Rockets vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. 76ers NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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Rockets
122
128
Xfinity Mobile Arena
76ers
Xfinity Mobile Arena
TEAM1234T
Rockets
34 27 27 27 122
76ers
32 36 22 25 128
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Rockets
    <1%
  • 76ers
    >99%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Rockets
34 27 27 27 122
76ers
32 36 22 25 128
OT1 00:06 Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:10 Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point running layup (Paul George assists)
OT1 1:16 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:34 76ers misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:28 76ers makes two point jump shot
OT1 3:37 Paul George misses two point fadeaway jump shot
OT1 4:18 76ers makes three point jump shot
OT1 4:37 Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Amen Thompson blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point jump shot
Q4 00:15 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. OT1 00:06
    +2
    Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
    122-128
  2. OT1 00:13
    Amen Thompson turnover (Tyrese Maxey steals)
  3. OT1 00:18
    +1
    Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    122-128
  4. OT1 00:23
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  5. OT1 00:35
    VJ Edgecombe turnover
  6. OT1 00:54
    Kevin Durant personal foul
  7. OT1 00:54
    Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
  8. OT1 00:56
    Rockets offensive rebound
  9. OT1 1:10
    +2
    Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point running layup (Paul George assists)
    122-128
  10. OT1 1:16
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  11. OT1 1:32
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  12. OT1 1:34
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  13. OT1 1:47
    Rockets personal foul
  14. OT1 2:28
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    120-122
  15. OT1 2:53
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  16. OT1 3:36
    VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
  17. OT1 3:37
    Paul George misses two point fadeaway jump shot
  18. OT1 4:18
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    120-122
  19. OT1 4:34
    Paul George defensive rebound
  20. OT1 4:37
    Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
  21. Q4 00:00
    Jump ball. Kelly Oubre Jr. vs. Alperen Sengun (Kelly Oubre Jr. gains possession)
  22. Q4 00:00
    Alperen Sengun turnover (lost ball)
  23. Q4 00:00
    76ers 60 second timeout
  24. OT1 5:00
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  25. OT1 5:00
    (Kevin Durant gains possession)
  26. Q4 00:01
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  27. Q4 00:01
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  28. Q4 00:01
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  29. Q4 00:03
    Amen Thompson blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point jump shot
  30. Q4 00:13
    Paul George defensive rebound
  31. Q4 00:15
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 00:32
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  33. Q4 00:34
    Reed Sheppard misses two point driving finger roll layup
  34. Q4 00:43
    Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Paul George steals)
  35. Q4 00:57
    Joel Embiid turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
  36. Q4 00:57
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  37. Q4 1:09
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    115-113
  38. Q4 1:48
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  39. Q4 2:33
    +3
    Tari Eason makes three point jump shot
    113-108
  40. Q4 2:53
    Kevin Durant violation
  41. Q4 2:53
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  42. Q4 2:56
    Rockets turnover
  43. Q4 3:11
    +2
    Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)
    110-105
  44. Q4 3:11
    Josh Okogie shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
  45. Q4 3:11
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  46. Q4 3:29
    Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
  47. Q4 3:32
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  48. Q4 3:48
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    113-111
  49. Q4 3:59
    Tari Eason personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
  50. Q4 3:59
    Joel Embiid offensive rebound
  51. Q4 4:01
    Tyrese Maxey misses three point running jump shot
  52. Q4 4:08
    Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
  53. Q4 4:14
    Kelly Oubre Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
  54. Q4 4:58
    +2
    Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)
    107-99
  55. Q4 4:58
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
  56. Q4 5:04
    Rockets offensive rebound
  57. Q4 5:08
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  58. Q4 5:24
    Reed Sheppard misses two point running finger roll layup
  59. Q4 5:32
    Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
  60. Q4 5:36
    Tyrese Maxey misses three point running pullup jump shot
  61. Q4 5:38
    Paul George defensive rebound
  62. Q4 6:01
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    107-99
  63. Q4 6:29
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  64. Q4 6:29
    Joel Embiid offensive rebound
  65. Q4 6:29
    Amen Thompson defensive rebound
  66. Q4 8:01
    76ers 60 second timeout
  67. Q4 8:01
    76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre Jr., Paul George, Tyrese Maxey)
  68. Q4 8:57
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  69. Q4 9:28
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  70. Q4 10:01
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    93-94
  71. Q4 10:01
    76ers personal foul
  72. Q4 10:10
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  73. Q4 10:29
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    90-94
  74. Q4 10:49
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    88-94
  75. Q4 10:58
    VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
  76. Q4 11:11
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  77. Q4 11:20
    Paul George defensive rebound
