NBA player props today: Thursday's best props include Naji Marshall [1/15/2026]

Dimers' NBA props are live for January 15, 2026, with today's top betting edges led by the likes of Naji Marshall, Reed Sheppard and Ryan Kalkbrenner.

Our NBA player props model runs continuously, analyzing every matchup, including Jazz vs. Mavericks and Suns vs. Pistons, to surface the best NBA player prop bets across the market.

List of NBA prop bets for Thursday, 1/15

Sourced from 45+ total props today, below are the top ten NBA player props for January 15, ranked by edge.

Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 13.8%
• Probability: 47.8%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Jazz vs. Mavericks (8:30PM ET)

Our model has flagged value on Dallas' Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals. A probability of 47.8% gives this play an edge of 13.8% at +194 odds.

Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals (+194)

• Edge: 12.8%
• Probability: 46.8%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Thunder vs. Rockets (7:30PM ET)

Reed Sheppard’s steals prop shows a 12.8% edge at +194 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 steals on the over 1.5 line.

Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks (+194)

• Edge: 12.6%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.1
• Game: Hornets vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks, with simulations showing a 46.6% probability and a 12.6% edge at +194.

Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals (+178)

• Edge: 12.3%
• Probability: 48.3%
• Projection: 1.4
• Game: Hawks vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects Nickeil Alexander-Walker to record 1.4 steals today, creating an edge of 12.3% on the over 1.5 line at +178 odds.

Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals (+154)

• Edge: 12.2%
• Probability: 51.5%
• Projection: 1.6
• Game: Hawks vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals for Portland, showing an edge of 12.2% at +154 odds.

Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 steals (+177)

• Edge: 11.4%
• Probability: 47.5%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Hawks vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Onyeka Okongwu’s steals prop shows an edge of 11.4% at +177 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 1.3 today.

Ryan Rollins over 2.5 3-pointers made (+142)

• Edge: 11.0%
• Probability: 52.3%
• Projection: 2.7
• Game: Bucks vs. Spurs (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects Ryan Rollins for 2.7 3-pointers made for Milwaukee, creating an edge of 11.0% on over 2.5 at +142 odds.

Derrick White over 1.5 steals (+183)

• Edge: 10.4%
• Probability: 45.8%
• Projection: 1.2
• Game: Celtics vs. Heat (7:30PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Derrick White for 1.2 steals, creating value on the over 1.5 line at +183 odds and a 10.4% edge.

Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals (+148)

• Edge: 9.7%
• Probability: 50.0%
• Projection: 1.5
• Game: Hawks vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

A 9.7% edge on the over 1.5 steals line makes Jalen Johnson a value play in Hawks vs. Trail Blazers, with our model projecting him for 1.5 steals at +148 odds.

LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals (+169)

• Edge: 9.4%
• Probability: 46.6%
• Projection: 1.3
• Game: Hornets vs. Lakers (10:30PM ET)

Simulations project LaMelo Ball for 1.3 steals here, creating a 9.4% edge on the over 1.5 line at +169 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Thursday, January 15, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by edge according to our model as of 7:41PM ET:

Matchup	Prop	Odds	Edge	Probability
Jazz vs. Mavericks	Naji Marshall over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	13.8%	47.8%
Thunder vs. Rockets	Reed Sheppard over 1.5 steals	+194 @ FanDuel	12.8%	46.8%
Hornets vs. Lakers	Ryan Kalkbrenner over 1.5 blocks	+194 @ FanDuel	12.3%	48.3%
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Nickeil Alexander-Walker over 1.5 steals	+178 @ FanDuel	12.3%	48.3%
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Shaedon Sharpe over 1.5 steals	+154 @ DraftKings	12.2%	51.5%
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Onyeka Okongwu over 1.5 steals	+177 @ DraftKings	11.4%	47.5%
Bucks vs. Spurs	Ryan Rollins over 2.5 3-pointers made	+142 @ DraftKings	11.0%	52.3%
Celtics vs. Heat	Derrick White over 1.5 steals	+183 @ DraftKings	10.4%	45.8%
Hawks vs. Trail Blazers	Jalen Johnson over 1.5 steals	+148 @ FanDuel	9.7%	50.0%
Hornets vs. Lakers	LaMelo Ball over 1.5 steals	+169 @ DraftKings	9.4%	46.6%

Conclusion

For January 15, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Naji Marshall, Reed Sheppard and Ryan Kalkbrenner. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.