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Rockets vs. 76ers Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Rockets vs. 76ers NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
122
128
Jan 23, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
Jan 23, 12AM Xfinity Mobile Arena
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 34 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 122 |
76ers | 32 | 36 | 22 | 25 | 128 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Rockets | 34 | 27 | 27 | 27 | 122 |
76ers | 32 | 36 | 22 | 25 | 128 |
OT1 00:06 Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
OT1 1:10 Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point running layup (Paul George assists)
OT1 1:16 Rockets misses two point jump shot
OT1 1:34 76ers misses two point jump shot
OT1 2:28 76ers makes two point jump shot
OT1 3:37 Paul George misses two point fadeaway jump shot
OT1 4:18 76ers makes three point jump shot
OT1 4:37 Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
Q4 00:03 Amen Thompson blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point jump shot
Q4 00:15 Rockets misses two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot
122-128
Amen Thompson turnover (Tyrese Maxey steals)
+1
Tyrese Maxey makes regular free throw 2 of 2
122-128
Tari Eason offensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe turnover
Kevin Durant personal foul
Kevin Durant turnover (offensive foul)
Rockets offensive rebound
+2
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes two point running layup (Paul George assists)
122-128
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
120-122
Tari Eason defensive rebound
VJ Edgecombe offensive rebound
Paul George misses two point fadeaway jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
120-122
Paul George defensive rebound
Alperen Sengun misses two point jump shot
Jump ball. Kelly Oubre Jr. vs. Alperen Sengun (Kelly Oubre Jr. gains possession)
Alperen Sengun turnover (lost ball)
76ers 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
(Kevin Durant gains possession)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Amen Thompson blocks Tyrese Maxey's two point jump shot
Paul George defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
Reed Sheppard misses two point driving finger roll layup
Kevin Durant turnover (bad pass) (Paul George steals)
Joel Embiid turnover (out of bounds lost ball)
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
115-113
Rockets misses three point jump shot
+3
Tari Eason makes three point jump shot
113-108
Kevin Durant violation
76ers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+2
Tyrese Maxey makes two point jump shot (Joel Embiid assists)
110-105
Josh Okogie shooting foul (Tyrese Maxey draws the foul)
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Jabari Smith Jr. offensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
113-111
Tari Eason personal foul (Joel Embiid draws the foul)
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses three point running jump shot
Kelly Oubre Jr. defensive rebound
Kelly Oubre Jr. turnover (bad pass) (Alperen Sengun steals)
+2
Jabari Smith Jr. makes two point cutting dunk (Alperen Sengun assists)
107-99
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun)
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Reed Sheppard misses two point running finger roll layup
Reed Sheppard defensive rebound
Tyrese Maxey misses three point running pullup jump shot
Paul George defensive rebound
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
107-99
76ers misses two point jump shot
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
Amen Thompson defensive rebound
76ers 60 second timeout
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre Jr., Paul George, Tyrese Maxey)
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers misses two point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
93-94
76ers personal foul
76ers misses three point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
90-94
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
88-94
VJ Edgecombe defensive rebound
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Paul George defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
76ers lineup change (VJ Edgecombe, Joel Embiid, Quentin Grimes, Paul George, Trendon Watford)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
88-88
76ers misses three point jump shot
Dominick Barlow defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith offensive rebound
76ers personal foul
Clint Capela misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Tari Eason defensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
85-88
76ers personal foul
Tari Eason misses regular free throw 1 of 1
Adem Bona defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
81-88
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
79-88
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Kevin Durant defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kelly Oubre Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
79-85
Kelly Oubre Jr. misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Rockets personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
79-82
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
79-82
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
88-88
Alperen Sengun offensive rebound
76ers personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
75-82
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
74-82
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
76ers turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
74-80
+3
Kevin Durant makes three point jump shot (Jabari Smith Jr. assists)
74-78
Jump ball. (Amen Thompson gains possession)
76ers personal foul
Instant replay
76ers lineup change (Joel Embiid, Kelly Oubre Jr., Dominick Barlow, Paul George, Tyrese Maxey)
76ers 60 second timeout
76ers personal foul
Rockets personal foul
Rockets 60 second timeout
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
69-75
76ers misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
69-73
Rockets turnover
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
76ers misses three point jump shot
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
64-70
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
64-68
Rockets misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Half.
