Spurs vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Jazz NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Spurs
126
109
Delta Center
Jazz
Delta Center
TEAM1234T
Spurs
31 34 32 29 126
Jazz
31 22 39 17 109
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Spurs
    >99%
  • Jazz
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Spurs
31 34 32 29 126
Jazz
31 22 39 17 109
Q4 00:51 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:20 Jusuf Nurkic misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:27 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:17 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:44 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:54 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 7:19 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:39 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:00
    End of 4th Quarter.
  2. Q4 00:01
    Jazz turnover
  3. Q4 00:51
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  4. Q4 00:52
    Ace Bailey offensive rebound
  5. Q4 1:12
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    126-109
  6. Q4 1:45
    Spurs turnover
  7. Q4 1:45
    Jazz turnover
  8. Q4 2:41
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  9. Q4 3:00
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    120-109
  10. Q4 3:20
    Jusuf Nurkic misses two point jump shot
  11. Q4 3:55
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  12. Q4 4:25
    Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
  13. Q4 4:27
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  14. Q4 5:13
    Ace Bailey offensive rebound
  15. Q4 5:17
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  16. Q4 5:44
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    109-104
  17. Q4 5:48
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  18. Q4 6:06
    Spurs offensive rebound
  19. Q4 6:06
    Jazz personal foul
  20. Q4 6:36
    Spurs personal foul
  21. Q4 6:54
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    109-99
  22. Q4 7:04
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  23. Q4 7:19
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  24. Q4 7:39
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    104-99
  25. Q4 7:55
    Spurs personal foul
  26. Q4 8:14
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  27. Q4 8:17
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  28. Q4 8:25
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  29. Q4 9:03
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  30. Q4 9:05
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 9:21
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  32. Q4 9:31
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  33. Q4 10:12
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  34. Q4 10:15
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  35. Q4 10:28
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  36. Q4 10:36
    Jazz violation
  37. Q4 10:48
    Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
  38. Q4 11:02
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    99-97
  39. Q4 11:11
    Spurs turnover
  40. Q4 11:45
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    99-92
  41. Q4 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin)
  42. Q3 00:43
    Jazz turnover
  43. Q3 00:56
    Kevin Love shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
  44. Q3 00:56
    Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
  45. Q3 00:56
    Jazz defensive rebound
  46. Q3 00:56
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes technical free throw 1 of 1
    95-89
  47. Q3 00:58
    Carter Bryant offensive rebound
  48. Q3 1:02
    Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
  49. Q3 1:08
    Isaiah Collier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  50. Q3 1:32
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  51. Q3 1:55
    +1
    Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    97-89
  52. Q3 2:14
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    94-89
  53. Q3 2:40
    Spurs offensive rebound
  54. Q3 2:40
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    80-77
  55. Q3 2:42
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
  56. Q3 2:47
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  57. Q3 2:47
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Jeremy Sochan, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
  58. Q3 2:47
    Isaiah Collier personal foul (Carter Bryant draws the foul)
  59. Q3 2:49
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  60. Q3 3:12
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
    80-77
  61. Q3 3:20
    Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
  62. Q3 3:35
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Kevin Love)
  63. Q3 3:35
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Kevin Love)
  64. Q3 3:35
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-77
  65. Q3 3:35
    Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
  66. Q3 4:01
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    80-77
  67. Q3 4:15
    +2
    Cody Williams makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
    80-77
  68. Q3 4:21
    Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
  69. Q3 4:23
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  70. Q3 5:09
    +1
    Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    80-77
  71. Q3 5:09
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
  72. Q3 5:26
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  73. Q3 5:29
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  74. Q3 5:36
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  75. Q3 5:52
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  76. Q3 5:58
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  77. Q3 5:58
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  78. Q3 6:23
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  79. Q3 6:23
    Stephon Castle misses two point tip layup
  80. Q3 6:27
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  81. Q3 6:58
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    78-73
  82. Q3 7:14
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  83. Q3 7:48
    Victor Wembanyama blocks Jazz's two point jump shot
