Heat vs. Trail Blazers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Heat vs. Trail Blazers NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA sport icon
NBA
Heat
110
127
Moda Center
Trail Blazers
Moda Center
TEAM1234T
Heat
31 20 0 0 110
Trail Blazers
38 21 0 0 127
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Heat
    <1%
  • Trail Blazers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Heat
31 20 0 0 110
Trail Blazers
38 21 0 0 127
Q4 00:45 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:22 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:47 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:58 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:40 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:14 Heat makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:11 Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:36 Heat misses three point jump shot
Q4 6:55 Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:58 Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:25
    Caleb Love defensive rebound
  2. Q4 00:42
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  3. Q4 00:45
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 1:22
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  5. Q4 1:47
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  6. Q4 1:47
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  7. Q4 1:47
    +1
    Andrew Wiggins makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    51-59
  8. Q4 1:58
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  9. Q4 2:21
    Toumani Camara defensive rebound
  10. Q4 2:40
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  11. Q4 2:47
    Toumani Camara offensive rebound
  12. Q4 3:06
    Heat violation
  13. Q4 3:14
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  14. Q4 3:16
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  15. Q4 3:48
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  16. Q4 4:03
    Heat 60 second timeout
  17. Q4 4:44
    Heat turnover
  18. Q4 5:25
    Heat personal foul
  19. Q4 5:25
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  20. Q4 5:54
    Heat turnover
  21. Q4 6:11
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  22. Q4 6:35
    Pelle Larsson offensive rebound
  23. Q4 6:36
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  24. Q4 6:55
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  25. Q4 6:58
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  26. Q4 7:21
    +3
    Heat makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  27. Q4 7:51
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  28. Q4 7:56
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 8:07
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  30. Q4 8:07
    Stoppage (Other)
  31. Q4 8:35
    Trail Blazers turnover
  32. Q4 8:37
    Donovan Clingan offensive rebound
  33. Q4 8:39
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  34. Q4 9:23
    Trail Blazers turnover
  35. Q4 9:36
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  36. Q4 9:36
    Heat personal foul
  37. Q4 9:36
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Caleb Love)
  38. Q4 9:38
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 10:08
    Caleb Love defensive rebound
  40. Q4 10:20
    Simone Fontecchio defensive rebound
  41. Q4 10:31
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  42. Q4 10:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  43. Q4 10:31
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson)
  44. Q4 10:41
    Heat turnover
  45. Q4 11:26
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  46. Q3 00:00
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  47. Q4 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday, Caleb Love)
  48. Q3 00:20
    Toumani Camara defensive rebound
  49. Q3 00:39
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  50. Q3 00:39
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  51. Q3 1:03
    Trail Blazers 60 second timeout
  52. Q3 1:03
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Robert Williams III, Jrue Holiday, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love)
  53. Q3 1:03
    Trail Blazers turnover
  54. Q3 1:45
    Myron Gardner misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  55. Q3 1:51
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  56. Q3 2:02
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  57. Q3 2:22
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  58. Q3 2:22
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  59. Q3 2:22
    +1
    Dru Smith makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-59
  60. Q3 2:32
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  61. Q3 2:32
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover (offensive foul)
  62. Q3 2:32
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  63. Q3 2:48
