Nuggets vs. Wizards Prediction, Picks and Odds

Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Nuggets vs. Wizards NBA game on January 22, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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NBA
Nuggets
107
97
Capital One Arena
Wizards
Capital One Arena
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 21 33 26 107
Wizards
23 23 29 22 97
Live Probabilities
Win %
  • Nuggets
    >99%
  • Wizards
    <1%
Win Probability
TEAM1234T
Nuggets
27 21 33 26 107
Wizards
23 23 29 22 97
Q4 00:45 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 1:08 Wizards misses three point jump shot
Q4 2:32 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 2:47 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 3:10 Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
Q4 5:15 Nuggets makes two point jump shot
Q4 5:28 Wizards makes two point jump shot
Q4 6:03 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:31 Wizards misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:55 Nuggets makes three point jump shot
Play by Play
  1. Q4 00:45
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    107-97
  2. Q4 00:59
    +1
    Jalen Pickett makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    107-97
  3. Q4 1:05
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  4. Q4 1:08
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  5. Q4 1:16
    Alex Sarr personal foul (Peyton Watson draws the foul)
  6. Q4 1:16
    Peyton Watson misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  7. Q4 1:50
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    103-93
  8. Q4 1:50
    Instant replay
  9. Q4 2:03
    Spencer Jones defensive rebound
  10. Q4 2:32
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    103-93
  11. Q4 2:47
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    103-93
  12. Q4 3:10
    Jamal Murray misses two point pullup jump shot
  13. Q4 3:25
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  14. Q4 3:31
    Jalen Pickett turnover (bad pass) (Kyshawn George steals)
  15. Q4 3:36
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  16. Q4 3:42
    Kyshawn George defensive rebound
  17. Q4 4:51
    Wizards personal foul
  18. Q4 5:15
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    96-89
  19. Q4 5:28
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    96-89
  20. Q4 5:28
    Anthony Gill offensive rebound
  21. Q4 6:03
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  22. Q4 6:03
    +1
    Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    92-83
  23. Q4 6:56
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Khris Middleton, Kyshawn George, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
  24. Q4 7:14
    Alex Sarr defensive rebound
  25. Q4 7:31
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  26. Q4 7:55
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    88-83
  27. Q4 8:14
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  28. Q4 8:16
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  29. Q4 8:39
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  30. Q4 8:41
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  31. Q4 8:50
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  32. Q4 9:02
    Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
  33. Q4 9:22
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  34. Q4 9:22
    Alex Sarr offensive rebound
  35. Q4 9:22
    Nuggets personal foul
  36. Q4 9:22
    +1
    Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    83-82
  37. Q4 9:22
    +1
    Alex Sarr makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    83-83
  38. Q4 9:36
    Jonas Valanciunas turnover (lost ball)
  39. Q4 9:52
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Spencer Jones)
  40. Q4 9:53
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    83-81
  41. Q4 10:05
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    83-79
  42. Q4 10:06
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  43. Q4 11:08
    Nuggets personal foul
  44. Q4 11:20
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    88-83
  45. Q4 11:50
    Nuggets turnover
  46. Q3 00:00
    End of 3rd Quarter.
  47. Q4 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr.)
  48. Q4 12:00
    Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Kyshawn George, Jamir Watkins)
  49. Q3 00:06
    Nuggets turnover
  50. Q3 00:16
    Wizards defensive rebound
  51. Q3 00:16
    Nuggets personal foul
  52. Q3 00:16
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
  53. Q3 00:35
    Will Riley misses regular free throw 1 of 2
  54. Q3 00:35
    Will Riley misses regular free throw 2 of 2
  55. Q3 00:57
    Jamal Murray defensive rebound
  56. Q3 00:59
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  57. Q3 1:13
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    79-72
  58. Q3 1:30
    Nuggets personal foul
  59. Q3 1:30
    +1
    Will Riley makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    76-72
  60. Q3 1:43
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  61. Q3 1:45
    Spencer Jones offensive rebound
  62. Q3 2:04
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    76-70
  63. Q3 2:25
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    74-70
  64. Q3 2:32
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  65. Q3 2:38
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  66. Q3 2:54
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  67. Q3 2:54
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
  68. Q3 2:54
    Nuggets lineup change (Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
  69. Q3 3:03
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    74-66
  70. Q3 3:16
    Jamal Murray personal foul
  71. Q3 3:16
    Wizards personal foul
  72. Q3 3:16
    Nuggets offensive rebound
  73. Q3 3:37
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    72-66
