 1.5 steals. A probability of 50.3% gives this play an edge of 12.1% at +162 odds.

Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Bulls vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

Matas Buzelis’s blocks prop shows an 11.8% edge at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.2 blocks on the over 1.5 line.

Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals (+165)

• Edge: 10.8%
• Probability: 48.5%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Nuggets vs. Wizards (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals, with simulations showing a 48.5% probability and a 10.8% edge at +165.

Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.5%
• Probability: 46.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Spurs vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Stephon Castle to record 1.3 steals today, creating an edge of 10.5% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 46.2%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Warriors vs. Mavericks (7:30PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals for Dallas, showing an edge of 10.2% at +178 odds.

Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks (+178)

• Edge: 10.2%
• Probability: 46.1%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Rockets vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

Joel Embiid’s blocks prop shows an edge of 10.2% at +178 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 today.

Keyonte George over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 9.9%
• Probability: 43.9%
• Projection: 1.0
• Game: Spurs vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

Our model projects Keyonte George for 1.0 steals for Utah, creating an edge of 9.9% on over 1.5 at +194 odds.

Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 9.6%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Bulls vs. Timberwolves (8:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jaden McDaniels for 1.4 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds and a 9.6% edge.

Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals (+159)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Rockets vs. 76ers (7:00PM ET)

A 9.2% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Alperen Sengun a value play in Rockets vs. 76ers, with our model projecting him for 1.4 steals at +159 odds.

Jake LaRavia over 1.5 steals (+162)

• Edge: 9.0%
• Probability: 47.2%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Lakers vs. Clippers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations project Jake LaRavia for 1.3 steals here, creating a 9.0% edge on the over 1.5 line at +162 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, January 22, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 6:55PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Heat vs. Trail Blazers	Norman Powell over 1.5 steals	+162 @ DraftKings	12.1%	50.3%
Bulls vs. Timberwolves	Matas Buzelis over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	11.8%	47.8%
Nuggets vs. Wizards	Peyton Watson over 1.5 steals	+165 @ DraftKings	10.5%	46.5%
Spurs vs. Jazz	Stephon Castle over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.5%	46.5%
Warriors vs. Mavericks	Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	10.2%	46.2%
Rockets vs. 76ers	Joel Embiid over 1.5 blocks	+178 @ FanDuel	10.2%	46.1%
Spurs vs. Jazz	Keyonte George over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	9.9%	43.9%
Bulls vs. Timberwolves	Jaden McDaniels over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	9.6%	47.8%
Rockets vs. 76ers	Alperen Sengun over 1.5 steals	+159 @ DraftKings	9.2%	47.8%
Lakers vs. Clippers	Jake LaRavia over 1.5 steals	+162 @ FanDuel	9.0%	47.2%

Conclusion

For January 22, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Norman Powell, Matas Buzelis and Peyton Watson. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers encourages responsible gambling.