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  64. Q3 3:03
    +2
    Shaedon Sharpe makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
    51-59
  65. Q3 3:14
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  66. Q3 3:32
    Heat personal foul
  67. Q3 3:32
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    51-59
  68. Q3 3:32
    +1
    Jerami Grant makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    51-59
  69. Q3 3:35
    Heat turnover
  70. Q3 3:40
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  71. Q3 3:49
    Robert Williams III defensive rebound
  72. Q3 4:01
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  73. Q3 4:14
    Heat turnover
  74. Q3 4:21
    Robert Williams III offensive rebound
  75. Q3 4:21
    +2
    Robert Williams III makes two point tip dunk
    51-59
  76. Q3 4:26
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  77. Q3 4:34
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  78. Q3 4:36
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  79. Q3 4:49
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell)
  80. Q3 4:49
    Heat 60 second timeout
  81. Q3 4:49
    Instant replay
  82. Q3 4:49
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love)
  83. Q3 4:49
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell)
  84. Q3 4:49
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara)
  85. Q3 4:49
    Heat challenge timeout
  86. Q3 4:51
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  87. Q3 5:24
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  88. Q3 5:45
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  89. Q3 6:07
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. misses three point jump shot
  90. Q3 6:34
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-59
  91. Q3 6:34
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love)
  92. Q3 6:49
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  93. Q3 7:08
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  94. Q3 7:36
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  95. Q3 7:39
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  96. Q3 8:04
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  97. Q3 8:26
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  98. Q3 8:59
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  99. Q3 8:59
    Heat 60 second timeout
  100. Q3 9:20
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  101. Q3 9:36
    Heat turnover
  102. Q3 10:03
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  103. Q3 10:26
    Deni Avdija defensive rebound
  104. Q3 10:28
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  105. Q3 10:50
    Deni Avdija defensive rebound
  106. Q3 10:54
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  107. Q3 11:09
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  108. Q3 11:09
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  109. Q3 11:13
    Trail Blazers turnover
  110. Q3 11:15
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  111. Q3 11:16
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  112. Q3 11:50
    +1
    Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-59
  113. Q3 11:50
    +1
    Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-59
  114. Q2 00:00
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  115. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  116. Q3 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson)
  117. Q2 00:03
    Trail Blazers misses three point jump shot
  118. Q2 00:29
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  119. Q2 00:46
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  120. Q2 00:49
    Heat misses three point jump shot
  121. Q2 1:06
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  122. Q2 1:16
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  123. Q2 1:39
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  124. Q2 1:48
    Norman Powell turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  125. Q2 1:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  126. Q2 1:52
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  127. Q2 2:06
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  128. Q2 2:09
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  129. Q2 2:09
    Heat offensive rebound
  130. Q2 2:28
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point reverse layup
    51-59
  131. Q2 2:37
    Andrew Wiggins defensive rebound
  132. Q2 2:49
    Jerami Grant misses three point jump shot
  133. Q2 3:01
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. personal foul (Toumani Camara draws the foul)
  134. Q2 3:01
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
  135. Q2 3:01
    Heat lineup change (Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson)
  136. Q2 3:20
    Shaedon Sharpe personal foul
  137. Q2 3:20
    Norman Powell misses technical free throw 1 of 1
  138. Q2 3:20