  84. Q3 8:00
    Spurs defensive rebound
  85. Q3 8:09
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    76-68
  86. Q3 8:09
    Instant replay
  87. Q3 8:22
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    80-77
  88. Q3 8:31
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  89. Q3 8:33
    +2
    Jusuf Nurkic makes two point jump shot (Ace Bailey assists)
    73-65
  90. Q3 8:33
    Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  91. Q3 8:55
    Instant replay (Request)
  92. Q3 8:55
    Jazz personal foul
  93. Q3 9:00
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  94. Q3 9:15
    De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
  95. Q3 9:18
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  96. Q3 9:19
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  97. Q3 9:52
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    69-63
  98. Q3 10:13
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    69-63
  99. Q3 10:28
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  100. Q3 10:29
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 10:43
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    67-58
  102. Q3 11:00
    Cody Williams misses two point tip layup
  103. Q3 11:02
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  104. Q3 11:02
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  105. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  106. Q3 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey)
  107. Q2 00:04
    +3
    Spurs makes three point jump shot
    65-53
  108. Q2 00:32
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  109. Q2 00:46
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  110. Q2 00:48
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  111. Q2 1:08
    Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
  112. Q2 1:11
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
  113. Q2 1:14
    Cody Williams offensive rebound
  114. Q2 1:17
    Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
  115. Q2 1:30
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    61-51
  116. Q2 1:35
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  117. Q2 2:04
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  118. Q2 2:08
    Instant replay (Request)
  119. Q2 2:08
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  120. Q2 2:08
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  121. Q2 2:08
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  122. Q2 2:17
    Stephon Castle offensive rebound
  123. Q2 2:19
    Keldon Johnson misses two point layup
  124. Q2 2:34
    +2
    Keyonte George makes two point driving layup
    61-51
  125. Q2 2:59
    Cody Williams shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
  126. Q2 2:59
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
  127. Q2 2:59
    +1
    Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    65-53
  128. Q2 3:11
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    61-51
  129. Q2 3:40
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    61-51
  130. Q2 4:13
    Kevin Love defensive rebound
  131. Q2 4:32
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  132. Q2 4:32
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  133. Q2 4:38
    Cody Williams offensive rebound
  134. Q2 4:41
    Svi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot
  135. Q2 5:04
    Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
  136. Q2 5:04
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  137. Q2 5:05
    De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
  138. Q2 5:16
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    52-41
  139. Q2 5:22
    Spurs misses three point jump shot
  140. Q2 5:38
    +1
    Cody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-41
  141. Q2 5:38
    Cody Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  142. Q2 5:48
    +2
    Keldon Johnson makes two point turnaround jump shot
    50-35
  143. Q2 6:00
    +3
    Jazz makes three point jump shot
    50-35
  144. Q2 6:20
    Spurs offensive rebound
  145. Q2 6:20
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  146. Q2 6:21
    Spurs misses two point jump shot
  147. Q2 6:28
    Kevin Love misses two point pullup jump shot
  148. Q2 6:40
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
    50-35
  149. Q2 6:59
    Jazz turnover
  150. Q2 6:59
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Kelly Olynyk, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin)
  151. Q2 6:59
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Svi Mykhailiuk, Kevin Love, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  152. Q2 7:12
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  153. Q2 7:13
    Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
  154. Q2 7:34
    Spurs personal foul
  155. Q2 7:48
    +2
    Spurs makes two point jump shot
    52-41
  156. Q2 8:24
    +2
    Jazz makes two point jump shot
    52-41
  157. Q2 8:45
    Isaiah Collier misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  158. Q2 9:09
    Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
  159. Q2 9:09
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  160. Q2 9:25
    Jazz turnover
  161. Q2 9:43
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  162. Q2 10:07
    +1
    Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-31
  163. Q2 10:08
    Isaiah Collier turnover (Stephon Castle steals)
  164. Q2 10:15
    Kyle Filipowski personal foul
  165. Q2 10:15
    Instant replay
  166. Q2 10:15
    +1
    Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    33-31
  167. Q2 10:15
    Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin)
  168. Q2 10:19
    Jazz misses two point jump shot
  169. Q2 10:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  170. Q2 10:47
    Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
  171. Q2 10:50
    Jazz misses three point jump shot
  172. Q2 10:59
    Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
  173. Q2 11:12
    Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
  174. Q2 11:14
    Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point jump shot
  175. Q2 11:26
    +2
    Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
    33-31
  176. Q1 00:00
    End of 1st Quarter.
