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Spurs vs. Jazz Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Spurs vs. Jazz NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
126
109
Jan 23, 2AM Delta Center
Jan 23, 2AM Delta Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 31 | 34 | 32 | 29 | 126 |
Jazz | 31 | 22 | 39 | 17 | 109 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Spurs | 31 | 34 | 32 | 29 | 126 |
Jazz | 31 | 22 | 39 | 17 | 109 |
Q4 00:51 Jazz misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:12 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:00 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 3:20 Jusuf Nurkic misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:27 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:17 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 5:44 Jazz makes three point jump shot
Q4 6:54 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Q4 7:19 Jazz misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:39 Spurs makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
End of 4th Quarter.
Jazz turnover
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
126-109
Spurs turnover
Jazz turnover
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
120-109
Jusuf Nurkic misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Harrison Barnes defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Ace Bailey offensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
109-104
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs offensive rebound
Jazz personal foul
Spurs personal foul
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
109-99
Jazz 60 second timeout
Jazz misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
104-99
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs 60 second timeout
Jazz violation
Julian Champagnie offensive rebound
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
99-97
Spurs turnover
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
99-92
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin)
Jazz turnover
Kevin Love shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Keldon Johnson misses two point jump shot
Jazz defensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes technical free throw 1 of 1
95-89
Carter Bryant offensive rebound
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Isaiah Collier turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
+1
Dylan Harper makes regular free throw 2 of 2
97-89
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
94-89
Spurs offensive rebound
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
80-77
De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
Jazz 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Jeremy Sochan, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper)
Isaiah Collier personal foul (Carter Bryant draws the foul)
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point jump shot
80-77
Kyle Filipowski offensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Kevin Love)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Kevin Love)
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-77
Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
80-77
+2
Cody Williams makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
80-77
Isaiah Collier defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+1
Jusuf Nurkic makes regular free throw 2 of 2
80-77
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle)
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point tip layup
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
78-73
Spurs 60 second timeout
Victor Wembanyama blocks Jazz's two point jump shot
Spurs defensive rebound
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
76-68
Instant replay
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
80-77
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+2
Jusuf Nurkic makes two point jump shot (Ace Bailey assists)
73-65
Jusuf Nurkic misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Instant replay (Request)
Jazz personal foul
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
De'Aaron Fox personal foul (Jusuf Nurkic draws the foul)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-63
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
69-63
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
67-58
Cody Williams misses two point tip layup
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
End of 1st Half.
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey)
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
65-53
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point pullup jump shot
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Keyonte George misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-51
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Instant replay (Request)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stephon Castle offensive rebound
Keldon Johnson misses two point layup
+2
Keyonte George makes two point driving layup
61-51
Cody Williams shooting foul (Keldon Johnson draws the foul)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Harrison Barnes)
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 1
65-53
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
61-51
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
61-51
Kevin Love defensive rebound
Spurs 60 second timeout
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Cody Williams offensive rebound
Svi Mykhailiuk misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk offensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
De'Aaron Fox misses two point jump shot
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
52-41
Spurs misses three point jump shot
+1
Cody Williams makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-41
Cody Williams misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Keldon Johnson makes two point turnaround jump shot
50-35
+3
Jazz makes three point jump shot
50-35
Spurs offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Kevin Love misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point jump shot
50-35
Jazz turnover
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Stephon Castle, Kelly Olynyk, Harrison Barnes, Jordan McLaughlin)
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Svi Mykhailiuk, Kevin Love, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Carter Bryant misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
52-41
+2
Jazz makes two point jump shot
52-41
Isaiah Collier misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Victor Wembanyama offensive rebound
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Jazz turnover
Jazz 60 second timeout
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-31
Isaiah Collier turnover (Stephon Castle steals)
Kyle Filipowski personal foul
Instant replay
+1
Victor Wembanyama makes regular free throw 2 of 2
33-31
Spurs lineup change (Carter Bryant, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin)
Jazz misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Jazz misses three point jump shot
Kyle Filipowski defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Walter Clayton Jr. misses three point jump shot
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point jump shot
33-31
End of 1st Quarter.
