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NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Kevin Durant [1/15/2026]
Updated: | First published:
Written by Dave Garofolo, Content Producer
Get NBA player props today with projections for Thursday's games.
Dimers' NBA props are live for January 15, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Kevin Durant, Andrew Wiggins and Neemias Queta.
Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Suns vs. Pistons and Knicks vs. Warriors, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.
List of NBA prop picks for Thursday, 1/15
Sourced from 20+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 15, ranked by edge.
Kevin Durant over 2.5 3-pointers made (+146)
- Edge: 12.5%
- Probability: 53.1%
- Projection: 2.8
- Game: Thunder vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET)
Our model has found value on Houston's Kevin Durant over 2.5 3-pointers made. A probability of 53.1% gives this play an edge of 12.5% at +146 odds.
Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals (+194)
- Edge: 10.4%
- Probability: 44.4%
- Projection: 1.1
- Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Andrew Wiggins’s steals prop shows a 10.4% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.1 steals on the over 1.5 line.
Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks (+162)
- Edge: 10.1%
- Probability: 48.2%
- Projection: 1.3
- Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
The data highlights value on Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 48.2% probability and a 10.1% edge at +162.
Derrick White over 1.5 steals (+178)
- Edge: 9.8%
- Probability: 45.8%
- Projection: 1.2
- Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Derrick White to put up 1.2 steals today, creating an edge of 9.8% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.
Giannis Antetokounmpo over 5.5 assists (+109)
- Edge: 9.6%
- Probability: 57.4%
- Projection: 6.8
- Game: Bucks vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
Simulations indicate value on Giannis Antetokounmpo over 5.5 assists for Milwaukee, showing an edge of 9.6% at +109 odds.
LaMelo Ball over 3.5 3-pointers made (+134)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 51.2%
- Projection: 3.6
- Game: Hornets vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)
LaMelo Ball’s 3-pointers made prop shows an edge of 8.4% at +134 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 3.6 today.
Derrick White over 1.5 blocks (+138)
- Edge: 8.4%
- Probability: 50.4%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)
Our model projects Derrick White for 1.5 blocks for Boston, creating an edge of 8.4% on over 1.5 at +138 odds.
Anthony Black over 4.5 rebounds (+134)
- Edge: 8.0%
- Probability: 50.8%
- Projection: 4.6
- Game: Grizzlies vs. Magic (2:00PM ET)
Our expert modelling projects Anthony Black for 4.6 rebounds, creating value on the over 4.5 line at +134 odds and a 8.0% edge.
Ryan Rollins over 4.5 rebounds (+128)
- Edge: 7.4%
- Probability: 51.3%
- Projection: 4.8
- Game: Bucks vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)
A 7.4% edge on the over 4.5 rebounds line makes Ryan Rollins a value play in Bucks vs. Spurs, with our model projecting him for 4.8 rebounds at +128 odds.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 steals (+138)
- Edge: 7.3%
- Probability: 49.3%
- Projection: 1.5
- Game: Thunder vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET)
Simulations project Shai Gilgeous-Alexander for 1.5 steals here, creating a 7.3% edge on the over 1.5 line at +138 odds.
NBA player prop summary: Thursday, January 15, 2026
A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 1:52AM ET:
| Matchup | Prop | Odds | Edge | Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunder vs. Rockets | Kevin Durant over 2.5 3-pointers made | +146 @ FanDuel | 12.5% | 53.1% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Andrew Wiggins over 1.5 steals | +194 @ FanDuel | 10.4% | 44.4% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Neemias Queta over 1.5 blocks | +162 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 45.8% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Derrick White over 1.5 steals | +178 @ FanDuel | 9.8% | 45.8% |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Giannis Antetokounmpo over 5.5 assists | +109 @ DraftKings | 9.6% | 57.4% |
| Hornets vs. Lakers | LaMelo Ball over 3.5 3-pointers made | +134 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 51.2% |
| Celtics vs. Heat | Derrick White over 1.5 blocks | +138 @ FanDuel | 8.4% | 50.4% |
| Grizzlies vs. Magic | Anthony Black over 4.5 rebounds | +134 @ FanDuel | 8.0% | 50.8% |
| Bucks vs. Spurs | Ryan Rollins over 4.5 rebounds | +128 @ FanDuel | 7.4% | 51.3% |
| Thunder vs. Rockets | Shai Gilgeous-Alexander over 1.5 steals | +138 @ FanDuel | 7.3% | 49.3% |
Conclusion
For January 15, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Kevin Durant, Andrew Wiggins and Neemias Queta. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.
Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.
Dave Garofolo uses sophisticated AI-driven analytics to make predictions and evaluate player performances in the NBA, MLB, NFL, NHL, NCAAM, and PGA TOUR tournaments, crafting insightful game and prop previews.
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