  177. Q1 00:00
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Isaiah Collier assists)
    31-31
  178. Q2 12:00
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin)
  179. Q2 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Jusuf Nurkic, Ace Bailey, Walter Clayton Jr.)
  180. Q1 00:24
    Isaiah Collier misses two point pullup jump shot
  181. Q1 00:30
    Spurs offensive rebound
  182. Q1 00:30
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    27-29
  183. Q1 00:30
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  184. Q1 00:30
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  185. Q1 00:31
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  186. Q1 00:31
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  187. Q1 00:31
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
  188. Q1 00:45
    +1
    Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-29
  189. Q1 00:45
    De'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
  190. Q1 00:51
    Dylan Harper defensive rebound
  191. Q1 00:54
    Isaiah Collier misses two point driving floating jump shot
  192. Q1 1:11
    Carter Bryant defensive rebound
  193. Q1 1:14
    Brice Sensabaugh misses three point pullup jump shot
  194. Q1 1:43
    De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
  195. Q1 1:45
    Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
  196. Q1 2:04
    Kelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot
  197. Q1 2:13
    Spurs challenge timeout
  198. Q1 2:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  199. Q1 2:13
    Spurs 60 second timeout
  200. Q1 2:17
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Kevin Love, Ace Bailey)
  201. Q1 2:17
    Dylan Harper blocks Keyonte George's two point driving reverse layup
  202. Q1 2:17
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Kevin Love, Ace Bailey)
  203. Q1 2:22
    Keyonte George offensive rebound
  204. Q1 2:24
    Keyonte George misses two point running layup
  205. Q1 2:42
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    26-27
  206. Q1 2:42
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    26-26
  207. Q1 2:53
    De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
  208. Q1 3:01
    Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
  209. Q1 3:24
    Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Kelly Olynyk)
  210. Q1 3:26
    +2
    Kevin Love makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
    26-25
  211. Q1 3:36
    Keyonte George shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
  212. Q1 3:36
    Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  213. Q1 4:01
    +3
    Keldon Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
    26-20
  214. Q1 4:12
    Jump ball. Kelly Olynyk vs. Kyle Filipowski (Carter Bryant gains possession)
  215. Q1 4:25
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Kelly Olynyk)
  216. Q1 4:25
    Dylan Harper turnover (traveling)
  217. Q1 4:41
    Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Cody Williams steals)
  218. Q1 4:44
    Isaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Julian Champagnie steals)
  219. Q1 5:37
    Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
  220. Q1 5:37
    Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Kevin Love)
  221. Q1 5:46
    Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 6:11
    Jusuf Nurkic misses three point pullup jump shot
  223. Q1 6:35
    +2
    Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
    21-15
  224. Q1 6:51
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point cutting dunk (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
    19-14
  225. Q1 7:02
    Jazz 60 second timeout
  226. Q1 7:13
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  227. Q1 7:18
    Keyonte George turnover (bad pass) (Victor Wembanyama steals)
  228. Q1 7:32
    +1
    De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    16-12
  229. Q1 7:50
    +3
    Ace Bailey makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
    14-12
  230. Q1 8:15
    +1
    Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    11-8
  231. Q1 8:15
    Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
  232. Q1 9:12
    Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
  233. Q1 9:14
    Stephon Castle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  234. Q1 9:30
    Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
  235. Q1 9:37
    Stephon Castle defensive rebound
  236. Q1 10:20
    +2
    Ace Bailey makes two point pullup jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
    5-4
  237. Q1 10:35
    +2
    De'Aaron Fox makes two point running pullup jump shot
    5-2
  238. Q1 10:47
    Keyonte George defensive rebound
  239. Q1 10:49
    Stephon Castle misses two point stepback jump shot
  240. Q1 11:25
    +3
    Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
    3-2
  241. Q1 11:32
    +2
    Jusuf Nurkic makes two point cutting layup (Keyonte George assists)
    0-2
  242. Q1 12:00
    Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey)
  243. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Spurs
PosPlayerPts
Jazz
PosPlayerPts

Spurs vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Spurs vs. Jazz
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Time: 9:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Delta Center

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Spurs favored at -12.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 238.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Spurs -520, Jazz +480

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Spurs: 83%
  • Jazz: 17%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 124-113 Jazz.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 83%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 17%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Spurs vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.