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Bucks vs. Spurs Prediction, Picks and Odds
Our detailed prediction and analysis for the Bucks vs. Spurs NBA game on January 15, 2026 is featured below. Drawing from 10,000 game simulations, we provide expert picks, betting odds, and insights.
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FINAL
NBA
FINAL
NBA
101
119
Jan 16, 1AM Frost Bank Center
Jan 16, 1AM Frost Bank Center
In-Play ProbabilitiesIn-Play
Game PredictionsPre-Game
Best Bets | TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 27 | 26 | 19 | 29 | 101 |
Spurs | 31 | 35 | 42 | 11 | 119 |
Live Probabilities
Spread
Over / Under
Moneyline
Win %
<1%
>99%
Win Probability
| TEAM | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Bucks | 27 | 26 | 19 | 29 | 101 |
Spurs | 31 | 35 | 42 | 11 | 119 |
Q4 00:00 Bucks misses three point jump shot
Q4 1:01 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 1:30 Carter Bryant misses two point jump shot
Q4 2:04 Andre Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot
Q4 2:58 Amir Coffey misses three point jump shot
Q4 3:31 Bucks misses two point jump shot
Q4 4:23 Spurs misses three point jump shot
Q4 5:14 Spurs misses two point jump shot
Q4 7:12 Pete Nance blocks Carter Bryant's two point cutting layup
Q4 7:44 Spurs makes two point jump shot
Play by Play
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
ALL
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs violation
Bucks offensive rebound
Kelly Olynyk defensive goaltending violation
Bucks defensive rebound
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Jeremy Sochan defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Carter Bryant misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
+3
Andre Jackson Jr. makes three point jump shot
98-119
Jordan McLaughlin turnover (traveling)
Jordan McLaughlin turnover
Jericho Sims personal foul (Kelly Olynyk draws the foul)
Spurs personal foul
Bucks offensive rebound
Jericho Sims offensive rebound
Amir Coffey misses three point jump shot
Cole Anthony defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Andre Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 1 of 2
98-119
+1
Andre Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-119
Jordan McLaughlin defensive rebound
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Andre Jackson Jr. personal foul (Lindy Waters III draws the foul)
+1
Andre Jackson Jr. makes regular free throw 2 of 2
98-119
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Spurs turnover
Spurs personal foul
Jericho Sims defensive rebound
Amir Coffey misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks defensive rebound
Andre Jackson Jr. turnover (offensive foul)
Spurs lineup change (Jeremy Sochan, Kelly Olynyk, Jordan McLaughlin, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant)
Pete Nance blocks Carter Bryant's two point cutting layup
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-115
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
85-115
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
85-115
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Amir Coffey misses three point jump shot
Jeremy Sochan personal foul (Amir Coffey draws the foul)
+1
Amir Coffey makes regular free throw 1 of 1
85-115
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Jeremy Sochan, Kelly Olynyk, Lindy Waters III, Carter Bryant)
Spurs 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Andre Jackson Jr., Amir Coffey, Pete Nance, Cole Anthony, Jericho Sims)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Jeremy Sochan, Kelly Olynyk, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis turnover (out of bounds bad pass)
Spurs personal foul
Keldon Johnson turnover (offensive foul)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
72-108
Dylan Harper misses three point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
End of 3rd Quarter.
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Kyle Kuzma misses three point jump shot
+2
Victor Wembanyama makes two point jump shot
72-108
Keldon Johnson misses three point jump shot
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
72-108
Bucks personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
+1
De'Aaron Fox makes regular free throw 2 of 2
72-108
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Victor Wembanyama misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
69-102
Ryan Rollins personal foul (Victor Wembanyama draws the foul)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
69-102
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Gary Trent Jr. misses three point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Kevin Porter Jr. misses two point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
Dylan Harper offensive rebound
+2
Dylan Harper makes two point jump shot
59-81
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 1 of 1
59-81
Dylan Harper shooting foul (Giannis Antetokounmpo draws the foul)
Bobby Portis defensive rebound
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
AJ Green shooting foul (Julian Champagnie draws the foul)
Instant replay (Request)
+3
Julian Champagnie makes three point jump shot
59-81
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 2
59-81
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet)
Julian Champagnie misses regular free throw 2 of 2
+2
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point dunk (Myles Turner assists)
59-81
+2
Stephon Castle makes two point driving layup
59-81
Bucks turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
59-81
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
Bucks 60 second timeout
Ryan Rollins misses three point jump shot
Spurs personal foul
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 1 of 1
56-75
Myles Turner defensive rebound
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
56-72
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
53-69
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot (De'Aaron Fox assists)
50-66
Kyle Kuzma defensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Spurs offensive rebound
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
47-60
De'Aaron Fox misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox)
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Carter Bryant defensive rebound
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs offensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
43-58
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 2 of 2
43-59
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant)
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
43-57
Ryan Rollins offensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+2
Spurs makes two point jump shot
40-55
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
Bucks turnover
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
40-53
Kyle Kuzma offensive rebound
Spurs turnover
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Keldon Johnson)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+1
Keldon Johnson makes regular free throw 1 of 2
40-49
Bucks lineup change (Kyle Kuzma, Gary Trent Jr., Myles Turner, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
37-45
Victor Wembanyama defensive rebound
Bucks 60 second timeout
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Gary Trent Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr.)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks personal foul
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Gary Trent Jr., Giannis Antetokounmpo, Gary Harris)
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Gary Harris defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
+1
Julian Champagnie makes regular free throw 1 of 3
37-34
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
37-33
Spurs 60 second timeout
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Victor Wembanyama, Lindy Waters III, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie)
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Ryan Rollins makes regular free throw 2 of 2
28-31
Bucks misses three point jump shot
End of 1st Quarter.