  74. Q3 3:59
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    72-64
  75. Q3 4:18
    Nuggets 60 second timeout
  76. Q3 4:19
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    70-64
  77. Q3 4:23
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  78. Q3 4:26
    Jamal Murray misses two point jump shot
  79. Q3 4:28
    Jamal Murray turnover (bad pass)
  80. Q3 4:51
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    70-61
  81. Q3 5:08
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    69-58
  82. Q3 5:08
    +1
    Jamal Murray makes regular free throw 1 of 1
    70-58
  83. Q3 5:30
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    66-58
  84. Q3 5:43
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    65-56
  85. Q3 5:43
    Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Justin Champagnie)
  86. Q3 5:58
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  87. Q3 6:02
    Justin Champagnie offensive rebound
  88. Q3 6:33
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  89. Q3 6:43
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  90. Q3 7:04
    Wizards personal foul
  91. Q3 7:04
    Wizards lineup change (Tre Johnson, Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Khris Middleton, Justin Champagnie)
  92. Q3 7:26
    Kyshawn George offensive rebound
  93. Q3 7:29
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  94. Q3 7:43
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    59-53
  95. Q3 7:59
    Nuggets defensive rebound
  96. Q3 8:00
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  97. Q3 8:17
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    57-53
  98. Q3 8:57
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    55-50
  99. Q3 8:58
    Jonas Valanciunas offensive rebound
  100. Q3 9:00
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  101. Q3 9:20
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    53-50
  102. Q3 9:34
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  103. Q3 9:35
    Nuggets turnover
  104. Q3 9:59
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  105. Q3 10:03
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  106. Q3 10:28
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  107. Q3 10:51
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  108. Q3 10:51
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  109. Q3 11:04
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  110. Q3 11:20
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    51-48
  111. Q3 12:00
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Aaron Gordon)
  112. Q2 00:09
    Wizards personal foul
  113. Q2 00:18
    Wizards violation
  114. Q2 00:18
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Kyshawn George, Justin Champagnie, Jamir Watkins)
  115. Q2 00:32
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  116. Q2 00:54
    Kyshawn George defensive rebound
  117. Q2 00:56
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  118. Q2 1:26
    Kyshawn George defensive rebound
  119. Q2 2:10
    Nuggets personal foul
  120. Q2 2:10
    +1
    Bub Carrington makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    46-41
  121. Q2 2:27
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    46-39
  122. Q2 2:46
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    43-39
  123. Q2 3:02
    Wizards turnover
  124. Q2 3:20
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    41-36
  125. Q2 3:40
    Nuggets personal foul
  126. Q2 3:53
    Nuggets turnover
  127. Q2 3:59
    Wizards personal foul
  128. Q2 4:02
    Wizards turnover
  129. Q2 4:21
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    38-34
  130. Q2 4:24
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  131. Q2 4:28
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  132. Q2 4:43
    Anthony Gill defensive rebound
  133. Q2 4:46
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  134. Q2 5:14
    Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
  135. Q2 5:16
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  136. Q2 5:35
    Jamir Watkins offensive rebound
  137. Q2 5:38
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  138. Q2 5:56
    Wizards turnover
  139. Q2 5:58
    Jamir Watkins defensive rebound
  140. Q2 6:21
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    33-34
  141. Q2 6:31
    Anthony Gill defensive rebound
  142. Q2 6:37
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  143. Q2 6:55
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Aaron Gordon)
  144. Q2 6:55
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Will Riley, Khris Middleton, Anthony Gill, Jamir Watkins)
  145. Q2 7:03
    Justin Champagnie defensive rebound
  146. Q2 7:04
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  147. Q2 7:16
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  148. Q2 8:01
    Nuggets lineup change (Bruce Brown, Jalen Pickett, Jonas Valanciunas, Tim Hardaway Jr., Aaron Gordon)
  149. Q2 8:11
    Wizards defensive rebound
  150. Q2 8:11
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  151. Q2 8:36
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    31-28
  152. Q2 8:51
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Will Riley, Kyshawn George, Justin Champagnie)
  153. Q2 8:51
    Wizards lineup change (Bub Carrington, Alex Sarr, Khris Middleton, Kyshawn George, Justin Champagnie)
  154. Q2 8:54
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  155. Q2 9:17
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  156. Q2 9:26
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  157. Q2 9:42
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  158. Q2 9:50
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  159. Q2 9:59
    Bruce Brown defensive rebound
  160. Q2 10:02
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  161. Q2 10:05
    Alex Sarr offensive rebound
  162. Q2 10:06
