NBA picks today: Veterans Day best bets include Spurs vs. Bulls play [11/11/2026]

Bulls +14.5 (-106)

• Edge: 8.9%
• Probability: 60.3%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Our model has identified value on Bulls +14.5 at -106 odds. A 60.3% probability produces an edge of 8.9%, making this the strongest play for today's NBA slate.

Bucks +11.5 (-104)

• Edge: 6.7%
• Probability: 57.7%
• Matchup: Lakers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET)

Bucks +11.5 carries a 6.7% edge and a probability of 57.7% at -104 odds, according to our model.

Nuggets -4.5 (49¢)

• Edge: 6.3%
• Probability: 54.9%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

Nuggets -4.5 vs. Grizzlies at 49¢ odds shows a 6.3% edge, supported by a 54.9% probability in simulations.

Magic ML (-160)

• Edge: 5.8%
• Probability: 67.4%
• Matchup: Magic vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET)

A 5.8% edge and 67.4% probability makes Magic at the moneyline a value play in the Magic vs. Jazz matchup, per our model.

Thunder ML (-108)

• Edge: 5.7%
• Probability: 57.6%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Thunder ML at 52¢ presents a 5.7% edge, with simulations resulting in a probability of 57.6%.

Raptors +6.5 (+102)

• Edge: 4.6%
• Probability: 54.1%
• Matchup: Celtics vs. Raptors (7:00PM ET)

Our model finds value on Raptors +6.5 at +102, supported by an edge of 4.6%.

Pacers ML (-144)

• Edge: 4.4%
• Probability: 63.5%
• Matchup: Wizards vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET)

Our model has uncovered value on Wizards-Pacers to finish as a tie after 90 minutes at 59¢. A 63.5% probability produces a 4.4% edge, making this a strong play for today's NBA action.

Nuggets ML (-156)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 65%
• Matchup: Nuggets vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET)

A 4.0% edge on a 65% probability makes Nuggets to win at 61¢a solid value play in today's Nuggets vs. Grizzlies matchup.

Thunder -1.5 (+108)

• Edge: 4.0%
• Probability: 52.1%
• Matchup: Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET)

Our model projects value on Thunder -1.5 at 48¢. A 52.1% probability produces a 4.0% edge, making Thunder the favorable side in today's matchup.

Bulls ML (+900)

• Edge: 3.8%
• Probability: 13.8%
• Matchup: Spurs vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET)

Rounding out our top 10 bets, Bulls to defeat Spurs at 10¢ shows a 13.8% probability and a 3.8% edge.

NBA best bets summary: Wednesday, 11/11/2026

As of 3:03AM ET, here are our top NBA bets by edge recommended by our model:

List of upcoming NBA games to bet on [11/11/2026]

• Wizards vs. Pacers (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Cavaliers vs. Knicks (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Celtics vs. Raptors (7:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nets vs. Pelicans (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Spurs vs. Bulls (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Nuggets vs. Grizzlies (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Lakers vs. Bucks (8:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Magic vs. Jazz (9:00PM ET, Wednesday)
• Warriors vs. Rockets (9:30PM ET, Wednesday)
• Thunder vs. Trail Blazers (10:00PM ET, Wednesday)

Conclusion

Our NBA best bets are locked and loaded for November 11, 2026, featuring plays such as Bulls +14.5 vs. Spurs and Bucks +11.5. Powered by advanced simulations, these picks are here to boost your betting game.

Our predictions are based on current data to help you make informed decisions. For additional resources and advice, head to our Responsible Gambling hub.

All odds and probabilities in this article are correct and accurate at the time of publication.