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Ryan Rollins, Kyle Kuzma, Gary Trent Jr., Gary Harris)
Spurs lineup change (Harrison Barnes, Dylan Harper, Victor Wembanyama, Julian Champagnie, De'Aaron Fox)
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
27-28
De'Aaron Fox defensive rebound
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
25-26
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+2
Bucks makes two point jump shot
22-26
Bucks personal foul
+1
Carter Bryant makes regular free throw 1 of 2
17-23
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Bucks misses three point jump shot
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Luke Kornet, De'Aaron Fox, Keldon Johnson, Carter Bryant)
Gary Harris offensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Dylan Harper defensive rebound
+1
Stephon Castle makes regular free throw 2 of 3
17-19
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., Gary Harris)
Keldon Johnson defensive rebound
Bucks personal foul
Dylan Harper misses regular free throw 1 of 2
Bucks lineup change (Bobby Portis, Kyle Kuzma, Myles Turner, Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green)
Giannis Antetokounmpo offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Bucks 60 second timeout
Julian Champagnie defensive rebound
Spurs personal foul
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes clear path free throw 2 of 2
15-14
+3
Bucks makes three point jump shot
13-14
Spurs personal foul
Spurs lineup change (Dylan Harper, Stephon Castle, Julian Champagnie, Luke Kornet, Keldon Johnson)
Ryan Rollins defensive rebound
Spurs misses three point jump shot
Bucks turnover
Myles Turner offensive rebound
Bucks misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
Spurs misses two point jump shot
+3
Spurs makes three point jump shot
8-11
Bucks offensive rebound
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
8-8
Giannis Antetokounmpo defensive rebound
+1
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes regular free throw 2 of 2
7-5
Harrison Barnes misses three point jump shot
+3
De'Aaron Fox makes three point jump shot (Stephon Castle assists)
5-5
Giannis Antetokounmpo misses two point pullup jump shot
+2
Giannis Antetokounmpo makes two point driving dunk (AJ Green assists)
5-0
Harrison Barnes misses two point driving layup
Stoppage (Out of bounds)
Bucks offensive rebound
Victor Wembanyama turnover (bad pass) (Giannis Antetokounmpo steals)
Bucks lineup change (Ryan Rollins, Myles Turner, Giannis Antetokounmpo, Kevin Porter Jr., AJ Green)
Myles Turner vs. Victor Wembanyama (Stephon Castle gains possession)
Box Score
Player Stats
Team Stats
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pos | Player | Pts | Reb | Ast | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Bucks vs. Spurs: Detailed Breakdown
Matchup Overview
- Teams: Bucks vs. Spurs
- Date: Thursday, January 15, 2026
- Time: 8:00 PM ET
- Venue: Frost Bank Center
Current Betting Odds
- Spread: Spurs favored at -7
- Total (Over/Under): 225.5
- Moneyline Odds: Bucks +220, Spurs -235
Dimers' Win Probabilities
- Bucks: 30%
- Spurs: 70%
Dimers' predictive model, renowned for its accuracy, assesses each team's chances by simulating the outcome of the game 10,000 times. This method provides a precise and unbiased view.
Projected Final Score
Our predicted final score for this NBA matchup is Bucks 109-115 Spurs.
This prediction is based on each team's average score following 10,000 game simulations.
Our Prediction: Who Wins?
After extensive simulations, our model gives the Bucks a win probability of 30%, while the Spurs have a win probability of 70%. Discover the best spread, over/under, and moneyline odds for the game on this page.
Summary
According to our analysis, the Spurs are more likely to beat the Bucks in the NBA game at Frost Bank Center on Friday. Discover the best spread, over/under and moneyline odds, picks and probabilities for the game on this page.
Our Bucks vs. Spurs predictions, based on sophisticated simulations and current data, guide you in making informed decisions. Remember to bet responsibly and within your financial limits.
For additional resources and advice on responsible gambling, please call 1-800-GAMBLER.
When you click or tap on a link on Dimers that goes to a third-party website that we have a commercial relationship with (such as a sportsbook), we may receive a referral fee.
For further insights, explore our expert NBA predictions and the best NBA bets today, while our in-depth analysis includes NBA props, NBA futures, NBA odds, and the latest NBA news.
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