NBA player props today: Veterans Day best props include Stephon Castle [11/11/2026]

Stephon Castle over 5.5 assists (-110)

• Edge: 5.9%
• Probability: 58.3%
• Projection: 6.9
• Game: Spurs vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Our model has found value on Spurs' Stephon Castle over 5.5 assists. A probability of 58.3% gives this play an edge of 5.9% at -110 odds.

Nikola Jokic over 9.5 assists (+106)

• Edge: 7.3%
• Probability: 55.8%
• Projection: 10.5
• Game: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Nikola Jokic’s assists prop shows a 7.3% edge at +106 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 10.5 assists on the over 9.5 line.

Ivica Zubac under 9.5 rebounds (42¢)

• Edge: 11.8%
• Probability: 53.8%
• Projection: 8.8
• Game: Wizards vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

The data highlights value on Ivica Zubac under 9.5 rebounds, with simulations showing a 53.8% probability and an 11.8% edge at 42¢.

Andrew Nembhard over 7.5 assists (45¢)

• Edge: 9.2%
• Probability: 53.7%
• Projection: 8.2
• Game: Wizards vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our model projects Andrew Nembhard to record 8.2 assists today, creating an edge of 9.2% on the over 7.5 line at 45¢ odds.

Luka Doncic over 7.5 assists (+114)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 53.5%
• Projection: 8.1
• Game: Lakers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Simulations indicate value on Luka Doncic over 7.5 assists for Lakers, showing an edge of 6.8% at +114 odds.

Trae Young over 9.5 assists (+108)

• Edge: 5.0%
• Probability: 53.1%
• Projection: 10.0
• Game: Wizards vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Trae Young’s assists prop shows an edge of 5.0% at +108 odds, according to our model, which projects him for 10.0 today.

De'Aaron Fox over 6.5 assists (+118)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 6.7
• Game: Spurs vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Our model projects De'Aaron Fox for 6.7 assists for Spurs, creating an edge of 5.2% on over 6.5 at +118 odds.

Jakob Poeltl under 7.5 rebounds (+118)

• Edge: 5.2%
• Probability: 51.1%
• Projection: 7.3
• Game: Celtics vs. Raptors (7:00PM ET)

Our expert modelling projects Jakob Poeltl for 7.3 rebounds, creating value on the under 7.5 line at +118 odds and a 5.2% edge.

Aaron Nesmith over 14.5 points (43¢)

• Edge: 6.8%
• Probability: 49.8%
• Projection: 14.4
• Game: Wizards vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

A 6.8% edge on the over 7.5 points line makes Aaron Nesmith a value play in Wizards vs. Pacers, with our model projecting him for 14.4 points at 43¢ odds.

Aaron Gordon over 5.5 rebounds (+130)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 49.7%
• Projection: 5.4
• Game: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Simulations project Aaron Gordon for 5.4 rebounds here, creating a 6.3% edge on the over 5.5 line at +130 odds.

NBA player prop summary: Wednesday, November 11, 2026

A quick summary of today’s top props by probability according to our model as of 3:16AM ET:

Conclusion

For November 11, 2026, our NBA prop bets feature players such as Stephon Castle, Nikola Jokic and Ivica Zubac. Each pick is grounded in real-time data and advanced simulations to help you bet with clarity and purpose.

Built using automation and human oversight, this article draws on the latest data to deliver accurate, timely insights. If using this article for betting, Dimers promotes responsible gambling.