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  163. Q2 10:21
    Tim Hardaway Jr. defensive rebound
  164. Q2 10:24
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  165. Q2 10:38
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  166. Q2 11:00
    Bruce Brown offensive rebound
  167. Q2 11:00
    Nuggets turnover
  168. Q2 11:22
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    29-26
  169. Q2 11:44
    Jalen Pickett defensive rebound
  170. Q2 11:46
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  171. Q1 00:00
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  172. Q1 00:06
    Nuggets turnover
  173. Q1 00:32
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    27-23
  174. Q1 00:48
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    27-20
  175. Q1 1:17
    Anthony Gill defensive rebound
  176. Q1 1:20
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  177. Q1 1:33
    Nuggets personal foul
  178. Q1 1:33
    +1
    Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    25-16
  179. Q1 1:33
    +1
    Kyshawn George makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-17
  180. Q1 1:49
    Wizards personal foul
  181. Q1 1:49
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Bruce Brown, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
  182. Q1 1:49
    +1
    Peyton Watson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
    25-15
  183. Q1 2:06
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  184. Q1 2:19
    Nuggets turnover
  185. Q1 2:41
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    23-15
  186. Q1 2:56
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  187. Q1 3:23
    Will Riley defensive rebound
  188. Q1 3:26
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  189. Q1 3:33
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  190. Q1 3:36
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  191. Q1 3:54
    Wizards personal foul
  192. Q1 3:54
    Nuggets lineup change (Peyton Watson, Jamal Murray, Zeke Nnaji, Tim Hardaway Jr., Spencer Jones)
  193. Q1 3:55
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  194. Q1 4:06
    Wizards turnover
  195. Q1 4:18
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  196. Q1 4:33
    Wizards turnover
  197. Q1 5:30
    Zeke Nnaji defensive rebound
  198. Q1 5:35
    Bub Carrington offensive rebound
  199. Q1 5:46
    Wizards 60 second timeout
  200. Q1 5:46
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 1 of 3
    14-10
  201. Q1 5:46
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 2 of 3
    15-10
  202. Q1 5:46
    +1
    Aaron Gordon makes regular free throw 3 of 3
    16-10
  203. Q1 6:07
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  204. Q1 6:10
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  205. Q1 6:18
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  206. Q1 6:33
    Peyton Watson defensive rebound
  207. Q1 6:37
    Khris Middleton offensive rebound
  208. Q1 6:39
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  209. Q1 6:50
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  210. Q1 7:06
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  211. Q1 7:07
    Kyshawn George offensive rebound
  212. Q1 7:29
    Stoppage (Out of bounds)
  213. Q1 7:30
    Wizards turnover
  214. Q1 8:06
    Kyshawn George defensive rebound
  215. Q1 8:07
    Nuggets misses three point jump shot
  216. Q1 8:26
    Kyshawn George offensive rebound
  217. Q1 8:26
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    11-7
  218. Q1 8:36
    Khris Middleton defensive rebound
  219. Q1 8:51
    Jonas Valanciunas defensive rebound
  220. Q1 9:11
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    11-5
  221. Q1 9:17
    Wizards misses three point jump shot
  222. Q1 9:24
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  223. Q1 9:25
    Jalen Pickett offensive rebound
  224. Q1 9:36
    Nuggets misses two point jump shot
  225. Q1 9:56
    +2
    Wizards makes two point jump shot
    9-5
  226. Q1 10:10
    Wizards personal foul
  227. Q1 10:10
    +1
    Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    8-3
  228. Q1 10:30
    +3
    Wizards makes three point jump shot
    7-3
  229. Q1 10:39
    +1
    Jonas Valanciunas makes regular free throw 1 of 2
    6-0
  230. Q1 10:50
    Wizards misses two point jump shot
  231. Q1 10:53
    Wizards offensive rebound
  232. Q1 11:08
    +3
    Nuggets makes three point jump shot
    5-0
  233. Q1 11:21
    Aaron Gordon defensive rebound
  234. Q1 11:23
    Tre Johnson misses two point jump shot
  235. Q1 11:42
    +2
    Nuggets makes two point jump shot
    2-0
  236. Q1 12:00
    Start of 1st Quarter
  237. Q1 12:00
    (Peyton Watson gains possession)
Box Score
Nuggets
PosPlayerPts
Wizards
PosPlayerPts

Nuggets vs. Wizards: Detailed Breakdown

Matchup Overview

  • Teams: Nuggets vs. Wizards
  • Date: Thursday, January 22, 2026
  • Time: 7:00 PM ET
  • Venue: Capital One Arena

Current Betting Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets favored at -6.5
  • Total (Over/Under): 226.5
  • Moneyline Odds: Nuggets -240, Wizards +220

Dimers' Win Probabilities

  • Nuggets: 71%
  • Wizards: 29%

Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.

Projected Final Score

Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Nuggets 117-111 Wizards.

This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.

Our Prediction: Who Wins?

After extensive simulations, our model gives the Nuggets a win probability of 71%, while the Wizards have a win probability of 29%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.

Summary

According to our analysis, the Nuggets are more likely to beat the Wizards in the NBA game at Capital One Arena on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.

Our Nuggets vs. Wizards predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.

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