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Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Wizards NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
107
97
Jan 23, 12AM Capital One Arena
Jan 23, 12AM Capital One Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 27 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 107 |
Wizards | 23 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 97 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
>99%
<1%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Nuggets | 27 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 107 |
Wizards | 23 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 97 |
Q4 00:45 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:15 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:28 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:03 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:31 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:55 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
107-97
+1
Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
107-97
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Alex Sarr personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
103-93
Instant replay
Spencer Jones defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
103-93
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
103-93
Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Jalen Pickett turnover (bad pass) (Kyshawn George steals)
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Wizards personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
96-89
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
96-89
Anthony Gill offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
92-83
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Kyshawn George, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
Alex Sarr defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
88-83
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Alex Sarr offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 2
83-82
+1
Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
83-83
Jonas Valanciunas turnover (lost ball)
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones)
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
83-81
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
83-79
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
88-83
Nuggets turnover
End of 3rd Quarter.
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Kyshawn George, Jamir Watkins)
Nuggets turnover
Wizards defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
Will Riley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Will Riley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Jamal Murray defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
79-72
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
76-72
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Spencer Jones offensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
76-70
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
74-70
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets 60 second timeout
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
74-66
Jamal Murray personal foul
Wizards personal foul
Nuggets offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
72-66
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
72-64
Nuggets 60 second timeout
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
70-64
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
70-61
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
69-58
+1
Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
70-58
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
66-58
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
65-56
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards personal foul
Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Khris Middleton, Justin Champagnie)
Kyshawn George offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
59-53
Nuggets defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
57-53
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
55-50
Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
53-50
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
51-48
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Aaron Gordon)
Wizards personal foul
Wizards violation
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Kyshawn George, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
46-41
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
46-39
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
43-39
Wizards turnover
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
41-36
Nuggets personal foul
Nuggets turnover
Wizards personal foul
Wizards turnover
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
38-34
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
33-34
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Khris Middleton, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Aaron Gordon)
Wizards defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
31-28
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Kyshawn George, Justin Champagnie)
Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Khris Middleton, Kyshawn George, Justin Champagnie)
Will Riley defensive rebound
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Bruce Brown defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Alex Sarr offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Bruce Brown offensive rebound
Nuggets turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
29-26
Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
27-23
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
27-20
Anthony Gill defensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Nuggets personal foul
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
25-16
+1
Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-17
Wizards personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
+1
Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
25-15
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Nuggets turnover
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
23-15
Will Riley defensive rebound
Will Riley defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Wizards personal foul
Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Wizards turnover
Wizards 60 second timeout
Wizards turnover
Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
Bub Carrington offensive rebound
Wizards 60 second timeout
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 3
14-10
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 3
15-10
+1
Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 3 of 3
16-10
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Peyton Watson defensive rebound
Khris Middleton offensive rebound
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Kyshawn George offensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Wizards turnover
Kyshawn George defensive rebound
Nuggets misses three point jump shot
Kyshawn George offensive rebound
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
11-7
Khris Middleton defensive rebound
Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
11-5
Wizards misses three point jump shot
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
Nuggets misses two point jump shot
+2
Wizards makes two point jump shot
9-5
Wizards personal foul
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
8-3
+3
Wizards makes three point jump shot
7-3
+1
Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
6-0
Wizards misses two point jump shot
Wizards offensive rebound
+3
Nuggets makes three point jump shot
5-0
Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
Tre Johnson misses two point jump shot
+2
Nuggets makes two point jump shot
2-0
Start of 1st Quarter
(Peyton Watson gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 21 | S. Jones | 2 | 5 | 0 |
| F | 32 | A. Gordon | 16 | 5 | 5 |
| G | 24 | J. Pickett | 2 | 5 | 5 |
| G | 27 | J. Murray | 24 | 4 | 5 |
| F | 8 | P. Watson | 35 | 8 | 3 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C | 20 | A. Sarr | 15 | 8 | 4 |
| F | 18 | K. George | 20 | 12 | 7 |
| G | 7 | B. Carrington | 13 | 2 | 2 |
| G | 12 | T. Johnson | 19 | 3 | 3 |
| F | 22 | K. Middleton | 9 | 2 | 0 |
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Nuggets vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Nuggets vs. Wizards
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Capital One Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Nuggets favored at -6.5
- Total (Over/Under): 226.5
- Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -240, Wizards +220
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Nuggets: 71%
- Wizards: 29%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 117-111 Wizards.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 71%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Nuggets vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
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For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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