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover (offensive foul)
  139. Q2 3:20
    Shaedon Sharpe technical foul
  140. Q2 3:20
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Deni Avdija, Robert Williams III, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara)
  141. Q2 3:59
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point running layup
    51-59
  142. Q2 4:12
    Toumani Camara shooting foul (Norman Powell draws the foul)
  143. Q2 4:12
    +1
    Norman Powell makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    51-59
  144. Q2 4:30
    +2
    Trail Blazers makes two point jump shot
    51-61
  145. Q2 5:09
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  146. Q2 5:22
    +3
    Toumani Camara makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  147. Q2 5:34
    +2
    Heat makes two point jump shot
    51-59
  148. Q2 5:42
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  149. Q2 5:58
    +1
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    51-59
  150. Q2 6:29
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    51-59
  151. Q2 7:00
    Heat 60 second timeout
  152. Q2 7:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Sidy Cissoko, Robert Williams III, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love)
  153. Q2 7:00
    Heat lineup change (Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson)
  154. Q2 7:03
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  155. Q2 7:05
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  156. Q2 7:40
    Deni Avdija defensive rebound
  157. Q2 7:46
    Bam Adebayo offensive rebound
  158. Q2 8:02
    Deni Avdija offensive rebound
  159. Q2 8:04
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  160. Q2 8:27
    Trail Blazers personal foul
  161. Q2 8:34
    Heat misses two point jump shot
  162. Q2 8:48
    +3
    Trail Blazers makes three point jump shot
    43-48
  163. Q2 9:01
    +2
    Dru Smith makes two point reverse layup (Bam Adebayo assists)
    41-43
  164. Q2 9:10
    Bam Adebayo defensive rebound
  165. Q2 9:17
    +2
    Simone Fontecchio makes two point running layup (Pelle Larsson assists)
    39-43
  166. Q2 9:46
    Jrue Holiday personal foul (Simone Fontecchio draws the foul)
  167. Q2 10:08
    +1
    Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    35-43
  168. Q2 10:08
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Simone Fontecchio, Pelle Larsson)
  169. Q2 10:08
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Rayan Rupert, Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Jrue Holiday, Caleb Love)
  170. Q2 10:36
    +2
    Deni Avdija makes two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot (Donovan Clingan assists)
    35-41
  171. Q2 10:46
    Myron Gardner personal foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)
  172. Q2 11:08
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  173. Q2 11:18
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  174. Q2 11:18
    +1
    Sidy Cissoko makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-39
  175. Q2 11:29
    +2
    Bam Adebayo makes two point jump shot
    33-38
  176. Q2 11:40
    Myron Gardner defensive rebound
  177. Q2 11:44
    Dru Smith blocks Jrue Holiday's three point jump shot
  178. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  179. Q2 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Myron Gardner, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio)
  180. Q1 00:01
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  181. Q1 00:03
    Deni Avdija misses two point driving layup
  182. Q1 00:38
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. turnover (traveling)
  183. Q1 00:38
    Trail Blazers defensive rebound
  184. Q1 00:50
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. defensive rebound
  185. Q1 00:57
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Jerami Grant, Sidy Cissoko, Deni Avdija, Robert Williams III, Caleb Love)
  186. Q1 1:17
    +3
    Simone Fontecchio makes three point jump shot (Nikola Jovic assists)
    29-35
  187. Q1 1:29
    +2
    Jerami Grant makes two point driving finger roll layup (Toumani Camara assists)
    26-35
  188. Q1 1:46
    Dru Smith offensive rebound
  189. Q1 1:50
    Bam Adebayo misses three point jump shot
  190. Q1 2:33
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  191. Q1 2:36
    Toumani Camara misses three point pullup jump shot
  192. Q1 2:53
    Dru Smith defensive rebound
  193. Q1 2:55
    Caleb Love misses two point running layup
  194. Q1 3:06
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Bam Adebayo, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Simone Fontecchio, Nikola Jovic)
  195. Q1 3:06
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  196. Q1 3:25
    Robert Williams III blocks Jaime Jaquez Jr.'s two point driving finger roll layup
  197. Q1 3:43
    +3
    Caleb Love makes three point jump shot
    23-28