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point alley-oop dunk (Isaiah Collier assists)
31-31
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Jordan McLaughlin)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Jusuf Nurkic, Ace Bailey, Walter Clayton Jr.)
Isaiah Collier misses two point pullup jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 1 of 3
27-29
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie)
+1
Brice Sensabaugh makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-29
De'Aaron Fox shooting foul (Brice Sensabaugh draws the foul)
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Isaiah Collier misses two point driving floating jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Brice Sensabaugh misses three point pullup jump shot
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Kyle Filipowski misses three point jump shot
Kelly Olynyk misses three point jump shot
Spurs challenge timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Kevin Love, Ace Bailey)
Dylan Harper blocks Keyonte George's two point driving reverse layup
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Kyle Filipowski, Brice Sensabaugh, Kevin Love, Ace Bailey)
Keyonte George offensive rebound
Keyonte George misses two point running layup
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
26-27
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
26-26
De'Aaron Fox misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson offensive rebound
Spurs lineup change (De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Kelly Olynyk)
+2
Kevin Love makes two point jump shot (Isaiah Collier assists)
26-25
Keyonte George shooting foul (Stephon Castle draws the foul)
Stephon Castle misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
Keldon Johnson makes three point pullup jump shot (Carter Bryant assists)
26-20
Jump ball. Kelly Olynyk vs. Kyle Filipowski (Carter Bryant gains possession)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Kelly Olynyk)
Dylan Harper turnover (traveling)
Julian Champagnie turnover (bad pass) (Cody Williams steals)
Isaiah Collier turnover (bad pass) (Julian Champagnie steals)
Spurs lineup change (Keldon Johnson, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Jazz lineup change (Isaiah Collier, Keyonte George, Kyle Filipowski, Cody Williams, Kevin Love)
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Jusuf Nurkic misses three point pullup jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point pullup jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
21-15
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point cutting dunk (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
19-14
Jazz 60 second timeout
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Keyonte George turnover (bad pass) (Victor Wembanyama steals)
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
16-12
+3
Ace Bailey makes three point jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
14-12
+1
Keyonte George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
11-8
Julian Champagnie shooting foul (Keyonte George draws the foul)
Jusuf Nurkic defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point fadeaway jump shot
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
Stephon Castle defensive rebound
+2
Ace Bailey makes two point pullup jump shot (Jusuf Nurkic assists)
5-4
+2
De'Aaron Fox makes two point running pullup jump shot
5-2
Keyonte George defensive rebound
Stephon Castle misses two point stepback jump shot
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
3-2
+2
Jusuf Nurkic makes two point cutting layup (Keyonte George assists)
0-2
Jazz lineup change (Keyonte George, Cody Williams, Jusuf Nurkic, Svi Mykhailiuk, Ace Bailey)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 4 | D. Fox | 31 | 5 | 5 |
| G | 5 | S. Castle | 16 | 7 | 8 |
| C | 1 | V. Wembanyama | 26 | 13 | 3 |
| F | 30 | J. Champagnie | 17 | 3 | 3 |
| F-G | 3 | K. Johnson | 21 | 1 | 5 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| G | 13 | W. Clayton Jr. | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| F | 28 | B. Sensabaugh | 2 | 3 | 0 |
| G | 3 | K. George | 23 | 4 | 5 |
| C | 30 | J. Nurkic | 17 | 11 | 14 |
| F | 19 | A. Bailey | 25 | 6 | 2 |
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Spurs vs. Jazz: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Spurs vs. Jazz
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 9:00 PM ET
- Venue: Delta Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -12.5
- Total (Over/Under): 238.5
- Moneyline Odds: Spurs -520, Jazz +480
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Spurs: 83%
- Jazz: 17%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Spurs 124-113 Jazz.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Spurs a win probability of 83%, while the Jazz have a win probability of 17%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Jazz in the NBA game at Delta Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Spurs vs. Jazz predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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