  78. Q4 11:24
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  79. Q4 12:00
    76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes, Paul George, Trendon Watford)
  80. Q3 00:21
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    88-88
  81. Q3 00:43
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  82. Q3 00:49
    Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
  83. Q3 00:51
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  84. Q3 00:58
    Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
  85. Q3 1:01
    76ers personal foul
  86. Q3 1:01
    Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  87. Q3 1:06
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  88. Q3 1:23
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    85-88
  89. Q3 1:23
    76ers personal foul
  90. Q3 1:23
    Tari Eason misses regular free throw 1 of 1
  91. Q3 1:24
    Adem Bona defensive rebound
  92. Q3 1:28
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  93. Q3 2:21
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    81-88
  94. Q3 2:41
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    79-88
  95. Q3 2:48
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  96. Q3 3:02
    Kevin Durant defensive rebound
  97. Q3 3:33
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  98. Q3 3:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  99. Q3 3:50
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  100. Q3 3:51
    Rockets personal foul
  101. Q3 3:51
    +1
    Kelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    79-85
  102. Q3 3:51
    Kelly Oubre Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  103. Q3 4:13
    Rockets personal foul
  104. Q3 4:13
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  105. Q3 4:33
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    79-82
  106. Q3 5:10
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    79-82
  107. Q3 5:15
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    88-88
  108. Q3 5:17
    Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
  109. Q3 5:18
    76ers personal foul
  110. Q3 5:18
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    75-82
  111. Q3 5:43
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    74-82
  112. Q3 6:02
    Joel Embiid defensive rebound
  113. Q3 6:04
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  114. Q3 6:42
    76ers turnover
  115. Q3 7:17
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    74-80
  116. Q3 7:35
    +3
    Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
    74-78
  117. Q3 7:51
    Jump ball. (Amen Thompson gains possession)
  118. Q3 7:54
    76ers personal foul
  119. Q3 7:54
    Instant replay
  120. Q3 7:54
    76ers lineup change (Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre Jr., Dominick Barlow, Paul George, Tyrese Maxey)
  121. Q3 7:54
    76ers 60 second timeout
  122. Q3 8:28
    76ers personal foul
  123. Q3 8:48
    Rockets personal foul
  124. Q3 8:48
    Rockets 60 second timeout
  125. Q3 8:51
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    69-75
  126. Q3 8:59
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  127. Q3 9:14
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  128. Q3 9:14
    Rockets offensive rebound
  129. Q3 9:36
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    69-73
  130. Q3 9:42
    Rockets turnover
  131. Q3 9:53
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  132. Q3 10:19
    76ers turnover
  133. Q3 10:51
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  134. Q3 10:59
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  135. Q3 11:04
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  136. Q3 11:18
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    64-70
  137. Q3 11:39
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    64-68
  138. Q2 00:00
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  139. Q2 00:00
    End of 1st Half.
  140. Q2 00:02
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    61-68
  141. Q2 00:05
    Rockets turnover
  142. Q2 00:35
    Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  143. Q2 00:35
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    61-64
  144. Q2 00:42
    Rockets personal foul
  145. Q2 00:42
    +1
    Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    60-63
  146. Q2 00:42
    +1
    Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    60-64
  147. Q2 1:00
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    58-62
  148. Q2 1:04
    Rockets turnover
  149. Q2 1:37
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  150. Q2 1:49
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  151. Q2 2:17
    Rockets turnover
  152. Q2 2:31
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  153. Q2 2:34
    Rockets personal foul
  154. Q2 2:34
    Joel Embiid misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  155. Q2 2:49
    76ers personal foul
  156. Q2 2:49
    Rockets personal foul
  157. Q2 2:49
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    57-54
  158. Q2 2:49
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    58-54
  159. Q2 3:02
    Rockets personal foul
  160. Q2 3:02
    76ers offensive rebound
  161. Q2 3:02
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  162. Q2 3:02
    +1
    Adem Bona makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    56-53
  163. Q2 3:17
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    56-52
  164. Q2 3:46
    76ers personal foul
  165. Q2 3:46
    +1
    Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    52-50
  166. Q2 3:46
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  167. Q2 3:49
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  168. Q2 3:53
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  169. Q2 3:53
    Rockets offensive rebound
  170. Q2 4:07
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  171. Q2 4:31
    Rockets turnover
  172. Q2 4:34
    76ers turnover
  173. Q2 5:06
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    49-50
  174. Q2 5:24
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    49-48
  175. Q2 5:41
    Tari Eason offensive rebound
  176. Q2 5:41
    76ers 60 second timeout
  177. Q2 5:41
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun)