  198. Q1 3:54
    Toumani Camara offensive rebound
  199. Q1 3:57
    Caleb Love misses three point jump shot
  200. Q1 4:07
    Shaedon Sharpe misses two point running layup
  201. Q1 4:07
    Dru Smith turnover (traveling)
  202. Q1 4:12
    Shaedon Sharpe defensive rebound
  203. Q1 4:15
    Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  204. Q1 4:48
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point pullup jump shot (Andrew Wiggins assists)
    23-25
  205. Q1 4:58
    Nikola Jovic defensive rebound
  206. Q1 5:10
    Robert Williams III blocks Norman Powell's two point driving floating jump shot
  207. Q1 5:28
    Heat 60 second timeout
  208. Q1 5:28
    Heat lineup change (Dru Smith, Andrew Wiggins, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Nikola Jovic, Norman Powell)
  209. Q1 5:38
    +2
    Norman Powell makes two point running dunk
    21-23
  210. Q1 5:48
    Andrew Wiggins misses three point jump shot
  211. Q1 5:51
    Jaime Jaquez Jr. offensive rebound
  212. Q1 6:09
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love)
  213. Q1 6:09
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Jrue Holiday, Toumani Camara)
  214. Q1 6:09
    Instant replay
  215. Q1 6:09
    Instant replay (Request)
  216. Q1 6:10
    +3
    Shaedon Sharpe makes three point jump shot (Deni Avdija assists)
    19-23
  217. Q1 6:34
    +3
    Toumani Camara makes three point pullup jump shot
    19-20
  218. Q1 6:42
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  219. Q1 6:56
    Jrue Holiday personal foul (Kasparas Jakucionis draws the foul)
  220. Q1 6:56
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Toumani Camara, Caleb Love)
  221. Q1 7:24
    Deni Avdija turnover (bad pass) (Bam Adebayo steals)
  222. Q1 7:39
    +3
    Kasparas Jakucionis makes three point jump shot (Pelle Larsson assists)
    17-14
  223. Q1 8:14
    +2
    Toumani Camara makes two point putback layup
    12-12
  224. Q1 8:15
    Toumani Camara offensive rebound
  225. Q1 8:31
    Bam Adebayo misses three point stepback jump shot
  226. Q1 8:43
    +2
    Deni Avdija makes two point driving finger roll layup (Donovan Clingan assists)
    12-10
  227. Q1 9:08
    Andrew Wiggins shooting foul (Deni Avdija draws the foul)
  228. Q1 9:08
    +1
    Deni Avdija makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    9-7
  229. Q1 9:14
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  230. Q1 9:14
    Deni Avdija turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
  231. Q1 9:26
    +2
    Andrew Wiggins makes two point running finger roll layup
    9-6
  232. Q1 9:33
    Trail Blazers misses two point jump shot
  233. Q1 9:52
    Shaedon Sharpe turnover (back court violation)
  234. Q1 9:53
    Bam Adebayo turnover (bad pass) (Shaedon Sharpe steals)
  235. Q1 9:53
    Trail Blazers turnover
  236. Q1 10:07
    +3
    Andrew Wiggins makes three point jump shot (Kasparas Jakucionis assists)
    5-6
  237. Q1 10:16
    +2
    Donovan Clingan makes two point cutting dunk (Jrue Holiday assists)
    2-6
  238. Q1 10:37
    +2
    Jrue Holiday makes two point tip layup
    2-4
  239. Q1 10:38
    Jrue Holiday offensive rebound
  240. Q1 10:51
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    1-2
  241. Q1 10:51
    +1
    Bam Adebayo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    2-2
  242. Q1 11:14
    Trail Blazers offensive rebound
  243. Q1 11:14
    Trail Blazers turnover (shot clock violation)
  244. Q1 11:37
    Donovan Clingan defensive rebound
  245. Q1 11:43
    Bam Adebayo misses two point turnaround fadeaway jump shot
  246. Q1 12:00
    Heat lineup change (Kasparas Jakucionis, Bam Adebayo, Andrew Wiggins, Norman Powell, Pelle Larsson)
  247. Q1 12:00
    Trail Blazers lineup change (Deni Avdija, Donovan Clingan, Shaedon Sharpe, Jrue Holiday, Toumani Camara)
Box Score
Heat
PosPlayerPts
Trail Blazers
PosPlayerPts

Heat vs. Trail Blazers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Heat vs. Trail Blazers
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Time: 10:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Moda Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Trail Blazers favored at -3.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 235.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Heat +136, Trail Blazers -150

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Heat: 42%
  • Trail Blazers: 58%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Heat 116-118 Trail Blazers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Heat a win probability of 42%, while the Trail Blazers have a win probability of 58%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Trail Blazers are more likely to beat the Heat in the NBA game at Moda Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Heat vs. Trail Blazers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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