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
61-68
Rockets turnover
Amen Thompson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
61-64
Rockets personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 2
60-63
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
60-64
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
58-62
Rockets turnover
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Tari Eason defensive rebound
Rockets personal foul
Joel Embiid misses regular free throw 2 of 2
76ers personal foul
Rockets personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
57-54
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
58-54
Rockets personal foul
76ers offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
+1
Adem Bona makes regular free throw 2 of 2
56-53
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
56-52
76ers personal foul
+1
Alperen Sengun makes regular free throw 1 of 2
52-50
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets offensive rebound
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
Rockets turnover
76ers turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
49-50
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
49-48
Tari Eason offensive rebound
76ers 60 second timeout
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun)
76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, Quentin Grimes, Kelly Oubre Jr., Tyrese Maxey, Trendon Watford)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
46-48
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
44-48
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
44-46
Rockets misses three point jump shot
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
44-44
76ers personal foul
Rockets lineup change (Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
42-44
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
39-43
+1
Quentin Grimes makes regular free throw 1 of 1
39-44
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 1 of 3
39-39
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 3
39-40
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 3 of 3
39-41
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Rockets turnover
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Jabari Smith Jr., Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Kevin Durant)
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Dorian Finney-Smith defensive rebound
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Clint Capela offensive rebound
Joel Embiid defensive rebound
Clint Capela defensive rebound
Paul George turnover (offensive foul)
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 1 of 1
37-34
Rockets personal foul
+1
Joel Embiid makes regular free throw 2 of 2
34-34
Rockets turnover
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Reed Sheppard, Clint Capela, Amen Thompson, Dorian Finney-Smith, Kevin Durant)
Rockets misses two point jump shot
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
34-32
+1
Amen Thompson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
34-29
76ers turnover
76ers lineup change (Adem Bona, Quentin Grimes, Kelly Oubre Jr., Dominick Barlow, Tyrese Maxey)
Dominick Barlow offensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
+3
Rockets makes three point jump shot
27-24
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
24-22
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
22-22
Rockets misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Dorian Finney-Smith, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Tari Eason defensive rebound
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers misses three point jump shot
Rockets turnover
Joel Embiid offensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Rockets misses three point jump shot
76ers misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Rockets offensive rebound
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Tari Eason, Jabari Smith Jr., Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Alperen Sengun misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
22-17
76ers personal foul
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
19-14
76ers 60 second timeout
Alperen Sengun defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
Rockets personal foul
76ers personal foul
+1
Kevin Durant makes regular free throw 2 of 2
14-9
76ers misses two point jump shot
Rockets turnover
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
10-9
Josh Okogie defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
Rockets makes two point jump shot
8-7
+3
76ers makes three point jump shot
6-7
Paul George defensive rebound
Rockets misses three point jump shot
76ers personal foul
Jabari Smith Jr. defensive rebound
76ers misses two point jump shot
+2
76ers makes two point jump shot
0-2
Rockets lineup change (Josh Okogie, Jabari Smith Jr., Amen Thompson, Alperen Sengun, Kevin Durant)
Start of 1st Quarter
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 10 | J. Smith Jr. | 13 | 4 | 5 |
| G | 1 | A. Thompson | 17 | 6 | 9 |
| C | 28 | A. Sengun | 13 | 8 | 7 |
| F | 7 | K. Durant | 36 | 7 | 3 |
| F | 17 | T. Eason | 13 | 9 | 2 |
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| F | 8 | P. George | 10 | 6 | 4 |
| F | 9 | K. Oubre Jr. | 26 | 4 | 3 |
| G | 0 | T. Maxey | 36 | 2 | 10 |
| G | 77 | V. Edgecombe | 9 | 7 | 4 |
| C | 21 | J. Embiid | 32 | 15 | 10 |
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Rockets vs. 76ers: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Rockets vs. 76ers
- Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
- Time: 7:00 PM ET
- Venue: Xfinity Mobile Arena
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Rockets favored at -2
- Total (Over/Under): 221.5
- Moneyline Odds: Rockets -132, 76ers +118
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Rockets: 58%
- 76ers: 42%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Rockets 112-110 76ers.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Rockets a win probability of 58%, while the 76ers have a win probability of 42%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Rockets are more likely to beat the 76ers in the NBA game at Xfinity Mobile Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Rockets vs. 76ers predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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