  178. Q2 5:41
    76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, Quentin Grimes, Kelly Oubre Jr., Tyrese Maxey, Trendon Watford)
  179. Q2 5:48
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  180. Q2 5:56
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  181. Q2 6:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    46-48
  182. Q2 6:27
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    44-48
  183. Q2 6:31
    Joel Embiid defensive rebound
  184. Q2 6:51
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    44-46
  185. Q2 6:59
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  186. Q2 7:08
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  187. Q2 7:20
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    44-44
  188. Q2 7:20
    76ers personal foul
  189. Q2 7:20
    Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  190. Q2 7:44
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    42-44
  191. Q2 7:54
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    39-43
  192. Q2 7:54
    +1
    Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    39-44
  193. Q2 8:01
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  194. Q2 8:13
    +1
    Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    39-39
  195. Q2 8:13
    +1
    Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    39-40
  196. Q2 8:13
    +1
    Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    39-41
  197. Q2 8:13
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  198. Q2 9:05
    Rockets turnover
  199. Q2 9:16
    Rockets offensive rebound
  200. Q2 9:16
    Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
  201. Q2 9:18
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  202. Q2 9:32
    Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
  203. Q2 9:38
    Joel Embiid defensive rebound
  204. Q2 9:39
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  205. Q2 9:42
    Clint Capela offensive rebound
  206. Q2 10:08
    Joel Embiid defensive rebound
  207. Q2 10:21
    Clint Capela defensive rebound
  208. Q2 10:57
    Paul George turnover (offensive foul)
  209. Q2 11:22
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    37-34
  210. Q2 11:36
    Rockets personal foul
  211. Q2 11:36
    +1
    Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    34-34
  212. Q2 11:50
    Rockets turnover
  213. Q1 00:00
    Rockets offensive rebound
  214. Q2 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
  215. Q1 00:01
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  216. Q1 00:20
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    34-32
  217. Q1 00:36
    +1
    Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    34-29
  218. Q1 00:44
    76ers turnover
  219. Q1 1:54
    76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, Quentin Grimes, Kelly Oubre Jr., Dominick Barlow, Tyrese Maxey)
  220. Q1 1:57
    Dominick Barlow offensive rebound
  221. Q1 2:01
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 2:22
    +3
    Rockets makes three point jump shot
    27-24
  223. Q1 3:12
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    24-22
  224. Q1 3:37
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    22-22
  225. Q1 3:44
    Rockets misses two point jump shot
  226. Q1 3:50
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  227. Q1 3:50
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  228. Q1 4:03
    Tari Eason defensive rebound
  229. Q1 4:06
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  230. Q1 4:13
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  231. Q1 4:22
    Rockets turnover
  232. Q1 4:47
    Joel Embiid offensive rebound
  233. Q1 4:51
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  234. Q1 5:00
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  235. Q1 5:18
    76ers misses three point jump shot
  236. Q1 5:37
    76ers personal foul
  237. Q1 5:37
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  238. Q1 5:37
    Rockets offensive rebound
  239. Q1 5:37
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  240. Q1 5:37
    Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  241. Q1 5:56
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    22-17
  242. Q1 6:06
    76ers personal foul
  243. Q1 6:19
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    19-14
  244. Q1 6:31
    76ers 60 second timeout
  245. Q1 6:37
    Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
  246. Q1 6:39
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  247. Q1 7:06
    Rockets personal foul
  248. Q1 7:18
    76ers personal foul
  249. Q1 7:18
    +1
    Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    14-9
  250. Q1 7:22
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  251. Q1 7:52
    Rockets turnover
  252. Q1 8:06
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    10-9
  253. Q1 8:26
    Josh Okogie defensive rebound
  254. Q1 8:51
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  255. Q1 9:15
    +2
    Rockets makes two point jump shot
    8-7
  256. Q1 9:53
    +3
    76ers makes three point jump shot
    6-7
  257. Q1 10:05
    Paul George defensive rebound
  258. Q1 10:13
    Rockets misses three point jump shot
  259. Q1 10:44
    76ers personal foul
  260. Q1 10:47
    Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
  261. Q1 10:50
    76ers misses two point jump shot
  262. Q1 11:22
    +2
    76ers makes two point jump shot
    0-2
  263. Q1 12:00
    Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
  264. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Rockets
PosPlayerPts
76ers
PosPlayerPts

Rockets vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Rockets vs. 76ers
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Rockets favored at -2
  • Total (Over/Under): 221.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Rockets -132, 76ers +118

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Rockets: 58%
  • 76ers: 42%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 112-110 76ers.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 58%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the 76ers in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Rockets vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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